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Kids’ movies are turning the 2024 box office Inside Out

Pixar and the Minions are helping to reanimate box office audiences

INT. OFFICE BLOCK —  NIGHT

A boardroom, cluttered with empty coffee cups and packed with stressed Hollywood execs scowling at each other and generally looking pretty lost. We see a flipboard with the words “Avatar", “superheroes”, “Barbenheimer”, “franchisable IP”, and “Chalamet” all crossed out, a single red question mark underlined several times is scrawled beneath…

Up until very recently, the 2024 box office had been taking a beating. The year got off to a slow start as January and February lived up to their reputation as “dump months”; Garfuriosa was a Memorial Day weekend washout; and Dune 2, which took just over $700 million all told, looked relatively unchallenged as the year’s top grosser, much to the chagrin of its director.

Compared to the first half of 2023, when there were flashy new installments from the Fast and Furious factory’s never-ending production line, Marvel’s Guardians of the Galaxy series, and the world of Super Mario, the first 6 months of the year didn’t convince enough American moviegoers to switch off the endless stream of at-home content and get out to their local theaters.

But then things started to get emotional.

On June 14th, Pixar released the follow up to its critically acclaimed 2015 effort Inside Out, an animated adventure set almost exclusively within the confines of an 11-year-old girl’s brain as her emotions take over. Despite Pixar’s recent stumbles, the long-awaited sequel was tipped to be the biggest opening of the year with a projected $80-90 million haul. However, the movie outstripped even the most optimistic expectations and took $155 million in its first weekend, making it the best opening since Barbie last July.

Inside Out 2 is smashing the box office

The Inside Out 2 hype train hasn’t really slowed since either. It became the fastest animated movie in history to cross the $1 billion threshold at the global box office, before going on to become the highest grossing Pixar film ever, and the 4th biggest animated movie of all time. Indeed, when compared to the other $1 billion+ animations like Frozen or Finding Dory, IO2 continues to pace ahead of its competition, having taken ~$545 million in its first 26 days at the domestic box office.

Overjoyed

Like Riley, the now 13-year-old protagonist who welcomes a host of new feelings to her headspace in Inside Out 2, Pixar execs will likely be experiencing a heady cocktail of emotions such as joy, shock, and perhaps a little relief at how their latest movie has landed. The film interrupts a flurry of critical and commercial underperformers, like Lightyear and Elemental, that the Disney-owned studio’s put out since the pandemic.

As our Sherwood colleague Walt Hickey observed, “it’s generally a profitable notion to release animated films intended for families, especially during the summer months when kids are off from school”, rather than giving them a limited theater run, palming them straight off to streamers, or scrapping them altogether for tax purposes.

That notion was supported further by Despicable Me 4, the 6th overall installment in the Minion Cinematic Universe, which took $122 million over the July 4th holiday period — an entry that is already being touted in tandem with Inside Out 2 as “saving the summer” for the movie biz.

 The box office: rolling 12 month domestic gross

Family favorites

Cinema owners have been crying out for something besides Dune 2 to pique the interests of the American movie-going public for months now, after a string of flops — even by the tempered “New Normal” standards — in 2024. It was a rough start to the year for the US box office, with the Hollywood Reporter noting that takings in the first month were the lowest they’d been in January for over 25 years (excluding the pandemic era). The $364 million total in February was even worse.

June’s $966 million tally, on the other hand, is one of the highest monthly gross figures the domestic box office has seen in the post-pandemic world, and July could be on course to continue the hot streak thanks to the 2 family-friendly animations currently dominating the charts (not to mention the upcoming Deadpool & Wolverine).

Well-made animations have proven to be a tried and tested method of getting adults to splash out on tickets for themselves and their children, with the most successful examples often tapping into the “four quadrant” model, offering subtler jokes or more mature themes for older watchers alongside typically kid-friendly content.

Circling back

But, while Inside Out 2 and Despicable Me 4 might be helping to reinvigorate the summer box office, neither movie does much to counter the criticism that’s been plaguing the industry for years: Hollywood is running low on original ideas. Indeed, many of the most popular movies every year are now follow-ups, prequels, and part 2s, 3s, 4s, etc.

Sequelitis

While checking back in on a beloved set of characters has, of course, been a rich content seam that movie makers have mined for decades, sequels only really started to dominate in the last 15 years.

On average, from 2019 to 2024, roughly 50% of the top 10 grossing movies of each year contained a number, numeral, or “:” that clearly denoted that the film was part of a series. That’s up from just over 10% in the latter half of the 1990s, when only 7 titles contained the symbols that we’ve come to associate with Hollywood cashing in with second, third, and fourth parts. To put that into perspective, 8 of the top 10 highest grossing movies of 2024 so far have numbers or colons in them. Even the 2 exceptions to the pattern don’t ooze originality: there’s The Garfield Movie, the titular cat having been kicking around since the late 1970s, and yet another Planet of the Apes film.

For years, superhero movies were holding up the box office, as Marvel movie after Marvel movie broke record after record. But, with signs that audiences have started losing interest in the genre, perhaps the duty will fall to wholesome family-friendly animations to keep our silver screens alive. If so, you can be sure that any hint of success will undoubtedly birth a “franchise” and a decades-spanning series of movies… still, Shrek 5 is something to get excited about.

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Prediction markets show Chalamet in the lead for Best Actor, but Actor Awards could shake up race

The final voting period has kicked off for the 98th Academy Awards. Up until last weekend, many of the main categories seemed like a lock. While “Hamnet” star Jessie Buckley has been the predicted front-runner for the Best Actress statuette for some time now, the Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor and Actress races have been upended following the BAFTA Film Awards.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

While Timothée Chamalet still remains in the lead for the Best Actor prize, his odds have gone down slightly after he lost the BAFTA award, while the wins of Wunmi Mosaku and Sean Penn in the supporting categories have made it a more exciting race. Here’s a roundup of what some experts and awards pundits have said this week:

  • While Gold Derby still has Chalamet as the front-runner for the Actor Award (and the Oscar), his odds have gone down slightly following the BAFTA loss. Surprisingly, the publication has “Weapons” star Amy Madigan in the lead to win the Actor Award for supporting actress, while they have Penn as the front-runner getting the Actor Award for supporting actor.

  • Numlock Awards reports that the BAFTA Awards reshaped the Oscars race, with Chalamet’s loss throwing the Best Actor race “into chaos” following “I Swear” star Robert Aramayo’s win. (He was not eligible to be nominated for an Oscar.)

  • Meanwhile, Variety’s Clayton Davis reports that the Oscars race has officially become “fractured, unpredictable and thrilling” following the BAFTA Awards. However, he predicts that “Sinners” star Michael B. Jordan will win the Actor Award this weekend and has heard rumblings that “Blue Moon” star Ethan Hawke could pull a last-minute victory. 

  • IndieWire’s Anne Thompson says that Chalamet is “good to go” for the Actor Awards and the Oscars, adding that the Best Supporting Actress and Actor categories are the ones to keep an eye on.

  • Deadline’s Pete Hammond believes that Chalamet’s BAFTA loss doesn’t necessarily impact the Actor Awards — Aramayo isn’t nominated for an Oscar and the BAFTA Awards tend to favor homegrown actors. He agreed with many of the other pundits in that Mosaku and Penn’s wins add more suspense.

  • AwardsRadar’s Joey Magidson points out that no one has ever won two Actor Awards in a row, which could open Chalamet up to an upset win from Hawke. 

  • Meanwhile, AwardsWatch’s Erik Anderson has Chalamet as a lock for the Actor Award, though he lists Jordan as the follow-up should there be a surprise win in that category.

The Actor Awards are on Sunday, and whoever wins that evening could lock in the fate of the actors in the lead and supporting Oscar categories.

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culture

Apple and Netflix announce a Formula 1 content swap

Just months after Apple signed a five-year, $140 million-per-year deal for US media rights to Formula 1 races, the streamer is sharing with Netflix.

In a rare content swap, Apple TV will allow Netflix to simulcast the F1 Canadian Grand Prix in May. Netflix, in turn, will allow Apple to carry its popular “Drive to Survive” docuseries.

“Drive to Survive” will land on the queues of both Netflix and Apple TV at 12 a.m. PT this Friday.

The docuseries has been a major driving force behind F1’s increasing popularity in the US, with more than half of the sport’s followers crediting “Drive to Survive” as a key reason they became fans, per a 2022 survey.

“Drive to Survive” will land on the queues of both Netflix and Apple TV at 12 a.m. PT this Friday.

The docuseries has been a major driving force behind F1’s increasing popularity in the US, with more than half of the sport’s followers crediting “Drive to Survive” as a key reason they became fans, per a 2022 survey.

culture

Trump’s speech broke the record for the longest State of the Union address ever

Much like the US men’s hockey team as they walked into the House Chamber during President Trump’s address, there would have been plenty of “mention” traders celebrating at least a few of the president’s ~10,600 words on Tuesday evening, including “hottest,” “egg,” and “alien.”

Lasting almost 108 minutes, Trump’s speech yesterday officially became the longest State of the Union address of the television age, per Bloomberg, surpassing the previous record of 89 minutes set by President Bill Clinton in 2000.

According to data compiled by The American Presidency Project, the president’s address was almost double the average length of all recorded SOTU speeches since 1964, which works out as 55 minutes.

Trump SOTU address
Sherwood News

The speech also marked what could be a new personal best in terms of length for Trump, beating his remarks to Congress in March 2025 by 8 minutes, though this was not included in the average as, according to the APP, it was not an official “State of the Union” speech.

The APP also calculated a preliminary figure for 2026 in terms of word count, and the current president trumped all other spoken-word SOTU addresses. Some addresses, however, haven’t been verbally delivered, and a couple of the written versions have racked up considerably greater tallies — most notably Jimmy Carter’s 1981 written address, which came in at 33,667 words in total.

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