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Nvidia sheds gains after FT reports that China may limit access to H200 chips despite Trump’s announcement yesterday

There’s no easy fix to Nvidia’s China problem.

The world’s most valuable publicly traded company had extended Monday’s gains during after-hours trading yesterday on the heels of US President Donald Trump’s Truth Social post indicating that the chip designer could begin to sell its H200 chips to China, with 25% of the proceeds going to the US government.

However, the company is reversing those gains this morning, with Nvidia dipping into the red relative to yesterday’s close at its lows, after the Financial Times reported that “regulators in Beijing have been discussing ways to permit limited access to the H200,” according to two people familiar with the matter.

Per the FT, buyers would likely need to go through a lengthy approvals process to get their hands on the H200s — Nvidia’s most advanced chip in its Hopper line, which has since been replaced by the Blackwell generation — and would need to provide an explanation as to why domestic Chinese chips couldn’t perform the tasks at hand.

This feels like déjà vu all over again for Nvidia.

Export restrictions put in place in mid-April during the height of US-China trade tensions prevented the chip designer from sending its H20 chip, a nerfed version of its premium Hopper offering, to China. After that export ban was lifted months later, demand from China “never materialized,” Nvidia CFO Colette Kress said following the company’s Q3 earnings report. Reports suggested that China banned its leading technology giants from purchasing these semiconductors, instead pushing them toward domestic alternatives.

The difference between the H20 and the H200 is one zero (and a lot of computing power). Zero is also the amount of interest that Chinese policymakers would prefer their leading tech companies to have in Nvidia’s chips.

China’s seemingly measured response to its renewed ability to access these chips suggests that the heady thoughts of a $10 billion to $15 billion boost to Nvidia revenues, which Bloomberg Intelligence analysts had anticipated following Monday’s announcement, may need to be tempered.

A bipartisan group of senators doesn’t want China to have access to advanced US chips. Chinese leadership seemingly doesn’t want their tech champions to rely on them. President Donald Trump and Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, on the other hand, don’t mind if they do.

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AI “bottleneck” stocks are the big winners halfway through a tumultuous week

Memory stocks and chip machinery companies are bouncing Wednesday, following a strong Oracle earnings report that bolstered confidence in the durability of the AI data center build-out.

In fact, Sandisk is the top performer of the S&P 500 so far this week, rising more than 21% from Friday’s close, as of shortly after 2 p.m. ET. Memory chip maker Micron is second in line, up more than 13% in weekly gains, and hard disk drive maker Western Digital is also getting a lift.

Other big winners so far this week are some of the so-called semicap shares — makers of the ultraprecise machines that turn silicon into actual semiconductors — with Lam Research and KLA Corp both racking up gains of about 10% on the week. Applied Materials is up about 8% this week.

Thematically speaking, both memory stocks like Sandisk and Micron as well as semicap shares like KLA have been part of the “buy the bottleneck” trade, in which investors buy companies they believe sit at key pinch points in the AI supply chain and therefore have pretty tremendous pricing power. Through that lens, the stocks’ bounce might reflect some additional excitement about the durability of the data center boom after Oracle’s results, which included a larger-than-expected capex number as well as sales guidances that was higher than Wall Street was forecasting.

But the bounce also may be the less interesting market phenomenon of mean reversion rearing its head, as these stocks were also some of the most beaten down in the S&P 500 last week, when Sandisk lost 17% and Lam lost about 15%, for example. So, some snapback may merely be a market reflex.

Other big winners so far this week are some of the so-called semicap shares — makers of the ultraprecise machines that turn silicon into actual semiconductors — with Lam Research and KLA Corp both racking up gains of about 10% on the week. Applied Materials is up about 8% this week.

Thematically speaking, both memory stocks like Sandisk and Micron as well as semicap shares like KLA have been part of the “buy the bottleneck” trade, in which investors buy companies they believe sit at key pinch points in the AI supply chain and therefore have pretty tremendous pricing power. Through that lens, the stocks’ bounce might reflect some additional excitement about the durability of the data center boom after Oracle’s results, which included a larger-than-expected capex number as well as sales guidances that was higher than Wall Street was forecasting.

But the bounce also may be the less interesting market phenomenon of mean reversion rearing its head, as these stocks were also some of the most beaten down in the S&P 500 last week, when Sandisk lost 17% and Lam lost about 15%, for example. So, some snapback may merely be a market reflex.

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Papa John’s spikes following report of a $47-per-share take-private offer from Qatari investment fund Irth Capital

A few weeks after announcing it would close 300 stores by the end of next year, Papa John’s is drawing fresh take-private interest from Irth Capital, an investment fund backed by a member of the Qatari royal family.

Papa John’s shares were up 19% on Wednesday afternoon, on pace for their best day since February 2025.

According to The Wall Street Journal, Irth is offering $47 per share for PZZA, valuing the company at about $1.5 billion. The fund currently holds a roughly 10% stake in Papa John’s, per the report.

Irth has tried to take Papa John’s private before, offering $60 per share in a joint bid with Apollo Global in June of last year. In October, Apollo Global again offered to take the company private at $64 per share. That offer was later withdrawn.

Broadly, the pizza category is being increasingly dominated by Domino’s, which opened 700 stores globally last year and has a market cap 9x greater than Irth’s latest reported offer for Papa John’s.

According to The Wall Street Journal, Irth is offering $47 per share for PZZA, valuing the company at about $1.5 billion. The fund currently holds a roughly 10% stake in Papa John’s, per the report.

Irth has tried to take Papa John’s private before, offering $60 per share in a joint bid with Apollo Global in June of last year. In October, Apollo Global again offered to take the company private at $64 per share. That offer was later withdrawn.

Broadly, the pizza category is being increasingly dominated by Domino’s, which opened 700 stores globally last year and has a market cap 9x greater than Irth’s latest reported offer for Papa John’s.

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