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Luke Kawa

Nvidia is dominating the S&P 500 more than any company in at least 44 years

Nvidia is a milestone magnet.

Less than one month after becoming the first publicly traded company to reach $4 trillion in market cap, the chip designer can add another superlative to its list.

“The chart below shows the biggest stock by market cap in the S&P 500, and it confirms the extreme AI concentration in the market today,” Apollo Global Management Chief Economist Torsten Slok wrote. “Nvidia now has the biggest weight in the S&P 500 of any individual stock since the data began in 1981.”

S&PConcentration


As Myles Udland over at Yahoo Finance remarked, it also has the highest trailing price-to-earnings ratio the S&P 500’s biggest stock has traded at since Microsoft in 1999.

The Jensen Huang-led company was able to ascend to these lofty heights thanks to its starring role in an AI boom that continues to show few signs of a slowdown.

And I’d be remiss not to mention that BCA Research recently published a report showing that concentration, in and of itself, is not predictive of long-term forward returns.

BCA’s caveat to that, of course, is that other metrics that would tend to be somewhat correlated with concentration (like size and valuation) still play a role in influencing the outlook for performance over the long haul.

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Vertiv falls after Jefferies downgrade, company announces $50 million to expand Ohio manufacturing capacity

Vertiv Holdings is sliding 2% in premarket trading on Tuesday after the data center digital infrastructure provider was downgraded to "Hold" from "Buy" by analysts at Jefferies.

Citing risks in slowing hyperscaler capex growth in 2027 and beyond, as well as the view that out-year margin expectations are elevated, Jefferies cut its price target for Vertiv to $260 from $280. Estimates from Jefferies analysts assume that the firm successfully expands its capacity to meet its "outsized" current order book.

Separately, the company announced an investment worth up to $50 million to expand its manufacturing facilities in Ironton, Ohio and headquarters in Westerville, Ohio.

The Ironton expansion will “increase Vertiv liquid cooling and chilled water systems used in advanced thermal management applications,” often used in high performance AI workloads, by ~45%, per the company’s press release, and is expected to be operational in the second quarter of 2027.

The company also recently announced its acquisition of heat-exchange technology provider Thermokey, as Vertiv continues to focus on investing in advanced cooling solutions used in AI data centers.

$4

US average gas prices hit $4.018 a gallon on Tuesday, crossing the $4 threshold for the first time since August 2022, according to the American Automobile Association. That’s roughly a 35% jump, or $1.04 more per gallon, since the Iran war began in late February. Diesel has surged even more sharply, rising about 45% to $5.45, raising concerns about higher shipping, grocery, and consumer goods prices.

With the Strait of Hormuz — through which roughly a fifth of global oil supply previously flowed — effectively closed, crude prices are up more than 50% since the war began, feeding quickly into pump prices across the US.

Still, regional differences remain, with drivers in California now facing nearly $5.90 a gallon for regular gasoline, followed by Hawaii ($5.50) and Washington ($5.30), while those in Oklahoma, Iowa, and Kansas pay under $3.30 a gallon.

Prices could even approach $5 nationwide if the strait remains blocked, Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy, told CNBC.

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Memory, optical, and AI-construction stocks dive as embattled SaaS stocks rebound

Memory stocks sank on Monday, continuing a sell-off that began last week with new details about a potentially more memory-efficient AI algorithm from Google Research.

Western Digital, Micron, Seagate Technology Holdings, and retail favorite Sandisk all tumbled.

Industry publication Wccftech flagged that some memory chip prices have seen a “significant drop” recently across multiple US retailers.

A new, upbeat initiation for Seagate by JPMorgan analysts — they rated it “overweight,” basically a buy, on “opportunity for significant upside” — couldn’t help Seagate shake off the slump in the broader data center trade.

Optical stocks — recent high-flyers — also got slammed, taking down Applied Optoelectronics, Corning, Lumentum, Coherent, and Ciena Corp. . The group may also under particular pressure in light of reports that Samsung is entering the silicon photonics market.

AI construction trades like Emcor, Vertiv Holdings, and Sterling Infrastructure also sank.

Meanwhile, traders seemed to be scurrying back to securely profitable software-as-a-service (SaaS) and cybersecurity stocks as a place to wait out the market mayhem.

ServiceNow, Zscaler, CrowdStrike, Salesforce, and Atlassian were all solidly in the green in midday training.

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