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Applied Digital Q3 results crush estimates

The AI data center operator just released its fiscal Q3 results.

Applied Digital delivered Q3 results far better than expected, but the stock is running into some overhead resistance.

For its fiscal Q3, the data center operator reported:

  • Revenue of $126.6 million (estimate: $76.5 million).

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $44.1 million (estimate: $20.8 million).

The stock had risen double digits during regular trading on Wednesday, with enthusiasm for risk assets returning as the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire. It was up another 3% after-hours, briefly breaching $30, before paring gains.

That $30 level is noteworthy, as it’s the strike with by far the most call open interest among options expiring this Friday. So if the shares are unable to breach that level, that will likely fuel some mechanical selling pressure as the contracts become less likely to be money-good following this catalyst.

“We are also starting to see the earnings power of our platform come through, with a full quarter of revenue from our first building now recognized,” Chairman and CEO Wes Cummins said in a press release. “That initial 100 MW represents approximately one-sixth of our contracted capacity and one-tenth of what is operating or under construction, but we believe it begins to show what’s possible from here as we continue to bring additional capacity online in the coming quarters.”

During the conference call that followed Q2 results three months ago, Cummins said that the company was in “advanced discussions” on three sites that represent 900 megawatts in total with “another investment-grade hyperscaler across multiple regions.” Investors will be hoping that management reports progress on those talks in this release or the subsequent call.

Earnings reactions have been incredibly strong for APLD in recent quarters, with the shares gaining 8%, 16%, and 31% the session after dropping its three most recent sets of results.

The options-implied move for the stock on earnings is plus or minus 13.2%.

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Infleqtion targets revenue growth of 23% in 2026, up from 12% in 2025

Quantum computing firm Infleqtion said it’s aiming to book $40 million in sales this year as it released its 2025 results after the close on Wednesday.

That would be an increase of roughly 23% compared to the $32.5 million in revenues the company generated in 2025, and would mark an acceleration from growth of 12% last year.

The seller of quantum sensors and computers went public via a SPAC in February after carrying a pre-money valuation of $1.8 billion (well below other pure-play peers like Rigetti Computing, IonQ, and D-Wave Quantum).

“We did $29 million in revenue in 2024, and then we announced that we did $50 million of booked and awarded business in 2025. I think that sets a good foundation for significant revenue growth going forward,” CEO Matthew Kinsella told us in February. “I’ve always deeply believed that we need to develop that muscle of commercialization.”

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Retail traders are selling everything but the Magnificent 7, per JPMorgan

JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain with the skinny on retail trading activity through 11:30 a.m. ET today:

“Retail investors are selling into today’s strength in both ETFs and Single Stocks. In ETFs, they are trimming their broad-based exposure — a major departure from their typical pattern.”

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF and ProShares UltraPro QQQ suffered particularly large outflows, per Jain.

The exceptions to the selling pressure are the Magnificent 7 stocks, he wrote, with Nvidia, Tesla, Meta, and Microsoft enjoying “small net purchases,” while Micron, TSMC, Exxon, and Chevron were the most dumped names.

Retail trading 4/8

Last week, Jain noted that retail traders had been “skipping the dips, selling into rallies, and positioning more defensively” with markets jittery amid the ongoing Mideast war.

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Avis shorts facing $1.1 billion in losses as car rental company racks up 155% gains in its recent rally

Whatever traders are doing with Avis — buying, or just renting — it’s causing short sellers an immense amount of pain.

Shares of the car rental company have traded violently on Wednesday, from up nearly 7% at their highs to down almost 4% at their lows, after a face-ripping rally of 155% over the previous 11 sessions.

Per exchange data, roughly half the shares were sold short as of mid-March. S3 Partners, which tracks higher-frequency measures, said that short interest as a share of float had recently been trimmed to about 43%, down from as high as 53% at the start of the year.

Per Matthew Unterman, managing director at S3, Avis shorts are down $1.1 billion on paper over the past 30 days.

This isn’t Avis’ first rodeo: shares went parabolic in Q4 2021 as part of a meme stock moment in which it briefly became the most valuable company in the Russell 2000 small-cap index.

In any event, cheers to u/Bright_Leopard_4326, who admonished other members of the r/ShortSqueeze subreddit for not paying enough attention to the potential for a boom in the stock 10 days ago, when shares were trading below $150.

AVIS short squeeze
Source: r/ShortSqueeze
Persian Gulf

Even with a fragile ceasefire in place, the energy crisis is far from over. Here’s what to watch for.

In a Q&A with Sherwood, commodities analyst Rory Johnston lays out how to better understand the oil market’s situation.

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