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Hyperliquid is the “1,000 pound gorilla in the room” leading year-to-date market gains amid conflict in the Middle East

While the crypto industry has shed $564.3 billion in 2026, Hyperliquid’s native token has bucked the downtrend and jumped 54.8% year to date.

Sage D. Young

Hyperliquid has been moving in the opposite direction of the crypto industry, rising since the beginning of 2026 as bitcoin, ethereum, XRP, solana, and dogecoin have fallen. 

HYPE, the native token for the perpetual futures blockchain that does not close shop, has gained 54% year to date, making Hyperion DeFi and Hyperliquid Strategies the only digital asset treasury firms in profit, data analytics firm Artemis found.  

“Hyperliquid is the 1,000 pound gorilla in the room. Its tearing up what we thought was possible for crypto, building something much bigger and much faster than most of the industry,” according to Bitwise research analyst Danny Nelson.

Yesterday, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced it was officially licensing the most tracked stock index for a derivative contract on the blockchain network, which means users can use up to 50x leverage to trade the S&P 500. 

Mario Stefanidis, fundamental research lead at Artemis, said the announcement is a substantial change beyond just Hyperliquid as equity markets are transitioning to 24/7/365 trading. “The stock market is open for regular trading hours only about 19% of the year, so this is a huge shift,” Stefanidis told Sherwood News.

“Vibes-wise, theres no token in crypto right now quite like HYPE,” Nelson said. “It leveraged the Middle East crisis into a win by providing a service traders didnt know they needed.”

He cited the October launch of HIP-3, the permissionless perpetuals markets that trade oil, gold, silver, and gas. “These markets are stickier than your average crypto perps market. Only 27% of crypto perps traders stick around past month three, but 64% of Hyperliquids commodities traders stay engaged,” Nelson continued. 

As of Thursday afternoon, the perpetual futures contracts for West Texas Intermediate crude oil, Brent crude oil, and silver had a combined trading volume of $2.3 billion, placing them among the top 5 contracts on Hyperliquid by 24-hour trading volume. Gold has $232.6 million in volume, ninth-highest on the platform, data sourced from the venue’s web interface shows.

“I think this high retention rate gives credence to HYPEs $40 billion valuation… If Hyperliquid can carry its success through into calmer markets, I believe it will continue to grow,” Nelson said.

Hyperliquid’s token performance normally shows a high correlation to the protocol’s revenue stemming from trading fees on its decentralized perpetual and spot exchange, per Stefanidis.

“However, since the peak in February, revenues have declined -34% from ~$770mm to ~$510mm on a 30D annualized basis, while price has increased +40% from $30 to $42 [yesterday],” Stefanidis stated. “This divergence suggests the market is no longer pricing HYPE purely as a cash-flow asset, but rather as a growth asset with significant optionality,” he argued.

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Hyperliquid reclaims all-time high

HYPE, the native token powering perpetuals exchange Hyperliquid and its underlying blockchain, rebounded to reclaim its all-time high previously set at the start of the month.

Treasury firms Hyperliquid Strategies and Hyperion DeFi have also rallied as the token increased double digits in the last 24 hours to trade as high as $76.70, rising past its record price set nearly two weeks ago, according to CoinGecko. In the interim between all-time highs, HYPE pulled back to around $53.

The token has several tailwinds, the first coming from ETF flows. Since their inception in May, HYPE ETFs have yet to record negative weekly outflows, posting a cumulative total net inflow of $171.8 million, per SoSoValue.

The second comes from Hyperliquid spending basically everything it earns in fees to buy HYPE, a mechanism embedded into the protocol’s codebase.

The venue’s buyback funding mechanism is set to add a new source of yield. Validators of the network activated “AQAv2,” which means stablecoin deployers will share about 90% of reserve yield revenue on their supply within the protocol.

Around $6.1 billion of Circle’s USDC resides in Hyperliquid, per DefiLlama. Accrual begins on August 26 and the first payment is made on October 3, the network announced in its Discord channel last week.

A substantial amount of capital is riding on different positions of HYPE. In total, a move down to under $53 would result in the liquidation nearly 1.8 million HYPE worth of leveraged long positions on the on-chain perps venue, or $131.7 million, data from CoinGlass shows. For the upside, a climb above $100 results in the liquidation of more than 3 million worth of leveraged HYPE short positions, or $221.5 million.

HYPE’s rebound to all-time high comes after Michael Selig, chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, defended his agency’s decision to approve regulated perpetuals, or futures contracts without expiration dates, CNBC reported on Monday.

Last month, the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures trading in the US through regulated prediction markets firm Kalshi and an affiliate of centralized exchange Coinbase.

“Perps are highly likely to become lightly regulated and thus approved in the US,” said David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund.

“We expect to see perps for many different types of assets, from commodities to equities,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

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Crypto market snaps back as sentiment lifts, with altcoins from ethereum to XRP soaring

The market capitalization of the crypto industry has jumped around $83.2 billion in the last 24 hours, with privacy-focused token Zcash and worldcoin, the native cryptocurrency of the network backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, leading market gains, jumping over 22%.

But the last 24 hours have been good across the board:

Investors have been eager to see some positive signs around the Iranian conflict ending, coupled with hopeful outlooks around the CLARITY act, both breathing some life into assets, Kairos Research cofounder Ian Unsworth told Sherwood News.

Simon Shockey, a crypto strategist at crypto wallet infrastructure firm Privy, said the upswing stems from several things converging. He pointed to how alt markets broadly were very oversold following the bug found in Zcash that shook confidence.

Friday, Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox said Anthropic didn’t find any more serious bugs with the Zcash protocol after Shielded Labs requested the AI firm run a security audit of the network with Mythos.

Shockey added that the pool of willing sellers has dwindled. Even if structurally, AI is a much more compelling and asymmetric bet in the eyes of allocators, many of these crypto assets have simply run out of marginal sellers despite some shorter-term narrative-driven pumps. The only people left to sell at this point are the teams themselves and VCs.

Net-net: oversold conditions plus exhausted seller bases plus a macro backdrop thats stabilized equals a snapback, especially in names that have real usage or community conviction behind them,” Shockey told Sherwood.

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