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Bill Ackman
Bill Ackman (Sylvain Gaboury, Patrick McMullan/Getty Images)

Bill Ackman’s pricey IPO plan

Pershing Square’s fundraising efforts need to bear fruit for this valuation to make sense

Jack Raines

Bill Ackman made headlines this morning after The Wall Street Journal reported that he is planning to take his investment fund, Pershing Square, public in late 2025 or early 2026. As a precursor to the planned IPO, Ackman is also selling a stake in the firm to investors in a funding round that will value Pershing Square at approximately $10.5B.

It’s rare for a hedge fund to IPO in the US because the US Investment Company Act of 1940 prevents investing groups from charging retail investors expensive performance fees, such as the “2 and 20” that is common for hedge funds. Hedge funds can, however, charge “qualified purchasers” (generally high-net worth clients or institutions) higher fees, which is why hedge funds are typically private.

However, Bill Ackman isn’t looking to take a “hedge fund” public. To quote the Journal piece (emphasis ours):

Pershing Square has told potential investors to compare it to asset managers like Brookfield Asset Management and Blue Owl Capital rather than hedge funds. Brookfield’s market value is about $15 billion; it has more than $925 billion in assets under management. Blue Owl’s market value is about $28 billion and it manages more than $174 billion.

Basically, Ackman isn’t looking to take a specific investment vehicle public. He wants to IPO the holding company that happens to own several investment vehicles, which… kind of makes sense?

As of their February 2024 annual report, Pershing Square had $18.2B in assets under management (AUM), consisting of the following:

  • $14.6B in a closed-end Europe fund (PSH), which is listed on the Amsterdam and London exchanges

  • $1.6B in an investment vehicle that it used to purchase a stake of United Music Group

  • $2B in traditional hedge funds

Pershing listed its largest fund in the European markets in 2014 to skirt US regulations regarding fees: while they couldn’t charge high performance fees on a publicly traded US-listed fund, they can (and do) charge a 1.5% management fee and a 16% performance fee on their European fund.

The planned IPO would sell stakes in the parent entity controlling the funds, which wouldn’t charge high management fees, rather than a specific investment vehicle. While The Wall Street Journal reported that the $10.5B valuation looks high, (for context, Blue Owl Capital is worth $28B with $174B in AUM), the firm justified its valuation by explaining that it will soon manage much more money. From the Journal piece:

The firm justified its rich valuation to investors by explaining that it expects to manage considerably more money, and eventually earn more in fees, after Pershing Square U.S.A. and other funds launch, people familiar with the matter said.

In February, Ackman announced plans to launch a $10 billion US-based closed-end fund which, importantly, would not charge a performance fee, and just a flat 2% management fee, keeping it within US regulations. 

Additionally, Pershing also received SEC approval to raise a multi-billion dollar “special-purpose acquisition rights company,” or SPARC, to take a private company public, which would further increase its AUM.

Why is Ackman now prioritizing the American market after a decade with most of his firm’s capital in Europe? One reason is that Pershing’s Europe-listed fund is trading at a ~27% discount to its net asset value (NAV), meaning that the price per share of its fund is worth 27% less than the value of its underlying assets. If Pershing’s European fund traded at a premium to its NAV, Pershing could issue new shares and raise money until the price per share matched the underlying assets. With its share price at a discount, however, any capital raise in Europe would be below the fund’s intrinsic value.

While Pershing’s $10 billion valuation feels high for the firm right now, that number could look more reasonable in the future depending on the company’s ability to raise funds for its new US closed-end fund, its SPARC, and any other ventures that Ackman may have up his sleeve.

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Data center trade deep in the red

The data center trade is seeing its steepest sell-off since the market rout that was ignited by President Donald Trump’s Rose Garden tariff announcement back in April.

Goldman Sachs’ themed basket of AI data center shares was down more than 6% at around 12 p.m. ET, putting it on track for its worst day since the tariff announcement.

Losses hammered seemingly every form of input needed for the sprawling concrete server warehouses at the heart of the investment boom.

Hardware makers including data storage companies like Sandisk, Western Digital, and Seagate Technology Holdings, as well as DRAM maker Micron — some of the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 this year — were taking a licking, as were networking stocks Cisco and Arista Networks and data center builders such as Vertiv Holdings and electrical and mechanical contractor Emcor.

Optimism for all things AI has seemed to evaporate throughout the week, as the stock market greeted lackluster quarterly numbers from Oracle and Broadcom with jittery sell-offs and concern about growing debts that could crater cash flows.

Those worries seem to be spreading to ancillary beneficiaries of the AI boom on Friday, gouging a chunk out of charts that retail dip buyers have not — at least so far — stepped in to buy as we head into the weekend.

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Oracle denies Bloomberg report that it’s delaying some data centers for OpenAI to 2028 from 2027

Getting a multi-hundred-billion-dollar backlog for cloud computing revenues from data center projects is easy. Building them is hard.

Oracle extended declines to as much as -6.5% on the day on the heels of a Bloomberg report that the cloud giant has pushed back the completion dates for some of the data centers it’s building for OpenAI to 2028 from 2027, citing people familiar with the work. Oracle denied this report, telling Reuters that there have been no delays to any sites required to meet its contractual commitments and that all milestones remain on track.

Shares had fully pared their report-induced drop ahead of Oracle’s reply, but remain in the red for the day.

Bloomberg said the reported postponement was attributed to labor and material shortages.

Oracle has been spending more on capex than Wall Street had anticipated, leading to higher-than-expected cash burn. Management boosted its full-year capital spending plans by $15 billion after reporting Q2 results earlier this week.

Oracle’s cloud infrastructure sales came in short of estimates in its fiscal 2026 Q2, a signal that markets already had reason to doubt its ability to quickly turn its humungous RPO (that is, remaining purchase obligations) into revenues.

Traders also seem to be of the mind that potential delays to data center completions are going to limit sales for what goes into them.

Some of the bigger losers since the Bloomberg headline hit the wires include:

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Broadcom’s post-earnings tumble is weighing on Google’s entire AI ecosystem

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The stocks getting hit hard:

A basket of these Google-linked AI stocks compiled by Morgan Stanley is suffering one of its worst losses of the year. This brisk retreat also follows the release of GPT-5.2 by OpenAI.

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Citi initiates coverage of Planet Labs with “buy” rating

Planet Labs was up after aerospace and defense analysts at Citi initiated coverage with a “buy/high risk” rating and $19 price target.

The stock is up more than 40% this week, after a strong earnings result that spotlighted the company’s growing opportunity in linking its core business of capturing daily images of the planet with AI technologies.

Citi analysts noted the potential for a positive flywheel effect for Planet Labs as it deepens its focus on integrating AI into its offerings:

“AI is accelerating the conversion of pixels to decisions, where Planet’s daily scan and deep archive offer a uniquely large training corpus and broad-area foundation for automation. AI-enabled solutions (MDA/GMS/AMS) are gaining traction with customers such as NATO and the U.S. DoW, validating the approach of integrating AI into broad-area monitoring products... These AI moves create a compounding advantage: more coverage generates more training data, which improves models, which in turn increases product utility and addressable demand.”

The stock has also caught the attention of some of the retail trading crowd, with call options activity spiking on Thursday as traders rode the market reaction to the results.

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