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Defense stocks dive, then surge, after Trump calls for record $1.5 trillion defense budget following payout threats

Major defense stocks saw a dramatic V-shaped turn in after-hours trading Wednesday after President Trump called for a record military budget, reversing losses just hours after nosediving on threats to curb industry buybacks and dividends.

The more bullish mood has carried into early trading this morning, with US stocks including Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and L3Harris Technologies up as much as ~7% as of 6:50 a.m. ET, while Huntington Ingalls Industries, Boeing, General Dynamics, and RTX also made more modest gains. European defense players also hit multi-month highs, with Britain’s biggest aerospace and defense company, BAE Systems, rising more than 6% as investors digested the spending idea.

The surge follows Trump’s proposal for a record $1.5 trillion US military budget for 2027, shared on Truth Social late Wednesday, which he said would help build a Dream Military in very troubled and dangerous times. The budget would represent a 66% jump from the $901 billion budget authorized for 2026.

Earlier in yesterday’s session, however, defense equities were under pressure — with Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman both falling as much as ~5% — after Trump said he would not permit dividends or stock buybacks for defense companies until they accelerate equipment deliveries. In a Truth Social post, Trump complained that military equipment was “NOT BEING MADE FAST ENOUGH — urging executives to build NEW and MODERN Production plants while criticizing their pay packages as exorbitant and unjustifiable.

This idea was quickly formalized in a White House executive order, which states that “effective immediately,” large defense contractors “are not permitted in any way, shape, or form to pay dividends or buy back stock, until such time as they are able to produce a superior product, on time and on budget.” Whether the president has the power to enact restrictions on capital allocation on private companies remains unclear.

The swing in defense shares comes days after the US military’s capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, which had buoyed energy and defense stocks as investors price in elevated risk and potential access to Venezuela’s vast oil reserves.

Earlier in yesterday’s session, however, defense equities were under pressure — with Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman both falling as much as ~5% — after Trump said he would not permit dividends or stock buybacks for defense companies until they accelerate equipment deliveries. In a Truth Social post, Trump complained that military equipment was “NOT BEING MADE FAST ENOUGH — urging executives to build NEW and MODERN Production plants while criticizing their pay packages as exorbitant and unjustifiable.

This idea was quickly formalized in a White House executive order, which states that “effective immediately,” large defense contractors “are not permitted in any way, shape, or form to pay dividends or buy back stock, until such time as they are able to produce a superior product, on time and on budget.” Whether the president has the power to enact restrictions on capital allocation on private companies remains unclear.

The swing in defense shares comes days after the US military’s capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, which had buoyed energy and defense stocks as investors price in elevated risk and potential access to Venezuela’s vast oil reserves.

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Intel shares are officially a thing

April most definitely has not been the cruelest month for US chip giant Intel or its shareholders.

The stock is on a remarkable run that’s made it the best performer in the S&P 500 for the month, posting a gain of nearly 43% shortly after 11 a.m. ET Friday. That’s outdone AI darlings like Sandisk, Lumentum, Ciena Corp., Coherent, and Seagate Technology Holdings.

In fact, the monthly view actually underplays the extent of the stock’s performance. Over the eight sessions that ended yesterday — which includes March 31 — the stock was up just shy of 50%. That’s by far its best eight-day streak over the last 30 years.

Investors have eaten up Intel’s announcements this week of partnerships, first with Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s Terafab project, and separately, with Alphabet on developing custom chips for Google Cloud’s AI infrastructure needs.

More broadly, the seemingly relentless demand for computing capacity and chips related to AI seems to present, at least, the prospect of Intel actually solving the long-standing problems at its contract chipmaking business — known as a foundry — that have weighed on the business for years.

Oh, being partially nationalized by the US government amid an increasing global focus on ensuring secure supply chains for crucial technologies like semiconductors probably doesn’t hurt either.

(In case you're keeping track, the US bought a nearly 10% stake in Intel for about $8.9 billion in late August of last year. Today, that stake is worth about $27 billion.)

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Palantir’s slide continues, but President Trump tries to help

Investors were selling Palantir shares again on Friday, with the stock falling as much as 6% before stabilizing, thanks to an assist from the White House.

At its worst moments, the sell-off put the retail favorite on track for its worst weekly loss (more than 16%) since February 2021.

But Palantir has powerful friends: President Trump posted on Truth Social celebrating the company’s “great war fighting capabilities,” sending the stock higher, though it remained in the red.

Truth post on PLTR
(Truth Social)

The overall negative sentiment seems to stem from Anthropic’s powerful new AI models, at least judging from the latest epistle from Palantir bull Dan Ives at Wedbush Securities:

“Anthropic released a new product around multi-agent orchestration, which continues to add more headwinds to the software sector. While Anthropic is hitting a new scale with the company now at $30 billion [annual run rate], up from $9 billion at the start of the year, we believe this is not at the expense of PLTR’s business as the company continues to accelerate both its US commercial and government businesses.”

Of course, the specter of AI undermining of other software companies has been a well-established theme for months. And it’s clearly at play in the market on Friday, with Palo Alto Networks, ServiceNow, CrowdStrike, Zscaler, Figma, and Atlassian continuing to get clocked on negative AI implications.

But the recent inclusion of Palantir among the pack of potentially replaceable software providers is newer, with the view popularized by well-followed market commentator Michael Burry’s pronouncement — since deleted — that Anthropic is “eating Palantir’s lunch,” which seemed to contribute to the downdraft for Palantir today.

The stock dove through its 50-day moving average in recent days, underscoring the sputtering momentum for what has been one of the market’s biggest winners over the last couple years. Long-term holders are still up massively, with the stock up about 1,400% over the last three years.

124% 🚗

China exported more than twice as many electric vehicles (and plug-in hybrids) in the first quarter of 2026 as it did in the same period last year, according to the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA).

New energy vehicle exports surged 124% year over year, as major players like BYD and Chery ramped up overseas efforts to combat lower domestic sales. Tesla’s China business also boosted exports, shipping 164% more EVs than the same period the year before.

Nio is ramping up export efforts as well, with a goal to deliver “several thousand” EVs overseas this year and have a presence in 40 countries. Still, the automaker exported 271 vehicles in Q1 — less than half of a percent of the company’s total deliveries.

According to the CPCA, April will see the country’s automotive industry continue its “slow recovery.”

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