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Bull cycle

Bitcoin notches new record high amid “Uptober” surge

Bitcoin surged over $125,500 for the first time on Saturday.

Uptober has arrived.

bitcoin reached an all-time high on Saturday, crossing $125,500 for the first time not even two months after hitting its previous record. The asset is up over 100% in the past year.

Kyle Chassé, founder of MV Global, told Sherwood News that this all‑time high is being driven from the top down.

“Spot ETF flows are vacuuming up supply every day — that’s the clearest sign Wall Street is here. ‘Uptober’ helps, and the market is shrugging off the shutdown headlines and political noise because bitcoin is the neutral, non‑sovereign asset people use as insurance against policy risk and fiat debasement,” Chassé said.

He said that if ETF inflows keep soaking up coins anywhere near current run rates, reaching $145,000 by year‑end is “very doable.”

“Volatility will pop up, but the base case for this bull cycle is solid,” he said.

Lucas Kiely, founder of Future Digital Capital Management, noted that caution is warranted at this point in the cycle.

“Euphoria leads to leverage, and bigger price swings put overleveraged traders at risk of liquidations. This can easily lead to liquidation cascades, wiping out traders who have taken on too much uncalculated risk,” he said.

Meanwhile, bitcoin ETF inflows had their second-best week since inception in January 2024, raking in $3.2 billion. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, with $95 billion in assets under management, continues to lead the pack, seeing $1.8 billion in inflows last week.

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Ethereum falls below a critical level

The last time ethereum was below $3,000 was in July 2025, after a number of corporate firms had begun to roll out their ethereum treasury strategies.

$1T

Painvember is real — the crypto market has lost more than $1 trillion in overall market cap since early October and now sits at $3.2 trillion, down from $4.3 trillion on October 6, when bitcoin hit its all-time high.

Bitcoin dipped below $90,000 for the first time since April late Monday night. The asset is roughly flat from one year ago, shortly after the US presidential election.

“The longer bitcoin stays under $100k, the more the sense of imminent doom intensifies. But amid all this panic, there are reasons to be optimistic. We’ve seen BTC ETF ownership jump from 20% to 28% this year, institutional demand remains high, and the biggest Bitcoin whale — Michael Saylor — has just scooped up more BTC,” Nic Puckrin, cofounder of Coin Bureau, told Sherwood News.

  • The Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index is now at 11, reflecting “extreme fear.”

  • Bitcoin ETFs saw $254.51 million in outflows on Monday, bringing total outflows to $2.59 billion in November. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, the most successful bitcoin ETF, saw a whopping $1.26 billion exit its fund so far this month.

  • Meanwhile, ethereum ETFs suffered $182.8 million in outflows — $1.42 billion so far this month, according to SoSoValue.

  • Crypto liquidations reached $801 million in the past 24 hours, Coinglass data shows. Bitcoin suffered $433 million in liquidations, with the bulk of them — $390.89 million — in long positions.

“Bitcoin and crypto are trading much more like classic risk assets right now. Everything is moving with broader risk sentiment and growing anxiety around credit,” Greg Magadini, director of derivatives at Amberdata, told Sherwood.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.