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Peloton spins higher after big upgrade from UBS

Peloton shares climbed 15% Wednesday morning after UBS slapped a “buy” rating on the stock, saying it could take off from here. 

The bank hiked its price target from $7.50 to $11 (more than 50% higher than current levels), citing recent subscription price hikes and early signs that user declines may be leveling off.

“Interactive visits for May improved to flattish [year-over-year] from down -11% in May, while active users have turned positive in May/June after declines since the beginning of the year,” analyst Arpine Kocharyan wrote in a note indicating better traffic and engagement data.

UBS also sees room for upside to Peloton’s 2026 earnings outlook, thanks to top-line growth and deeper cost cuts. That includes trimming general expenses, curbing tech debt, and shrinking its showroom footprint. UBS said a recent 11% to 12% hike in connected fitness subscription prices could bring in up to $100 million annually, even when factoring in churn.

Analysts polled by FactSet now have an average “overweight” (or buy) rating on the stock for the first time since 2022, as Peloton doubles down on cost cuts and a steadier business model.

Even with today’s boost, Peloton shares are still down about 18% year to date.

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Ford beats revenue estimates in Q4, with weaker-than-expected earnings

The Detroit automaker released its fourth-quarter and full-year results after the bell on Tuesday.

markets

Robinhood Q4 revenue misses estimates, but earnings beat

Robinhood Markets posted fourth-quarter revenue that fell short of analysts’ estimates, but earnings topped Wall Street’s forecasts.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

The stock, crypto, and options trading platform reported:

  • Q4 earnings per share of $0.66 vs. analysts’ consensus estimate of $0.63, according to FactSet.

  • Sales of $1.28 billion vs. expectations of $1.35 billion.

  • Transaction-based revenue of $776 million vs. expectations of $797.6 million. 

Shares of the company were down 5.4% shortly after the report.

Robinhood shares notched gains of 193% and 204% in 2024 and 2025, respectively, though they’ve recently given up some of those gains amid volatility in the crypto markets.

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The tech sector’s biggest winners and losers are swapping places

It’s bizarro world for the tech sector.

Software stocks, the market’s collective whipping boy in 2026 in light of the presumptive threat of AI disruption, are continuing to recover on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the biggest winners of the AI boom this year — memory stocks, benefiting from intense shortages — are taking their turn in the red.

The iShares Expanded Tech Software ETF’s gains are being led by Datadog, a rare case of a software stock rising after reporting earnings this season, with heavyweights Oracle and ServiceNow outperforming the industry. Figma, which isn’t in this product, is also up double digits.

On the other side of the spectrum, Micron, Sandisk, Seagate Technology Holdings, and Western Digital are selling off.

The seesaw of modern markets often requires that as one group’s fortunes inflect positively after a long drubbing, so too must a high-flyer have its wings clipped.

That is, if you’re a portfolio manager long memory and short software stocks, and enough investors are willing to catch a falling knife and buy the beaten-down group, staying market-neutral and reducing this position would require you to purchase software and dump some memory stocks.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.