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Broken token?

More than 58% of ethereum’s supply is unprofitable

“ETH, as a token, is broken,” short seller Culper Research wrote in a report, likening the asset to Netscape and Nokia.

Fridays have tended to produce the highest positive returns for ethereum, but the second-largest cryptocurrency has declined on the day.

Ethereum’s average return on Fridays over the past three months has been 0.79%, the most among any day of the week, data from crypto analytics platform Velo.xyz shows. However, the price of the token has decreased 6% in the last 24 hours to under $1,980 this Friday. 

More than 58% of ethereum’s supply is now unprofitable, according to blockchain data firm Glassnode, an unfortunate climb since ethereum’s all-time high of nearly $5,000 in August.

BitMine Immersion Technologies, the largest ethereum treasury firm and holder of 4,473,587 tokens, is now a highly unprofitable entity, with a paper loss of $7.9 billion.

Meanwhile, short seller Culper Research announced it has bet against ethereum, per a Thursday report. Culper cites ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin selling, blockspace getting filled in by negligible-value spam, and increased network activity stemming from address poisoning instead of institutional transactions. 

Address poisoning is a scam where attackers send tiny “dust” transactions from wallet addresses that look similar to those a victim has used before. The aim is to trick the victim into later sending funds to the fake address instead of a real one. 

“Our claim is that ETH, as a token, is broken, and will not capture any of that value,” Culper said. “In the dot-com era, companies such as Netscape and Nokia built out next-generation platforms that dominated for years on end, only to be usurped by companies like Google and Apple who built on those foundations and captured all of the value.” 

“We view ETH similarly and think that in the end, ETH holders will be left with little of economic substance,” Culper continued. 

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Solana rises amid crypto rally after “breakout month” for solana stablecoins

Stablecoin transaction volume on solana climbed to a record $650 billion last month, more than double the network’s previous record. It also saw the highest volume of any blockchain last month, according to a Wednesday note published by Grayscale Head of Research Zach Pandl.

“Stablecoins are one of the megatrends driving adoption of blockchain technology, and Solana is well positioned to compete in this category,” Pandl wrote.

The research note comes as the supply of stablecoins on solana has jumped to $15.4 billion, a substantial leap since the start of 2025, when the figure sat at $5.1 billion, data from open-source analytics platform DefiLlama shows. 

The price of solana has increased 7.3% in the last 24 hours to return above the $90 level, outpacing bitcoin, ethereum, and dogecoin, per CoinGecko.

International banking group Standard Chartered has predicted solana will grow to $250 by the end of 2026, pointing to a shift in activity from meme coins to solana-stablecoin pairs, aided by AI-driven micropayments.

Meanwhile, the prediction market-implied odds of solana sliding below $60 in 2026 stands at 68% on Wednesday morning, and on the bullish side, traders are pricing in a 48% chance the token will rise higher than $150 in the year. 

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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Meanwhile, the prediction market-implied odds of solana sliding below $60 in 2026 stands at 68% on Wednesday morning, and on the bullish side, traders are pricing in a 48% chance the token will rise higher than $150 in the year. 

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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