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Nvidia conference with Jensen Huang
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang delivers a keynote address during the Nvidia GPU Technology Conference in March 2024 (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Nvidia slumps on report of wide-ranging ban on chip sales by Chinese regulators

It’s the latest in a series of signals that China is actively pursuing an Nvidia-less AI boom that puts its domestic capabilities to the test.

Here’s the latest sign that China is actively pursuing an Nvidia-less AI boom that puts its domestic capabilities to the test:

The Financial Times is reporting that China’s internet regulator has banned the country’s technology leaders, like Alibaba and ByteDance, from buying Nvidia’s AI chips. Shares of the $4 trillion chip designer moved lower in premarket trading on this news, as did Advanced Micro Devices.

Per the FT, this directive “comes after Chinese regulators concluded that domestic chips had attained performance comparable to those of Nvidia’s models used in China.”

The report indicates that in the wake of this decision, companies that had orders in progress for the RTX Pro 6000D — chips that Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has said are ideal for smart factories and logistics — have told their suppliers to stop testing and verification work.

In a press briefing on Wednesday, Huang responded to the report by saying he was “disappointed,” while adding, “They have larger agendas to work out between China and the United States, and I’m understanding of that.”

Separately, in news that seemingly underscores China’s burgeoning AI aptitude, Alibaba is up 2% in early trading after Chinese state media indicated that it had booked a deal with the country’s second-largest wireless carrier to supply AI chips for a new data center.

In mid-August, The Information initially reported that China’s internet regulator “ordered local tech companies including ByteDance, Alibaba Group, and Tencent Holdings to suspend their purchases of Nvidia chips, citing data security concerns.” The outlet followed that up with more coverage showing that the chip designer had told two suppliers that put the finishing touches on its H20 processors (nerfed chips tailor-made for the Chinese market that were previously subject to export controls) to suspend production work.

This continued campaign to squeeze Nvidia out of its domestic market comes just as China and the US have seemingly resolved one of their other major outstanding issues in the tech space, with the framework of an agreement for a US spin-off of (ByteDance-owned) TikTok in place ahead of a scheduled call between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping on Friday. Earlier this week, China’s State Administration for Market Regulation ruled that Nvidia violated antitrust laws relating to the terms of a 2020 acquisition.

Getting locked out of China’s AI data center market in light of US export controls was a major headache for Nvidia earlier this year, fueling a $4.5 billion impairment charge in its Q1 earnings report and eliciting a whopping 27 references to China during its analyst call, more than the previous four quarterly conference calls combined.

Jensen Huang may have successfully convinced President Trump that “the platform that wins AI developers wins AI” — and promising to send 15% of revenues from H20 sales if export curbs were lifted certainly didn’t hurt his case. But that argument seems to have struck a chord with China’s leadership, too.

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Duolingo slips after Citi analysts trim price target and product announcements receive muted response

Duolingo dropped in early trading after Citi analysts snipped their price target to $375 from $400, citing, in part, some disappointment with announcements at Duolingo’s Duocon convention Tuesday, as well as deceleration in the growth of daily active users (DAUs) that continued into August.

Among other changes, the company announced improvements to its video call service — where language learners can practice their target language with an AI version of Duolingo characters — as well as enhanced offerings of its chess product, which it will expand to Android and offer in more languages, including Chinese.

“This year’s product announcements had a lower profile,” Citi analysts wrote, adding that they still “expect the video call improvements, better engagement drivers, and broader use case for chess to help drive better user growth trends.”

Still, Citi’s analysts pointed to decelerating year-on-year growth in key app metrics like downloads for their price target cut. Data from third-party groups that track app usage shows that the slowdown in the growth rate of daily active users, which seemed to stem from a social media backlash to an artless LinkedIn post from the company, continued through August.

“Duolingo DAU growth trajectory remains [the] key investor debate,” analysts at JPMorgan wrote in a note on Duolingo published Wednesday.

Through the end of August, DAU growth was 25% year on year, according to third-party data. That’s down from 31% in July, JPM said.

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GameStop can’t stop winning, on track for longest streak of gains since 2022

Unless we jinx it, GameStop is poised for its longest winning streak since 2022, with shares up 3% as of 2:04 p.m. ET.

The video game and collectibles retailer hasn’t posted a down day since September 4 and is poised for its eighth consecutive day of gains. Shares are up nearly 18% over this period, versus a 1.6% advance for the S&P 500.

The bulk of these gains came in the wake of the company’s stellar second-quarter earnings report, which exceeded expectations on the top and bottom lines as well as marking the fifth consecutive quarter of positive operating cash flow generation for the first time in its history.

Including this one, the company has posted eight or more consecutive days of gains on 25 occasions during its history as a publicly traded company.

Its last seven-session winning streak came in mid-July of last year, about a month after Keith Gill (aka Roaring Kitty) disappeared from the scene after his brief reappearance, as part of a relatively violent market rotation into small-cap stocks.

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Nio surges to an 11-month high following an upgrade from UBS ahead of its new SUV launch

Chinese EV maker Nio is climbing for the fourth straight trading day, following an upgrade from UBS to buy from neutral. Nio’s nearly 7% jump propelled the stock to its highest level since last October.

UBS also bumped its price target for Nio up to $8.50, a 37% hike.

Nio will begin deliveries of its new ES8 SUV this weekend, priced to compete with Tesla’s Model Y. Last week, the EV maker said it planned to raise up to $1 billion on a share offering.

According to UBS analyst Paul Gong, Nio’s latest products “could further attract consumers after the US $1 billion equity offerings strengthened visibility on its healthy operations.”

markets

Moderna is up on the release of positive results for reformulated Covid vaccine

Moderna rose on Tuesday after it announced encouraging trial results for its next COVID-19 vaccine.

The data from its phase 4 clinical trial showed the 2025-26 formula of its COVID-19 vaccine, which targets a new variant and was recently approved by the FDA with some limitations, produced a strong immune response among people ages 12 through 64. Covid vaccine sales account for virtually all of Modernas revenue.

The company has had a tumultuous year as the Trump administration makes moves to limit who is able to access the vaccine. Last month, the FDA limited approval for the coronavirus vaccine to higher-risk populations; previously, anyone older than 6 months was eligible for it.

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