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Rani Molla

JPM lowers Apple price target due to reflect tariff purchases and unexciting iPhone 17

Analysts at JPMorgan have lowered their price target for Apple to $230 from $245, about 14% above where the iPhone maker closed yesterday, to account for pull-forward purchases that happened out of fear of tariffs and underwhelming upgrades on its upcoming phone, iPhone 17 — both of which could moderate demand going forward.

Analysts led by Samik Chatterjee wrote:

“Our more bearish view in relation to the volume outlook for iPhone 17 series is in conjunction with our unchanged expectations for a stronger cycle in iPhone 18 series with the launch of a foldable smartphone as well as further progress in relation to AI features that have been long awaited and delayed relative to initial investor expectations.”

Apple CEO Tim Cook on the company’s last earnings call denied that tariffs had led to a surge in demand — at least not for the quarter ending in March, which was before President Trump’s Rose Garden tariff announcements — but that certainly may have happened since.

Wall Street’s average price target for the shares is in the same ballpark as Chatterjee’s, at roughly $227, per analysts polled by Bloomberg.

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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