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Oil and defense stocks gain after President Trump says the US plans to “run” Venezuela after Saturday’s military operation

Oil and defense stocks rose in premarket trading Monday as markets reacted to the US military’s Saturday operation in Venezuela, which resulted in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro.

The rally in energy shares followed weekend statements from President Trump, who said the US will temporarily “run” Venezuela throughout the transition and that US oil companies are prepared to spend billions of dollars rebuilding the countrys oil infrastructure. Indeed, Venezuelas oil sector has been crippled by years of underinvestment, US sanctions, and mismanagement, despite the country holding the worlds largest proven oil reserves — estimated at ~19% of global reserves or 303 billion barrels as of 2024, according to OPECs annual statistical bulletin.

Those seen as potential beneficiaries — and among the key movers as of Monday morning — include major names such as Chevron, the only US oil producer still operating in Venezuela, as well as Exxon and ConocoPhillips. Oil field service firms like Halliburton and Schlumberger are also up more than 4.5%, as investors wager their services could potentially be central to repairing the countrys production facilities. Refineries like Valero, Phillips 66, and Marathon Petroleum gained as well, as their US Gulf Coast facilities are designed to process heavy, high-sulfur Venezuelan crude.

The jump in oil equities comes despite little change in crude prices — in fact, both Brent and US West Texas Intermediate are down about 0.4% this morning, as global supply remains ample relative to demand, and OPEC+ said yesterday it would keep its current production policy unchanged.

Retail traders are also looking for ways to profit from any oil-related volatility, with commodity tickers the top three most discussed on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum, per data from SwaggyStocks.

Global defense stocks are trading higher as well as investors price in heightened geopolitical risk, with Lockheed Martin and German manufacturer Rheinmetall AG both up nearly 3%, while defense contractors also jumped across Japan and South Korea. Palantir, which has a number of US defense contracts and recently announced a $448 million deal with the US Navy, is also making gains, up more than 4% as of 6:25 a.m. ET.

International reaction has poured in, the most notable of which came from China — the top destination for Venezuela’s crude oil exports, per CNBC — with officials in Beijing calling on the US to release Maduro and his wife “at once.”

Delcy Rodríguez is set to be sworn in as Venezuela’s new leader this morning.

The jump in oil equities comes despite little change in crude prices — in fact, both Brent and US West Texas Intermediate are down about 0.4% this morning, as global supply remains ample relative to demand, and OPEC+ said yesterday it would keep its current production policy unchanged.

Retail traders are also looking for ways to profit from any oil-related volatility, with commodity tickers the top three most discussed on Reddit’s r/WallStreetBets forum, per data from SwaggyStocks.

Global defense stocks are trading higher as well as investors price in heightened geopolitical risk, with Lockheed Martin and German manufacturer Rheinmetall AG both up nearly 3%, while defense contractors also jumped across Japan and South Korea. Palantir, which has a number of US defense contracts and recently announced a $448 million deal with the US Navy, is also making gains, up more than 4% as of 6:25 a.m. ET.

International reaction has poured in, the most notable of which came from China — the top destination for Venezuela’s crude oil exports, per CNBC — with officials in Beijing calling on the US to release Maduro and his wife “at once.”

Delcy Rodríguez is set to be sworn in as Venezuela’s new leader this morning.

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Strategy jumps as MSCI allows digital asset treasury companies to stay in global indexes

In a massive reprieve for Strategy, index provider MSCI is letting digital asset companies stay in its benchmarks, sending shares sharply higher in after-hours trading.

The index provider had floated a proposal in which firms where crypto holdings are more than 50% of assets would be excluded from its global indexes, but has decided not to proceed with this for now.

“MSCI has determined at this time not to implement the proposal to exclude digital asset treasury companies (‘DATCOs’) from the MSCI Global Investable Market Indexes (‘MSCI Indexes’) as part of the February 2026 Index Review,” per a statement.

Getting kicked out of key indexes would have caused funds to flow out of Strategy, the largest digital asset treasury company, and its peers.

“At this time,” of course, means the door is open to reconsidering this down the road, as MSCI plans on having a broader review and consultation on the treatment of DAT companies.

“Distinguishing between investment companies and other companies that hold non-operating assets, such as digital assets, as part of their core operations rather than for investment purposes requires further research and consultation with market participants,” according to MSCI.

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Rocket Lab surges to second straight record-high close

Retail favorite Rocket Lab closed at a new all-time high on Tuesday, continuing a remarkable run over the last month that has carried the launch services provider and aspiring Space X competitor up more than 70% over the last month (compared to its close of $49.06 on December 5).

Rocket Lab saw elevated options activity during its run-up today, with well over 3.5x the 90-day average in options volume changing hands over the course of the day.

Other space plays such as AST SpaceMobile and EchoStar surged today.

Despite being a money-losing company — it’s never turned an annual profit as a public company — Rocket Lab’s share price has soared nearly 1,500% over the last two years, generating tons of loyalty and enthusiasm among retail investors.

In fact, Goldman Sachs has made Rocket Lab the heaviest weighting in the latest iteration of its GS Memes basket of thematic stocks, just ahead of AST SpaceMobile, showing how enamored traders have become of such space stocks.

CHICAGO, IL - MARCH 05: Benny, the mascot for the Chicago Bulls entertains during a break between the Bulls and the Boston Celtics at the United Center on March 5, 2018 in Chicago, Illinois.

The S&P 500 closes at a record high

The Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 outperformed, rising 0.9% and 1.4%, respectively.

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JetBlue takes off on bullish options activity

Low-cost airline JetBlue is up more than 8% on Tuesday, on pace for its biggest daily gain since August. If the price momentum holds, Tuesday will mark JetBlue’s sixth-best trading day of the past 52 weeks.

The carrier is being propelled by bullish options activity, with more than 53,000 call options changing hands as of 12:14 p.m. ET, nearly 4x the 20-day average for a full session.

JetBlue closed up 4.6% on Monday, as traders appeared to price in medium-term oil supply relief due to the possibility of Venezuela’s reserves getting more developed amid tensions with the US.

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Moderna rallies after BofA raises its price target to $24 from $21

Moderna rose on Tuesday after Bank of America analysts raised their price target for the ailing biotech behind the COVID-19 vaccine, painting a rosy picture of the products in its pipeline.

BofA kept Moderna’s “underperform” rating but raised its price target to $24 from $21, which now accounts for “refreshed revenue builds for lead assets.” Analysts said the company’s cost-cutting measures, paired with potential new revenue from its investigatory oncology vaccines, could bring it back to profitability in the coming years.

Moderna is best known for being tapped by the US government to quickly develop a vaccine for COVID-19 in 2020, a product that remains its single source of revenue. The company has yet to bring new products to market and is now faced with a second Trump administration hostile to that product.

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