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Amazon beats on Q2 earnings, but Q3 profit forecast comes in light; capex goes sky-high

Amazon posted quarterly results on Thursday afternoon.

Jon Keegan

Amazon blew past Wall Street’s expectations for second-quarter sales and profit, and the tech giant smashed the accelerator pedal on capex spending.

Still, shares were down 3.5% in recent after-hours trading, as its forecast for third-quarter operating profit came in light.

The company posted $167.7 billion in sales for Q2, growing 13% from the same quarter a year earlier and topping analysts’ expectations of $162.19 billion.

Earnings per share came in at $1.68, beating analysts’ expectations of $1.33, according to FactSet.

The company’s capital expenditures — a number that has been watched closely in recent quarters as tech giants spend bucketloads of money to build the infrastructure to power AI — totaled $32.18 billion, up a whopping 83% from a year earlier. That compared to analysts’ forecasts of $26.36 billion and first-quarter spending of $25 billion.

Amazon’s AWS cloud business saw revenue grow 17.5% year on year to $30.9 billion, powered by huge demand for AI. The Street was expecting $30.817 billion.

The company also gave third-quarter guidance, with its operating income forecast falling mostly below Wall Street’s consensus. It anticipates operating income of $15.5 billion to $20.5 billion, compared to estimates of $19.49 billion. Amazon said it expects sales of $174 billion to $179.5 billion, versus Wall Street’s consensus of $173.27 billion.

Some highlights for the quarter:

  • Advertising revenue was $15.694 billion, up 23% year on year. The company has joined others in the industry by offering generative-AI tools for advertisers to easily make ads from text prompts.

  • Subscription revenue (Amazon Prime, audiobooks, etc.) was up 12% year on year, delivering $12.208 billion for the quarter.

  • In June, Amazon announced it was expanding its same-day shipping to over 4,000 rural towns in a big push to reach more customers.

  • This year saw a longer four-day Prime Day event (which may have had slower sales than expected).

  • The new AI-enhanced Alexa+ “early access” program has been expanded to “millions of customers.”

  • The company introduced “Vulcan,” a new robot that can see, touch, and navigate human spaces.

  • “AI Zones” are being developed in Saudi Arabia (with HUMAIN) and Korea (with SK Group).

Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said AI was starting to seep into many parts of the company’s business, including the new AI-upgraded Alexa, shopping agents, and improvements to the company’s fleet of robots. In the earnings release, Jassy said:

“Our AI progress across the board continues to improve our customer experiences, speed of innovation, operational efficiency, and business growth, and I’m excited for what lies ahead.”

AI may also be affecting the company’s workforce of 1.5 million employees. Jassy told staff in June that productivity boosts from AI will “reduce our total corporate workforce as we get efficiency gains from using AI extensively across the company.”

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Oracle soars after TikTok signs agreement to sell its US operations to consortium that includes the cloud computing giant

Oracle is up 5.5% in premarket trading on Friday following yesterday’s news that TikTok owner ByteDance signed contracts with three major investors who are leading a joint venture to take over the short-form video app’s US operations, per a widely-cited company memo from TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew.

The trio of parties in that consortium are the cloud computing company, private equity firm Silver Lake, and MGX, a tech investment company backed by Abu Dhabi.

Per reports, the structure of the deal is roughly aligned with what was outlined in September, which valued TikTok’s US operations at about $14 billion. Relative to some less-popular peers, that seems like a pretty low price tag, so picking up doomscrolling on a discount (or if you prefer, short-term video browsing on a budget) looks to be a worthy catalyst for the bump in the beaten-down hyperscaler’s shares. And that’s even before mentioning the potential for Oracle’s cloud business to enhance its preexisting relationship with TikTok.

CAMARILLO, CA FEBRUARY 09: A cannabis farm worker de-leafs cann

Trump signs executive order expediting reclassification of marijuana as a less dangerous drug

Rescheduling would lift regulatory pressures that have been weighing on US cannabis operators’ margins. Shares of weed companies, many of which don’t sell cannabis in the US, tumbled an hour before the executive order was signed.

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Rivian climbs as it rolls out a “universal hands-free” update and scores an upgrade from Baird

Shares of EV maker Rivian are on pace for their 10th best day of 2025 on Thursday, following an upgrade from Baird to “buy” from “hold” and the rollout of its new hands-free driving update.

Baird raised its price target on Rivian nearly 79% to $25, writing that “2026 is the year of R2.”

Meanwhile, Rivian says its new hands-free feature will allow drivers to take their hands off the wheel across 3.5 million miles of US and Canadian roads.

Despite referring to it as universal hands-free driving, the EV maker says the feature will not stop or slow for traffic lights or stop signs, follow navigation systems, or make turns, and will function only on roads with visible lane lines.

Rivian revealed the update at its AI Day last week, when it also hinted at a robotaxi plan.

Meanwhile, Rivian says its new hands-free feature will allow drivers to take their hands off the wheel across 3.5 million miles of US and Canadian roads.

Despite referring to it as universal hands-free driving, the EV maker says the feature will not stop or slow for traffic lights or stop signs, follow navigation systems, or make turns, and will function only on roads with visible lane lines.

Rivian revealed the update at its AI Day last week, when it also hinted at a robotaxi plan.

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The stock market loves your rising electricity bill

Utilities with a footprint in the massive PJM Interconnection, the country’s largest power grid, were up Thursday after prices set in a key auction hit a record high of $333.44 per megawatt-day.

Such power providers, including Talen Energy, Constellation Energy, and Vistra, saw tidy gains shortly before midday.

“This auction leaves no doubt that data centers’ demand for electricity continues to far outstrip new supply, and the solution will require concerted action involving PJM, its stakeholders, state and federal partners, and the data center industry itself,” Stu Bresler, set to become PJM’s chief operating officer next month, told Reuters.

As I’ve previously mused, political pushback from high power prices, partially created by the AI boom, could become a constraint on development of such sites. Democrats in the US Senate are now calling for hearings on the issue.

It’s fertile political soil. This morning’s US CPI report for November showed electricity prices up nearly 7% year over year, the highest since the tail end of the postpandemic inflation in April 2023.

“This auction leaves no doubt that data centers’ demand for electricity continues to far outstrip new supply, and the solution will require concerted action involving PJM, its stakeholders, state and federal partners, and the data center industry itself,” Stu Bresler, set to become PJM’s chief operating officer next month, told Reuters.

As I’ve previously mused, political pushback from high power prices, partially created by the AI boom, could become a constraint on development of such sites. Democrats in the US Senate are now calling for hearings on the issue.

It’s fertile political soil. This morning’s US CPI report for November showed electricity prices up nearly 7% year over year, the highest since the tail end of the postpandemic inflation in April 2023.

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