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Luke Kawa

Navitas Semiconductor slumps as Nvidia halo effect fails to show up in its sales outlook just yet

Navitas Semiconductor, the tiny semiconductor company that went parabolic in late May after earning a place in Nvidia’s supply chain, is tumbling more than 15% after reporting second-quarter results.

The numbers themselves weren’t that bad: the adjusted loss per share of $0.05 and net revenues of $14.5 million were bang in line with consensus.

But after trumpeting its relationship with the $4 trillion chip designer, Navitas’ revenue outlook doesn’t show any signs of the hockey stick trajectory we’ve come to associate with anything near the AI boom.

Management said third-quarter net revenues would come in between $9.5 million and $10.5 million — that is, heading in the wrong direction. Analysts were looking for $15.6 million.

One reason for this disconnect might be found in the 10-Q, where the company states, “Our collaboration with Nvidia does not involve any binding commitments by Nvidia or any customer, and there is no guarantee that we will achieve any revenues as a result.”

Best-case scenario is that this is a timing issue. From the developer blog post where Nvidia listed Navitas as a silicon provider: “Full-scale production of 800 VDC data centers will coincide with NVIDIA Kyber rack-scale systems in 2027, ensuring seamless scalability for increasingly demanding AI models.”

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Retail traders are “skipping the dip” this time

Here’s one noteworthy feature of the recent market downturn that has the S&P 500 poised for its worst week since reciprocal tariffs were announced in early April: retail traders seemingly aren’t eager to buy the weakness in single stocks the way they used to be.

JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain has flagged that retail traders instead appear to be “skipping the dip.”

“In contrast to the behavior observed during the post-Liberation Day selloff, retail investors did not seize the opportunity to buy-the-dip on Tuesday, with a few exceptions such as META,” he wrote of the day where the benchmark US stock index fell 1.2%. “In fact, they scaled back their ETF purchases and turned net sellers in single stocks.”

Then on Thursday, when the S&P 500 fell 1.1%, Jain projected that retail traders sold $261 million in single stocks. Through noon ET on Friday, his daily outflow estimate stands at $851 million.

With that intel, it’s little wonder why the carnage this week has been particularly intense in more speculative single stocks that had been favored by the retail community, including IREN, IonQ, Rigetti, Cipher Mining, Bloom Energy, and Oklo.

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Archer Aviation plunges on $650 million share sale following its third-quarter results

Air taxi maker Archer Aviation is deep in the red on Friday morning after reporting its third-quarter results after the bell Thursday. The stock is down more than 12%.

Investors don’t appear to be thrilled about the company’s $650 million direct stock offering, announced alongside its results.

The move marks at least the third major equity raise, and dilution, for Archer this year. The company raised $300 million from a new stock sale in February, and sold $850 million worth of shares in June.

On Archer’s earnings call Thursday, interim CFO Priya Gupta said the company came to the decision after “substantial inbound interest.” According to Gupta, the company has heard from government and commercial partners that liquidity is a “key driver to their decisions of who to partner with.” With its latest share sale, Archer said its total liquidity is more than $2 billion.

The move marks at least the third major equity raise, and dilution, for Archer this year. The company raised $300 million from a new stock sale in February, and sold $850 million worth of shares in June.

On Archer’s earnings call Thursday, interim CFO Priya Gupta said the company came to the decision after “substantial inbound interest.” According to Gupta, the company has heard from government and commercial partners that liquidity is a “key driver to their decisions of who to partner with.” With its latest share sale, Archer said its total liquidity is more than $2 billion.

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