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Luke Kawa

Corporate America’s price targets and profit estimates are getting slashed all over Wall Street

Analysts are increasingly souring on how much money S&P 500 companies will make and how high their stock prices will go.

Strategists at Bloomberg Intelligence track the number of increases versus decreases to 12-month forward earnings-per-share estimates and price cuts from analysts who cover stocks in the S&P 500. Both those metrics are falling off a cliff to hit their lowest levels in at least two years for the week ending April 11:

Some of the cracks in these measures predate any semblance of clarity around tariffs, which suggests that either analysts were ahead of the curve in expecting damage to operating performance (less likely) or they were already responding to early indications of a softening in economic activity.

Unsurprisingly, negative earnings revisions are most pervasive in the consumer discretionary sector, which faces a stiff headwind from tariffs due to its exposure to China.

Given that tariffs tend to push consumer prices higher, it’s no surprise that sales revisions are holding up better than their top-line counterparts. But those are still deep in the red at -0.28.

However, even as they’re cutting estimates and price targets en masse, the sell-side community thinks stocks in their coverage universe are an increasingly good value following the market downturn. Last week, for instance, there were nearly three times as many upgrades as downgrades.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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