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Deep Sink

DeepSeek news is sinking crypto too, but will the slump last?

While tech stocks may feel lasting pain, experts predict crypto could rebound quickly.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

The news that DeepSeek’s new R1 model was created in just two months for under $6 million is triggering a significant sell-off, not only for the tech sector but for the crypto market, too.  

The free Chinese open AI model, launched in December, targets competitors like OpenAI’s Chat GPT and Meta’s Llama and has risen to the top of Apple’s App Store. While tech stocks like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Oracle are taking the brunt of the beating, the crypto market is also hurting. As of 11 a.m. ET, crypto’s market cap was down 5.5% in the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko.  

The crypto ecosystem has been on a massive bull run in recent weeks, thanks mainly to Trump 2.0, but today some are panicking as they watch their assets tumble.

“DeepSeek just crashed crypto,” Altcoin Daily said on X.

Bitcoin’s dipped below $100,000 overnight, but has regained some of its losses already. Experts said that while markets have reacted aggressively, this probably won’t affect crypto in the long term.

“While this is bad news for investors in US tech stocks, it’s not bad news for the crypto industry,” said Charles Wayn, cofounder of Web3 infrastructure and digital credential network Galxe.

“Yes, we’ve seen a slide in crypto tokens today, but it won’t last as crypto is the biggest beneficiary of AI technology.”

While the correlation between bitcoin and tech stocks has been strong, hitting a two-year high in January, for most of 2024, the connection had actually broken down.

Several experts echoed the idea that the latest DeepSeek news as good for crypto, predicting the sell-off will ultimately slide off crypto within a day or two.

Kevin Rusher, founder of the real-world asset tokenization platform RAAC, went further.

“Crypto will probably be one of the biggest beneficiaries of growth in AI — wherever it comes from — if it can move blockchain technology forward and open up new possibilities for trading and more,” Rusher said.

“Most likely, we’ll see that reflected in the value of AI tokens over the coming days.”


Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy is a financial journalist who’s written for Dow Jones, The Financial Times Group, and Business Insider.

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Crypto spot ETF flows diverge, a sign of investor rotation

Investors appear to be rotating where they are placing their crypto bets, but not necessarily fleeing the asset class entirely. 

Last month, spot bitcoin ETFs registered $206.5 million in outflows, marking their fourth straight month of redemptions. Ethereum spot ETFs saw even heavier withdrawal as $369.9 million left the investment vehicles, also marking a fourth consecutive monthly outflow. 

Since November, spot bitcoin and ethereum ETFs have posted more than $9.1 billion in cumulative outflows.

Bitcoin and ethereum are the market’s virtual ATMs, according to Chris Soriano, cofounder and chief commercial officer at BridgePort. “It’s no surprise when institutions start laying off risk or meet redemptions, they naturally sell what’s most liquid first,” Soriano told Sherwood News. “This is no different than when a traditional fund manager trims S&P 500 exposure before touching their small-cap growth positions.” 

On the other hand, newer funds based on altcoins haven’t stopped recording monthly green candles. 

Spot XRP ETFs pulled in $58 million last month and have yet to post a single negative month since their launch in November. Spot solana ETFs attracted $63 million and, likewise, remain in the black since their debut in October. 

The outflows of the two largest cryptocurrencies combined with the modest inflows of the two smaller tokens suggest a rotation regime, Soriano argued. “Institutions trimming their core liquid holdings while selectively adding to high-conviction, higher-beta positions where they think there’s more juice in the squeeze. It’s not a contradiction; it’s portfolio mechanics behaving exactly as you’d expect,” Soriano continued.

He added that XRP and solana’s markets are also thinner, which means the same dollar of buying pressure registers as a louder, more persistent inflow signal than it ever would in BTC or ETH.

Nic Roberts-Huntley, CEO and cofounder of Blueprint Finance, told Sherwood that bitcoin and etheruem’s outflows combined with XRP and solana’s inflows “may signal a broader market transition, one where capital increasingly chases specific use cases rather than the entire asset class moving in lockstep.”

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Ethereum struggles to hold market gains

After rallying from $1,830 to above $2,100 on Wednesday, ethereum struggled to hold on to its gains and dipped under $2,000, a round psychological price level, on Thursday. 

The seesaw price action helped liquidate $146 million worth of leveraged long and short positions on ethereum in the last 24 hours, data from CoinGlass shows.  

While ethereum was due for a relief rally after entering into oversold conditions as measured by its relative strength index, some are still maintaining a bearish sentiment, according to Delphi Digital analyst Simon Shockey.

With ethereum now trading under $2,000, Shockey called the rally “unconvincing.” He told Sherwood News that he doesn’t “think most crypto natives are compelled to really believe the lows are in,” adding that he could see ethereum fall further from here and make new lows in the second half of the year. 

The price action comes as cofounder Vitalik Buterin has sold $35 million worth of ethereum tokens since the start of February and the paper loss for the largest ethereum treasury firm, BitMine Immersion Technologies, has climbed to nearly $7.9 billion

On the positive side, ethereum developers introduced a new road map that involves seven hard fork upgrades by 2029 and several north stars, one of which aims to make ethereum a “post quantum” layer 1 network.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.