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Jensen Huang, CEO of Nvidia, prepares to throw the ceremonial first pitch before a game between the San Francisco Giants and the Arizona Diamondbacks at Oracle Park on September 3, 2024, in San Francisco, California (Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images)
The chosen one

Nvidia’s not just lapping other chip stocks. It’s running the table on the Magnificent Seven.

The relationship between the daily swings in Nvidia and other megacap tech stocks has virtually disappeared despite the fact that many of them are its biggest customers.

Luke Kawa

Nvidia isn’t just breaking away from its competitors in the semiconductor industry with an eye-popping run of recent gains.

It’s also setting itself apart from another set of peers: the so-called Magnificent Seven of Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla.

Apple, the Magnificent Seven component that’s done the second-best over the past month, is still 20 percentage points behind Nvidia’s whopping 24% gain.

In the process, the relationship between the daily swings in Nvidia and the other megacap tech companies has effectively gone to zero. The 21-day average pairwise correlation between the percent change in Nvidia versus the other six of the Mag Seven has dropped from 60% at the start of October to less than 7% as of the close on Monday. That’s the lowest level since early to mid-July, when the correlation was actually negative. Soon thereafter, tech stocks had a correlations-to-one move as investors rotated into small caps, resulting in a pullback for the S&P 500.

I’ve maintained that it’s very curious whenever Nvidia is able to trade so independently of other tech titans, given that many of these are its most important customers. Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta are widely assumed to be the four companies that make up roughly half of Nvidia’s sales. The chip designer needs those companies to be raking in so much cash from their business operations that they can justify spending tens of billions of dollars on AI without batting an eye.

The relationship between Nvidia and its cash-flush customers is charitably symbiotic, where its chip sales will facilitate massive cost savings down the road, or at best temporarily parasitic until the economic cycle turns or there’s sufficient evidence that the returns on AI investments don’t make the juice worth the squeeze.

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Budget airline stocks dip as Spirit pilots ratify contract that’ll help the carrier stay afloat

Low-cost airlines JetBlue and Frontier are trading lower on Thursday following the news that Spirit Airlines pilots ratified modifications to their labor contract that will lower costs for the carrier, which filed for bankruptcy in August.

According to the Air Line Pilots Association, Spirit pilots approved a deal that included “temporary reductions to pay rates and retirement contributions.” Beginning January 1, hourly pay will be reduced 8% and retirement contributions will drop by half, from 16% to 8%.

“Spirit pilots made a difficult choice that provides the Company with what it needs from labor to secure financing and complete its restructuring,” said Captain Ryan P. Muller, chairman of the Spirit Airlines Master Executive Council.

Wall Street sees JetBlue and Frontier as the biggest beneficiaries to Spirit’s woes, and both carriers have attempted to purchase Spirit in recent years.

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Planet Labs rips on strong earnings report

Satellite services company Planet Labs was on track for a new record closing high after rising more than 35% in early afternoon trading on Thursday.

The roughly $5 billion company posted better-than-expected quarterly results and guided toward higher-than-expected sales for the current quarter after the close of trading Wednesday.

“AI continues to be a major tailwind as the company is seeing significant demand through enhanced capabilities for its advanced satellite data solutions,” wrote Wedbush Securities tech analyst Dan Ives, adding, “We continue to believe the PL is well-positioned at the intersection of Space and AI.” He has an “outperform” — basically a “buy” — rating and a price target of $20 on the stock.

Other satellite services AST SpaceMobile and Rocket Lab also enjoyed a bump on Thursday, seemingly riding the momentum of Planet Labs’ numbers.

“AI continues to be a major tailwind as the company is seeing significant demand through enhanced capabilities for its advanced satellite data solutions,” wrote Wedbush Securities tech analyst Dan Ives, adding, “We continue to believe the PL is well-positioned at the intersection of Space and AI.” He has an “outperform” — basically a “buy” — rating and a price target of $20 on the stock.

Other satellite services AST SpaceMobile and Rocket Lab also enjoyed a bump on Thursday, seemingly riding the momentum of Planet Labs’ numbers.

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