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Could paywalling The Mini have made a big difference to the NYT’s bottom line last quarter?

A new wave of bundled and single-product digital subscriptions boosted The New York Times’ profits in Q3.

Tom Jones

OK, so we’ve been saying here that the business behind The New York Times Company hasn’t really been just about the news now for a minute. And while that’s hardly a fact the Gray Lady herself has shied away from — in his debut as the Times’ new media columnist in 2020, Semafor founder Ben Smith cited its “broadening content mix” as a key reason behind the company’s ability to outmuscle its competition — the observation rings truer with every passing quarter.

Collections; or _______ of joy [7]

In its third-quarter earnings last week, the Times reported that it had added 460,000 digital-only subscribers in the last three months, as bundles and single-product subscribers to products like Cooking and Games helped offset the 130,000 news-only subs it lost over Q3. For context, there are just ~570,000 print-only NYT subscribers left, after 10,000 jumped ship in the same period.

The additions mark the most substantial growth it’s posted across its digital offerings since it started breaking out individual subscriber figures, rather than the number of individual subscriptions those subscribers paid for, back in 2022, as the company’s digital footprint continues to grow.

NYT digital subscribers chart
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All told, The NYT now counts some 12.33 million subscribers across its family of products. The vast majority (11.76 million) of those are for digital-only products — whether that’s people keeping up to date on the NYTimes app, sports fans lapping up the latest analysis from The Athletic, chefs looking for recipe inspo from the Cooking segment, or the millions of people who’ve chiseled some combination of the company’s various mini games into cornerstones of their daily routines.

All the games that are fit to play

When The New York Times made the decision to move The Mini, the smaller version of its iconic crossword, which has amassed a devoted following since it launched over a decade ago, behind a paywall in late August, scores of disgruntled gamers rushed to Google to see what the issue was. Naturally, that frustration quickly spilled over onto social media.

Though nonsubscribers can still access Wordle and other daily games like Connections and Strands (for now), it’s difficult to imagine a world where the company’s latest digital sub figures weren’t boosted a little by Mini-mad users finally stumping up some extra cash to carry on playing the crossword every day.

NYT revs chart
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Paywalling its plethora of addictive mini games makes sense from the Times’ point of view, as revenues from digital subscribers continue to grow as the company’s biggest money-spinner, with Bloomberg forecasting that digital subscribers will account for $1.44 billion of the company’s $2.79 billion revenues this year.

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Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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