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Donald Trump Campaigns For President In Raleigh, North Carolina
Republican presidential nominee and former President Donald Trump walks offstage at the conclusion of a campaign rally on November 4, 2024, in Raleigh, North Carolina (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
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Trump’s stock-market loyalists are getting cold feet at the last minute

First Solar and other stocks that purportedly benefit from Democrats amassing political power are outperforming.

Luke Kawa
11/4/24 1:35PM

Most experts, like Nate Silver, have the US presidential election as too close to call. Traders in the stock market have been much more confident in the outcome, seemingly betting decisively on a Trump win

In this game of chicken, those with “skin in the game” are blinking at the eleventh hour. Call Monday’s stock-market price action the “Harris trade” — or, more accurately, call it a “we’re-not-so-sure-it’s-Trump trade.” 

A basket of stocks compiled by Goldman Sachs that would supposedly benefit from Democrat policy priorities is enjoying its biggest one-day outperformance of a similar basket related to Republican policy priorities since the session following the presidential debate between Trump and Harris. 

The poster child for this theme is First Solar, which is included in the Democratic policy basket referenced above. There’s a substantive policy difference between the two candidates that has the potential to materially impact the operational performance of companies in the clean-energy space: Trump has said he would rescind all unspent funds under the Inflation Reduction Act if he wins, and Harris wouldn’t. The stock is up 5% today on the heels of a gain that large to end last week.

Traders wiping the slate clean(er) today likely decreases the potential volatility associated with a Harris win, and increases the scope for some market fireworks in the event Trump prevails.

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Rocket lab soars to new record close amid rally for retail faves

Rocket Lab ripped by roughly 10% Friday to close at a new all-time high, riding an upturn of retail enthusiasm for a coterie of tech-themed favorites, even as the broader market was more or less flat on the day.

Goldman Sachs’ basket of “retail favorites” — its heaviest weights are Reddit, AppLovin, and Tempus AI — was the second-biggest gainer among the company’s flagship US equity baskets on Friday, rising about 1.6%. The S&P was almost dead flat.

It’s not Rocket Lab’s first retail rodeo, as the money-losing company has more than doubled this year and is up nearly 700% over the last 12 months.

Oracle Wall Street Revisions

Analysts revise up anything and everything they thought about Oracle

After the company’s bombshell earnings this week, Wall Street thinks Oracle’s trajectory has changed.

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Six Flags pops after reiterating its guidance as theme park attendance rebounds

Six Flags shares rose more than 7% today after the company reported a rebound in attendance and early season pass sales heading into the fall. The nine-week period ended August 31 saw 17.8 million guests, up about 2% from the same stretch last year, with stronger momentum in the final four weeks. 

More importantly, Six Flags reaffirmed its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $860 million to $910 million, showing confidence that its cost and operations strategy can stay strong for the duration of the year. Riding that wave, Six Flags also said early 2026 season pass unit sales are pacing ahead of last year, and average season pass prices are up about 3%.

The good vibes come despite a drop in in-park per-capita spending, especially from admissions, where promotions and changes to attendance mix (which parks or days guests visit) have weighed. Earlier this week, the amusement giant signed a new agreement that extended its position as the exclusive amusement park partner for Peanuts™ in North America through 2030.

Despite the rally, Six Flags shares are down about 52% year to date.

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Rivian turns red on the year, squeezed by a recall and the looming end of the EV tax credit

Shares of EV maker Rivian are down more than 5% on Friday following the company’s recall of 24,214 vehicles due to a software issue. The stock move erases Rivian’s year-to-date gain and turns the company negative on the year.

Rivian’s 2025 model year R1S and R1T are affected by the defect, which was identified after a vehicle’s hands-free highway assist software failed to identify another vehicle on the road, causing a low-speed collision. Rivian said it’s released an over-the-air update to fix the issue.

The recall marks Rivian’s fifth this year, affecting nearly 70,000 of its vehicles.

Rivian’s shares are down more than 20% from their 2025 high, which came prior to the passage of President Trump’sbig, beautiful bill.” Through the legislation, the $7,500 EV tax credit is set to expire at the end of the month.

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