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$1.4 billion in crypto positions liquidated, as bitcoin hits its lowest price since June

Bitcoin ETFs also continued to bleed, with $186.5 million in outflows on Monday.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

A whopping $1.4 billion in crypto positions have been liquidated in the past 24 hours, with $391 million in bitcoin long positions and $20.2 million in shorts, CoinGlass data shows.

Bitcoin continues its downward trajectory, dropping to its lowest level since June on Tuesday morning as risk appetite wanes. A combination of ETF outflows, macro and geopolitical concerns, and increasing concerns around digital asset treasuries selling are weighing on the asset, as the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index hits 21, “extreme fear.”

The asset is more than 17% below its October all-time high, “marking its weakest start to November since 2018,” said Timothy Misir, head of research at Blockhead Research Network.

Misir said the loss of $103,000 BTC support “would signal a shift from controlled correction to structural weakness.”

Meanwhile, market-implied probabilities derived from event contracts show that traders believe there’s a 74% chance bitcoin drops below $100,000 this year. Traders also see a 17% chance of a further drop below $80,000 in prediction markets.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Bitcoin ETFs continue to suffer, with $186.5 million in outflows on Monday, all stemming from the largest bitcoin ETF, iShares Bitcoin Trust, according to SoSoValue. In comparison, solana ETFs, which made their debut last week, registered $70 million.

Maja Vujinovic, CEO and cofounder of digital assets at FG Nexus, told Sherwood News that too many traders were using borrowed money to bet on prices going up.

“The next few days matter: if bitcoin can stay above $100,000-$105,000, it might simply be a healthy reset. If not, we could see a deeper drop,” she said. “Big investors and companies should be cautious but also watch for smart buying opportunities, since the broader economy and market mood are still shaky.”

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TeraWulf rises after reporting Q1 earnings

TeraWulf, the bitcoin mining company transitioning into data center development, posted Q1 results that were essentially on par with expectations, but investors seemed to like the future transition from volatile bitcoin mining to a “more stable, contracted revenue model” revenue stream driven by “higher-value HPC workloads.”

TeraWulf reported:

  • Revenue of $34 million, just missing analyst expectations of $34.7 million.

  • An adjusted loss per share of $0.09, exactly meeting the consensus estimate from analysts polled by FactSet.

Around 62% of the firm’s Q1 revenue stemmed from high-performance computing lease revenue, “representing the initial ramp of long-term customer agreements,” TeraWulf CFO Patrick Fleury said.

“As we continue to scale, we expect the business to be increasingly driven by recurring, contracted revenue, reducing exposure to the volatility historically associated with bitcoin mining,” Fleury continued.

Fleury noted TeraWulf had $3.1 billion of cash to support its continued transition.

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Coinbase sinks after missing on Q1 earnings, revenue

Shares of Coinbase, the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the US, slid in after-hours trading after it missed analysts’ expectations for Q1 earnings.

The company reported:

  • Total revenue of $1.4 billion, below the nearly $1.5 billion analysts polled by FactSet were expecting.

  • Transaction revenue of $755.8 million, well below the consensus estimate of $808.1 million and a 40% decline from nearly $1.3 billion in last year’s period.

  • A surprise loss of $394 million, a $1.47 loss per share for the quarter, compared to net income of $65.6 million in last year’s period.

The firm has 12 products generating over $100 million on an annualized basis, with prediction markets being one of its fastest growing products ever, on track on become the 13th product, according to Coinbase’s presentation.

The earnings report comes in the same week CEO Brian Armstrong announced the firm is cutting 14% of its workforce, or about 700 employees, citing artificial intelligence and the need to adjust its cost structure amid a down market.

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Crypto blossoming with green shoots as ethereum and altcoins surge

Crypto markets are warming into a spring rebound as green shoots emerge in the sector.

Ethereum broke above $2,400 Wednesday morning, its highest mark since the end of January, with open interest across Binance, Bybit, OKX, Deribit, and Hyperliquid jumping to almost $12 billion from $10.7 billion on Wednesday morning, a sign new traders are opening positions, data from blockchain analytics firm Velo.xyz shows. 

Coinciding with the price action, institutional flows are positive, with ETFs seeing three straight days of inflows, totaling $260 million in the period, according to SoSoValue

“Crypto Spring, in our view, has commenced and like past cycles, investor sentiment and conviction are muted and bearish even as crypto prices strengthen,” BitMine Chairman Tom Lee said Monday, while announcing the firm added 101,745 ethereum tokens to its stockpile last week. 

Meanwhile, privacy and meme tokens are rallying, too:

  • Dogecoin, adored by billionaire Elon Musk, has climbed as high as 11.7 cents, a level not seen since January. 

  • DASH has increased 22.8% in the last 24 hours.

  • Zcash, a privacy coin, rallied to a five-month high, breaking past $600 before settling at $574 as of 10:45 a.m. ET, a 33.3% surge in the same period.

Zcash’s upswing comes after Tushar Jain, cofounder and managing partner at investment firm Multicoin Capital, announced that it “built a significant position in $ZEC since February.” 

“We believe that truly private, censorship and seizure resistant assets have clear product-market fit and demand is accelerating… $ZEC is the cleanest way to express this thesis in public markets,” Jain said on X.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.