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Defense stocks dive, then surge, after Trump calls for record $1.5 trillion defense budget following payout threats

Major defense stocks saw a dramatic V-shaped turn in after-hours trading Wednesday after President Trump called for a record military budget, reversing losses just hours after nosediving on threats to curb industry buybacks and dividends.

The more bullish mood has carried into early trading this morning, with US stocks including Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and L3Harris Technologies up as much as ~7% as of 6:50 a.m. ET, while Huntington Ingalls Industries, Boeing, General Dynamics, and RTX also made more modest gains. European defense players also hit multi-month highs, with Britain’s biggest aerospace and defense company, BAE Systems, rising more than 6% as investors digested the spending idea.

The surge follows Trump’s proposal for a record $1.5 trillion US military budget for 2027, shared on Truth Social late Wednesday, which he said would help build a Dream Military in very troubled and dangerous times. The budget would represent a 66% jump from the $901 billion budget authorized for 2026.

Earlier in yesterday’s session, however, defense equities were under pressure — with Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman both falling as much as ~5% — after Trump said he would not permit dividends or stock buybacks for defense companies until they accelerate equipment deliveries. In a Truth Social post, Trump complained that military equipment was “NOT BEING MADE FAST ENOUGH — urging executives to build NEW and MODERN Production plants while criticizing their pay packages as exorbitant and unjustifiable.

This idea was quickly formalized in a White House executive order, which states that “effective immediately,” large defense contractors “are not permitted in any way, shape, or form to pay dividends or buy back stock, until such time as they are able to produce a superior product, on time and on budget.” Whether the president has the power to enact restrictions on capital allocation on private companies remains unclear.

The swing in defense shares comes days after the US military’s capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, which had buoyed energy and defense stocks as investors price in elevated risk and potential access to Venezuela’s vast oil reserves.

Earlier in yesterday’s session, however, defense equities were under pressure — with Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman both falling as much as ~5% — after Trump said he would not permit dividends or stock buybacks for defense companies until they accelerate equipment deliveries. In a Truth Social post, Trump complained that military equipment was “NOT BEING MADE FAST ENOUGH — urging executives to build NEW and MODERN Production plants while criticizing their pay packages as exorbitant and unjustifiable.

This idea was quickly formalized in a White House executive order, which states that “effective immediately,” large defense contractors “are not permitted in any way, shape, or form to pay dividends or buy back stock, until such time as they are able to produce a superior product, on time and on budget.” Whether the president has the power to enact restrictions on capital allocation on private companies remains unclear.

The swing in defense shares comes days after the US military’s capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, which had buoyed energy and defense stocks as investors price in elevated risk and potential access to Venezuela’s vast oil reserves.

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AST SpaceMobile rises after favorable commentary from BofA

Mobile-services-from-space play — and retail investor favorite — AST SpaceMobile rose after receiving a target price upgrade from Bank of America analysts.

In a note published Thursday, BofA telecom services analysts lifted their price target for the stock to $100 from $85, while noting that the low-Earth orbit satellite industry — which supercharged stocks like Rocket Lab, Planet Labs, and AST in 2025 — is set to gain more attention this year:

“We expect the momentum to intensify in 2026 as providers like ASTS and Starlink jockey to offer full cellular service and capture subscribers. Debates will likely grow regarding Starlink’s plans to offer full cellular service and regulatory decisions on Ligado and EchoStar spectrum transactions are events to watch. Carrier partnerships could evolve and pricing and plan decisions should be clearer by year end as ASTS approaches full constellation operability.”

Still, they maintained their “neutral” rating on the stock, saying they “await progress on ASTS 1) fully producing and subsequently launching its BlueBird satellite constellation, 2) successfully operating the constellation, and 3) capturing subscribers and turning them into revenue paying subscribers before becoming more constructive on the story.”

The market has been less reticent: the money-losing company’s shares are up approximately 300% over the last year.

Bulls pour into Joby and Archer options as Trump’s push for record defense budget boosts eVTOL names

Options traders appear bullish on electric aircraft makers like Archer Aviation and Joby Aviation on Thursday, with large volumes boosting the stocks following President Trump’s call for a record $1.5 trillion US military budget for 2027.

Both companies, as well as newly public rival Beta Technologies, have sizable defense contracts. In July, Archer CEO Adam Goldstein told Sherwood News that he believes the company’s defense side will outpace its civil air taxi service for at least a decade.

Traders seem to believe him. As of 10:53 a.m. ET, about 31,000 Archer call options had exchanged hands, around 9,000 short of its 20-day average for a full day. Joby saw roughly 20,000 call options traded by the same time, eclipsing its 20-day average. For the most actively traded calls for Joby and Archer (C$17s expiring February 20 and C$9s expiring on Friday, respectively), volumes on the ask side are outstripping the bid or mid, indicating motivated buyers.

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