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Janu-rally

Bitcoin rallies to 3-month high

One analyst said the near-term outlook over the next three to five months points to bitcoin advancing toward the $120,000 range.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

Bitcoin continues to rally following a better-than-expected CPI report on Tuesday, passing $96,000 Wednesday morning, its highest level in three months.

Bitcoin ETFs are also in the green, recording $753.7 million in inflows on Tuesday, the largest since October 7, according to SoSoValue. The Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund took the lion’s share, with $351.3 million in inflows, followed by the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF, with $159.4 million.

Reflecting the renewed optimism, CoinMarketCap’s Fear and Greed Index stands at 52 (neutral), its highest level since the crypto crash on October 10 that triggered $19.1 billion in crypto liquidations.

Concerns remain around the trajectory of the administration’s probe into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, which could affect bitcoin.

“For the crypto market, the core macro variables remain the duration of elevated interest rates and the credibility of policy institutions,” Dean Chen, an analyst at Bitunix, said.

Chen noted that in the short term, the $91,031 level is a key support to monitor, with $97,237 acting as the primary resistance zone.

“If concerns over central bank independence continue to widen — driving volatility in the dollar and real yields — crypto asset volatility is likely to increase,” he added.

On the other hand, if markets regain confidence that the policy path is not being politically distorted, bitcoin may reenter a bullish rhythm following a period of structural consolidation, he said.

“Crypto markets should remain highly attentive to how shifts in the macro narrative cascade into changes in overall risk appetite,” Chen said.

Bitget Wallet research analyst Lacie Zhang said that the recent stabilization in bitcoin suggests the market is rebuilding conviction rather than chasing short-term momentum.

Zhang said the near-term outlook over the next three to five months points to bitcoin advancing toward the $120,000 range as sentiment and inflows improve.

Over a longer horizon into year-end, bitcoin could move toward $180,000, reflecting a market increasingly driven by structural demand rather than episodic speculation, Zhang said. 

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BitMine buys the dip, makes largest ethereum purchase this year

Despite having an unrealized loss of nearly $9.7 billion, the leading ethereum treasury firm has acquired even more of the token.

BitMine Immersion Technologies announced it has acquired 126,971 tokens over the past week, the firms largest purchase of ethereum this year. The companys total stockpile stands at 5.5 million, or around 4.6% of ethereums total supply.

We increased our buying as we believe this pullback in ETH prices does not reflect the strengthening of Ethereum fundamentals, BitMine Chairman Tom Lee said in a statement.

The acquisition comes after the crypto markets saw a broad downturn last week, with many tokens hitting multiyear lows.

Lee argued the sell-off in crypto was a superficial take. As artificial intelligence grows more capable, demand for hardened infrastructure is likely to increase alongside expectations that AI systems will expose flaws in centralized rails and weak decentralized protocols, according to Lee.

We believe this actually strengthens the use case and product market fit for hardened and reliable decentralized blockchains like ethereum, Lee said. “Thus, we believe ETH prices should not be coming under pressure.

Meanwhile, last week ethereum ETFs saw more than $173 million in outflows, marking the fourth consecutive week of net redemptions, data from SoSoValue shows.

Joe Lubin, cofounder of ethereum and current CEO of software development firm Consensys, said the recent moves by the Ethereum Foundation, namely staff turnover and leadership changes, are not evidence of a crisis, but a necessary evolution, per a CoinDesk report. Lubin emphasized that Ethereum is not on the decline, not at all,” even if “we are not front and center right now in terms of capital inflows, investments.”

$62B

Bitcoin digital asset treasuries (DATs) have taken a big hit amid bitcoin’s tumble, shedding $62 billion in value since the asset’s October 6 all-time high, Artemis data shows, with their fully diluted market cap dropping to $72 billion from $134 billion in early October.

Meanwhile, bitcoin, which has fallen below $62,000 on Friday morning, is down 50% from its all-time high. DAT pioneer Strategy’s market cap stood at $102.2 billion on October 6, according to Macro Trends, and is now down to $45.6 billion, a 55% decline. Strategy has been in hot water since it sold 32 bitcoin earlier this week, and because its digital credit instrument, STRC, has been trading below its par value. Shares of Strategy are down 17% in the past week.

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“Sentiment for crypto is firmly in the gutter” as sector sinks, with tokens hitting multiyear lows

On Thursday, altcoins swept lower as bitcoin weakened. The tokens with the biggest losses in the last 24 hours are NEAR, ethena, and Zcash, each declining double digits in the period.

Other tokens have dropped to lows not seen in over a year in the past 24 hours:

  • Ethereum dropped 4.4% to under $1,780, a level not seen since April 2025.

  • XRP declined 4.5% to an 18-month low last hit in November 2024.

  • Solana decreased 6% to trade below the $70 mark, its lowest price since December 2023.

  • Dogecoin slid below $0.09, a 27-month low last seen in February 2024.

“Sentiment for crypto is firmly in the gutter as fears surrounding BTC/STRC and its potential overflow compound and overshadow anything that can be read as positive news (e.g. CLARITY movements),” according to Sean Dawson, head of research at crypto options platform Derive.xyz.

“[Altcoins] are high beta plays to BTC and are typically sold heavily in a downturn. Simply put, I’d be even more bearish on alts,” Dawson told Sherwood News.

“Further, liquidity has been drained into this year’s ‘superhot’ narrative of AI/data centers. In other words, there are just better, more exciting opportunities elsewhere,” Dawson added.

One cryptocurrency that has bucked the downtrend has been worldcoin, the native token for World, the digital identity project backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman. While the broader crypto market has been pushing lower, WLD has jumped nearly 5% in the last 24 hours and 90% in the past seven days, data from CoinGecko shows.

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