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AI WASHING

AI is becoming a go-to reason for layoffs — but is it actually replacing workers?

Economists say the technology's footprint on the job market remains hard to find... for now.

The US labor market is at an interesting place. On the one hand, unemployment remains pretty low. But corporate America is still unwinding some of the pandemic-era hiring binge — data out yesterday from outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed that layoffs in January were the highest to start a year since 2009.

And some of those job cuts are being blamed on AI.

Just last week, Pinterest said it would trim ~15% of its workforce, with CEO Bill Ready telling staff he was “doubling down on an AI-forward approach.” Dow Chemical announced plans to cut about 4,500 jobs while leaning into “AI and automation.” Amazon slashed 16,000 jobs, continuing cuts from last year alongside a slew of tech giants like Microsoft, Meta and Salesforce — all of which have linked job cuts to AI-driven efficiency gains

According to Challenger, nearly 55,000 US job cuts were attributed to AI in 2025. That's roughly a 13-fold increase from two years earlier, when the category was first tracked.

Blame game

However, a growing body of research questions whether jobs are actually being lost to AI — or whether employers are simply "AI-washing,” using the investor-friendly buzzword to explain their downsizing decisions.

In a January report, Oxford Economics suggests the role of AI in recent layoffs may be “overstated," noting that productivity growth hasn’t accelerated in a way consistent with widespread labor replacement. Attributing job cuts to AI, they add, “conveys a more positive message to investors” than citing weak demand or past overhiring. Meanwhile, new analysis from Yale Budget Lab finds that employment patterns look largely unchanged from pre-AI trends.

So why is AI looming so large in layoff narratives today, even as its macro impact remains hard to spot? One possibility is that companies are downsizing for what AI might deliver in the future, not what it already can.

Indeed, 60% of organizations have already reduced headcount in anticipation of AI’s future impact, according to a December Harvard Business Review survey of more than 1,000 global executives. Another 29% have slowed hiring for the same reason, while just 2% said they’ve made large layoffs tied to actual AI implementation.

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Stellantis dives after announcing €22 billion (~$26 billion) charge related to its EV pullback

Stellantis shares are tumbling on Friday, down as much as 25% in trading in Milan, with its US listing suffering similarly in the premarket, after the Jeep owner announced it would take €22 billion (~$26.5 billion) worth of charges related to scaling down its electric vehicle ambitions.

Announcing a “reset” of its business, Stellantis detailed that the charges “largely reflect the cost of over-estimating the pace of the energy transition that distanced us from many car buyers’ real-world needs, means and desires,” as well as “previous poor operational execution.” The company’s board has also authorized the company to issue up to €5 billion of non-convertible subordinated perpetual hybrid bonds, in order to preserve “a strong balance sheet and liquidity position” while the business looks to get back to positive FCF generation.

The breakdown of the losses are as follows:

  • €14.7 billion for changing product plans (largely reflecting significantly reduced expectations for BEV products).

    • Write-offs related to cancelled products of €2.9 billion.

    • Impairment of platforms of €6.0 billion.

    • €5.8 billion of which will be cash payments spread over the next four years, relating to “cancelled products as well as other ongoing BEV products whose volumes are now expected to be considerably below prior projections.”

  • €2.1 billion of charges related to the resizing of the EV supply chain.

    • €0.7 billion of which will be cash payments also spread over the next four years.

  • €5.4 billion related to other changes in the Company’s operations

Stellantis’ strong bet on electric vehicles under former boss Carlos Tavares has been de-emphasized since Antonio Filosa became the CEO in June 2025, but this morning’s announcement suggests a much more significant shift in strategy.

The company also noted that these initial measures have returned its business to positive volume growth, sharing that the company notched 1.5 million units shipped in Q4 2025, up 9% year-on-year, in a separate report.

Stellantis will host a call at 08:00 ET to discuss the preliminary results, before releasing its full-year report on February 26.

The company also said it will not pay an annual dividend in 2026 and announced that it agreed to sell its 49% stake in battery manufacturer NextStar Energy to LG Energy Solution.

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Novo and Lilly rise, Hims falls on FDA “illegal copycat drugs” warning

Investors are reacting premarket to US Food and Drug Administration commissioner Marty Makary signaling a crackdown on unapproved drugs that are marketed as being similar to FDA-approved products.

In an X post on Thursday, Makary said the FDA would “take swift action against companies mass-marketing illegal copycat drugs, claiming they are similar to FDA-approved products,” adding that the agency “cannot verify the quality, safety, or effectiveness” of such products.

While Makary’s post didn't single out specific companies, it came shortly after telehealth firm Hims & Hers rolled out a much cheaper compounded version of Novo's newly-launched Wegovy pill, starting at $49 a month. Hims’ product is not FDA-approved and has not undergone clinical trials to prove safety and efficacy, and Novo yesterday threatened legal and regulatory action.

The launch had initially sparked a selloff in shares of Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly, the latter of which is expected to debut its own oral weight-loss pill in April and has pledged lower pricing.

Following Makary’s comments, Hims shares fell about 6% as of 6 a.m. ET, while Novo and Lilly partially erased earlier losses, rising 7.5% and 3.8%, respectively.

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Molina implodes after earnings miss, gloomy guidance

Molina Healthcare tanked after it reported earnings results that missed Wall Street expectations and gave disappointing full-year guidance.

For the last three months of 2025, Molina reported:

  • An adjusted loss per share of $2.75, compared to the $0.34 earnings per share analysts polled by FactSet were expecting. The company said about $2 per share of its earnings miss was due to retroactive premium adjustments attributable to the Company’s Medicaid business in California and ongoing medical cost pressure in Medicare and Marketplace.

  • Revenue of $11.3 billion, compared to the $10.8 billion the Street was penciling in.

  • A medical cost ratio of 94.6%, higher than the 93.1% analysts expected.

For the full year in 2026, Molina expects:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of at least $5.00, compared to the $13.66 analysts had forecast. Molina said its guidance takes into account ongoing losses in its traditional Medicare Advantage Part D business, which it now plans to exit in 2027.

  • Revenues of about $42.2 billion, compared to the $46.6 billion analysts had penciled in.

  • Its medical cost ratio to sit at 92.6%, while analysts had expected 91.4%.

Health insurers have been under pressure for the past year amid rising health costs. Molina, one of the largest providers of ACA Marketplace plans, has taken a hit as tax credits for the program lapsed in January.

Molinas report also dragged down competitors, including Centene, which is also a major provider of ACA plans and reports earnings Friday morning.

Bloom Energy Reports earnings

Bloom Energy surges after topping expectations for sales, EPS

Here’s how the print looked at first glance.

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Roblox surges as it guides for stronger-than-expected full-year bookings, touts AI vision

Kid-centric gaming platform Roblox reported its fourth-quarter results after the market closed on Thursday. Its shares surged more than 20% in after-hours trading.

For the full year ahead, Roblox guided for bookings of between $8.28 billion and $8.55 billion, which would represent annual growth of 22% to 26%. That’s well ahead of Wall Street’s estimates: analysts polled by FactSet expected $8.03 billion.

Roblox forecasts Q1 bookings to land between $1.69 billion and $1.74 billion, compared to the $1.7 billion Wall Street consensus estimate.

An average of 144 million daily users logged on to Roblox in its fourth quarter, beating estimates of 138 million and up 69% from last year. The platform paid out $1.5 billion to creators last year, up from $922 million in 2024.

Roblox engagement surged in 2025, a year marred by several legal issues surrounding child safety on the platform. Late last year, analysts began to warn that some of its most popular titles were past their peak.

Recently, shares of the company have dropped on investor fears of Google’s Project Genie AI tool, which generates playable worlds. As of Thursday’s close, Roblox had shed more than $10 billion in market cap since Project Genie launched. On Wednesday, Roblox appeared to answer Genie’s release with the open beta launch of its own “4D” generative-AI tool. Roblox’s tool lets users generate objects made up of multiple working parts (e.g., a drivable car with spinning wheels) as opposed to static 3D objects.

In its letter to shareholders, Roblox said it was “innovating aggressively in AI to accelerate the creation of content, improve the safety of our platform, and fuel ongoing user engagement, discovery and monetization improvements.”

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