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Nvidia’s beaten earnings seven quarters in a row — can it make it eight?

It’s all eyes on Nvidia today, as traders position themselves ahead of the company’s Q3 FY25 results, expected after the close, which — as Luke Kawa pointed out — is really the only major market event left of the year.

The AI darling of all AI darlings, Nvidia’s market cap has soared in the last 18 months, unseating Apple to become the world’s largest company thanks primarily to the unprecedented results of its data-center division. That business has helped Nvidia beat earnings estimates seven times in a row, per data from FactSet, though the scale of each earnings beat has narrowed consistently. In the last five quarters, Nvidia has beaten expectations on the top line (revenue) by: 21%, 11%, 8%, 6%, and 4%. The earnings surprises have drifted lower in a similar fashion: 30%, 19%, 12%, 9%, and 5%.

Nvidia earnings and sales surprises vs. consensus
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For 3Q FY25, analysts are expecting data center revenues to hit $28.84 billion, accounting for 87% of total sales, which are forecast to hit $33.17 billion. Profits (net income) are expected to rise 89% year on year. Can Jensen Huang pull off another spectacular quarter? We’re about to find out.

Related reading: Nvidia is the Bo Jackson of the stock market.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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