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Luke Kawa

Nvidia is dominating the S&P 500 more than any company in at least 44 years

Nvidia is a milestone magnet.

Less than one month after becoming the first publicly traded company to reach $4 trillion in market cap, the chip designer can add another superlative to its list.

“The chart below shows the biggest stock by market cap in the S&P 500, and it confirms the extreme AI concentration in the market today,” Apollo Global Management Chief Economist Torsten Slok wrote. “Nvidia now has the biggest weight in the S&P 500 of any individual stock since the data began in 1981.”

S&PConcentration


As Myles Udland over at Yahoo Finance remarked, it also has the highest trailing price-to-earnings ratio the S&P 500’s biggest stock has traded at since Microsoft in 1999.

The Jensen Huang-led company was able to ascend to these lofty heights thanks to its starring role in an AI boom that continues to show few signs of a slowdown.

And I’d be remiss not to mention that BCA Research recently published a report showing that concentration, in and of itself, is not predictive of long-term forward returns.

BCA’s caveat to that, of course, is that other metrics that would tend to be somewhat correlated with concentration (like size and valuation) still play a role in influencing the outlook for performance over the long haul.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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