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People passing by a betting office advertising board (Artur Widak/Getty Images)
They’re the same picture

Gen Z trades stocks the same way it gambles

Young people have high risk tolerance. More news at 11.

Luke Kawa

A friend passed along a recent blog post from Drive by DraftKings, a venture capital firm whose founding partners include (wait for it) DraftKings, titled, “The Gen Z Effect: The Behavioral Shift Shaping Gaming, Fandom, and Human Performance.”

Here’s a passage that piqued my interest (emphasis added)

“Gen Z’s approach to gaming is clear. They gravitate toward formats that are fast, emotionally charged, and offer the chance at a meaningful payoff. Traditional, slow-paced gameplay is losing ground to experiences that deliver instant feedback and the possibility of an outsized win.

This is why crash games, meme stocks, and parlay bets have gained so much traction with this generation. These formats share a common formula: low-cost entry, high potential upside, and just enough unpredictability to keep things exciting. A recent Morgan Stanley survey found that 60% of bettors aged 21 to 34 have placed parlays, a rate nearly 30% higher than the overall population. Similarly, around 30% of US stock investors aged 18 to 24 have invested in meme stocks compared to 12% of investors ages 45-54.

It’s not just the payout that attracts Gen Z. It’s the emotional volatility, the rush of possibility, and the shareable nature of “just-missed” or jackpot moments. The appeal is simple: put down a small amount, take a swing, and hope to hit it big. Most of these bets won’t pay off, but the ones that do tend to go viral. Social media elevates these wins, creating a sense of FOMO that draws others in. It becomes a feedback loop of visibility, aspiration, and repeat behavior, which keeps Gen Z highly engaged and emotionally invested in the experience.”

To riff on this conception of a “common formula” between parlays and meme stock punts, which often take place through the options market to access embedded leverage:

Both parlays and short-term options punts are examples of things where you need multiple things to go right to win. In parlays, it’s discrete (usually sports-related) outcomes; in options, you need to get the direction and magnitude right by a certain point in time.

samepic

This is why I love the use of options as a storytelling device: they are always and everywhere a greed, fear, or complacency play built around a specific date by which something needs to either happen or not happen. There’s a subject, verb, and time.

“I think one thing that’s very clear about Gen Z is that they’ve repeatedly been told nobody is coming to save you,” Emily Sundberg, author of the Feed Me Substack, said at a live taping of Bloomberg’s Odd Lots podcast. “You hear this sense of ‘get the bag while the world is still here for you to make some money out of it.’”

Kind of ironic that the generation that thinks nothing in the world is going right for them seeks out betting and trading structures that require multiple things to go right to profit.

Is this really a Gen Z thing, though?

One can quibble about some of this line of thought. And I will. The 2021 meme stock boom was occurring when the average member of Gen Z was just in their early high school years. I doubt many of them were part of the Apes Together Strong crew.  

The “YOLO” catchphrase that serves as a shorthand for the kind of “eff it, we ball” approach to life was popularized by a somewhat seasoned millennial.

And to dodge any accusations of millennial-boosting, manias have existed well before we were a twinkle in our boomer parents’ eyes and will continue to persist long after we’re ashes. To this author, a person’s willingness to dive headfirst into booms is much more defined by their stage of life rather than the generation they belong to. Oh, to be young…

Gen Z likes structures with huge payoffs that often end in busts? How convenient for the VC firm, which concludes that the shifts in Gen Z behavior “reinforce why we focus where we do — on the edge of behavioral change, where category defining companies are born,” highlighting portfolio companies Triumph and Picklebet as great examples of firms whose products have been built for this generation.

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The filing confirms a Monday report from Semafor and adds a tiny bit of clarity: the price for a take-private deal hasn’t yet been determined, the filing said, but it would be no less than $15 a share. Shares of the company, which had surged after the Monday report, pulled back some in Tuesday afternoon trading, to around $12.50.

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In recent months, Roblox has seen booming player counts through updates and events in its most popular titles, including “Grow a Garden” and “Steal a Brainrot.” According to third-party tracking firm RoMonitor, “Steal a Brainrot” had more than 25 million concurrent players on Saturday, when a Halloween update was added to the game.

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Data center stocks knocked back amid China stress

The buy-everything-data-center-related trade is having a rough ride Tuesday, with Goldman Sachs’ themed basket of AI data center stocks dropping 1.5% in early trading after soaring more than 3.5% to start the week.

That’s partially because some suppliers of bits and bobs needed to fit out the hangar-like concrete structures selling computing power for AI are still exposed to risks of the China-US trade war, which seems to be flaring anew.

For instance, while most of the switches and routers Arista Networks sells are made in Malaysia, Vietnam, and Mexico, it also gets some products directly from China. The company is also reliant on supplies of some critical metals, exports of which China is clamping down on.

Such actions, the company has previously warned, could lead to disruptions to supplies of components it needs, manufacturing delays, and inventory shortages.

Other related stocks slumped in early trading, including hard disk data storage makers Seagate Technology Holdings and Western Digital — also exposed to Asian supply chains — and server maker Dell.

Chip giants Nvidia and Broadcom were also down more than 3% each after Advanced Micro Devices announced a new deal to deploy its chips in Oracle data centers.

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