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Amazon slides as it misses on Q4 earnings, gives downbeat profit guidance

The tech giant also forecast it would spend $200 billion on capex in 2026.

Amazon shares slid after the company missed Wall Street’s expectations for fourth-quarter earnings, gave downbeat first-quarter profit guidance, and forecast a whopping $200 billion of capital expenditure this year.

The stock was down 9% in recent after-hours trading.

For the fourth quarter, Amazon’s earnings per share came in at $1.95, falling short of analysts’ consensus estimate of $1.97, according to FactSet.

Sales grew 14% to $213.4 billion, ahead of analysts’ expectations of $211.43 billion.

The tech giant also forecast first-quarter operating income of $16.5 billion to $21.5 billion, well below the Wall Street forecast for $22.18 billion. It sees sales landing between $173.5 billion and $178.5 billion, compared with analysts’ expectations for $175.62 billion.

Amazon’s AWS cloud business saw revenue jump 24% year on year to $35.6 billion, powered by huge demand for AI. The Street was expecting $34.9 billion.

The company’s capital expenditure — a number that’s been watched closely in recent quarters as tech giants spend vast sums of money to build the infrastructure to power AI — totaled $39.5 billion, topping analysts’ forecasts of $34.37 billion.

Amazon continued a trend of Big Tech companies laying out plans for monster capital spending, saying it expects to invest about $200 billion in capital expenditure this year.

On the earnings call, Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said that the company had a backlog of $244 billion worth of AWS revenue, up 40% year over year.

Some highlights for the quarter:

  • The Trainium and Gravitron custom AI chips have a combined annual revenue of over $10 billion, growing fast.

  • Trainium4 chips are expected to start delivery in 2027.

  • Physical-store sales came in at $5.85 billion.

  • Advertising revenue was $21.37 billion, up 23% year on year.

  • Subscription revenue (Amazon Prime, audiobooks, etc.) was up 14% year on year, at $13.1 billion for the quarter.

Last week, Amazon announced it would reduce its corporate workforce by an additional 16,000 employees, after laying off 14,000 workers in October.

Go Deeper: For hyperscalers like Amazon, how much capex is too much?

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Molina implodes after earnings miss, gloomy guidance

Molina Healthcare tanked after it reported earnings results that missed Wall Street expectations and gave disappointing full-year guidance.

For the last three months of 2025, Molina reported:

  • An adjusted loss per share of $2.75, compared to the $0.34 earnings per share analysts polled by FactSet were expecting. The company said about $2 per share of its earnings miss was due to retroactive premium adjustments attributable to the Company’s Medicaid business in California and ongoing medical cost pressure in Medicare and Marketplace.

  • Revenue of $11.3 billion, compared to the $10.8 billion the Street was penciling in.

  • A medical cost ratio of 94.6%, higher than the 93.1% analysts expected.

For the full year in 2026, Molina expects:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of at least $5.00, compared to the $13.66 analysts had forecast. Molina said its guidance takes into account ongoing losses in its traditional Medicare Advantage Part D business, which it now plans to exit in 2027.

  • Revenues of about $42.2 billion, compared to the $46.6 billion analysts had penciled in.

  • Its medical cost ratio to sit at 92.6%, while analysts had expected 91.4%.

Health insurers have been under pressure for the past year amid rising health costs. Molina, one of the largest providers of ACA Marketplace plans, has taken a hit as tax credits for the program lapsed in January.

Molinas report also dragged down competitors, including Centene, which is also a major provider of ACA plans and reports earnings Friday morning.

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Roblox surges as it guides for stronger-than-expected full-year bookings, touts AI vision

Kid-centric gaming platform Roblox reported its fourth-quarter results after the market closed on Thursday. Its shares surged more than 20% in after-hours trading.

For the full year ahead, Roblox guided for bookings of between $8.28 billion and $8.55 billion, which would represent annual growth of 22% to 26%. That’s well ahead of Wall Street’s estimates: analysts polled by FactSet expected $8.03 billion.

Roblox forecasts Q1 bookings to land between $1.69 billion and $1.74 billion, compared to the $1.7 billion Wall Street consensus estimate.

An average of 144 million daily users logged on to Roblox in its fourth quarter, beating estimates of 138 million and up 69% from last year. The platform paid out $1.5 billion to creators last year, up from $922 million in 2024.

Roblox engagement surged in 2025, a year marred by several legal issues surrounding child safety on the platform. Late last year, analysts began to warn that some of its most popular titles were past their peak.

Recently, shares of the company have dropped on investor fears of Google’s Project Genie AI tool, which generates playable worlds. As of Thursday’s close, Roblox had shed more than $10 billion in market cap since Project Genie launched. On Wednesday, Roblox appeared to answer Genie’s release with the open beta launch of its own “4D” generative-AI tool. Roblox’s tool lets users generate objects made up of multiple working parts (e.g., a drivable car with spinning wheels) as opposed to static 3D objects.

In its letter to shareholders, Roblox said it was “innovating aggressively in AI to accelerate the creation of content, improve the safety of our platform, and fuel ongoing user engagement, discovery and monetization improvements.”

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Palantir continues to dive as retail favorites, momentum stocks get hit

Palantir’s market pounding continues, as the intelligence, defense, and commercial AI software company slumps along with other retail favorites, bitcoin, and high-beta momentum trades such as space plays AST SpaceMobile and Rocket Lab, and quantum computing trades D-Wave Quantum and Rigetti Computing through the first half of Thursday’s session.

Palantir partisans could credibly argue that Alex Karp’s company shouldn’t be lumped in with that sort of crowd, some of which are a long way from profits, when Palantir has posted outstanding financial performance in recent quarters. But the market doesn’t seem to be listening — or at least, has stopped hearing reassurance after the stock’s massive run-up.

Thursday’s drop of more than 5% — shortly before 12 p.m. in New York — brings its cumulative losses to more than 35% since its November 3, 2025, all-time closing high. And that’s done considerable amounts of damage to the technical backdrop for the shares.

Late last month, Palantir traded far below its 200-day moving average, a key level of technical support that had held since May 2023, when the shares first started to gather steam. A break below the 200-day moving average underscores a serious loss of momentum for a stock, and can prompt some traders to reconsider their views on whether a stock that has been a winner has truly lost its mojo.

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