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Corporate America’s profit machine kept churning this quarter

The crude-oil sell-off hurt. But the numbers were still good.

Matt Phillips

The Q3 earnings season is nearly done and dusted, with Walmart’s report in the bag today.

Results from big retailers — Target comes tomorrow — are traditionally are seen as more or less the end of the earnings crucible, though late reporter Nvidia’s numbers after the close Wednesday have understandably assumed a new prominence as the symbolic end of the earnings parade.

All told, the earnings results are what we thought they were: a slowdown from the breakneck pace of Q2, but nothing drastic.

They were up about 5%, and just a smidge better than the expected 4%. (They almost always are better than expected, due to corporate executives’ tendency to underpromise and overdeliver in order to help engineer a favorable share-price reaction.)

The giant profits produced by companies in the S&P 500 information-technology sector — buoyed by Apple, Microsoft, and Broadcom — and communication-services sector — which includes Alphabet and Meta — have been the key contributors to bottom-line growth this quarter.

Meanwhile, the downturn in crude-oil prices and energy-sector profits has been the drag on results in Q3. US crude dropped nearly 25% from where it was in September 2023, and Q3 earnings shrank roughly 25% for companies in the S&P 500 energy sector compared to the same period in 2023.

Of course, given the insane scale of Nvidia’s bottom line, the chipmaker’s report will make a mark on the final numbers for the index.

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Live Nation beats Q4 revenue estimates

The company reported earnings results on Thursday.

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AMD to “effectively guarantee” a loan to AI startup Crusoe that will be used to purchase its chips, The Information reports

Advanced Micro Devices will “effectively guarantee” a $300 million loan to data center company Crusoe from Goldman Sachs, according to The Information.

That is, Crusoe is taking out a loan to purchase AMD’s chips, and the chips that it’s purchasing are being used as collateral for that loan.

You’d be forgiven for thinking that this sounds an awful lot like a very common form of borrowing done by American families: borrowing money to buy a house, and having the home be collateral for the mortgage.

One big difference, of course, is that your home is expected to appreciate in value, while AI chips are expected to depreciate in value as they’re used. (The silver lining, however, is that so far these processors haven’t lost value too quickly.)

Another difference is that AMD, per the report, has agreed to rent these chips from Crusoe if it can’t find customers for this compute, which helped reduced the interest rate Crusoe will pay on this loan.

Similarly, in September, Nvidia agreed to buy any of CoreWeave’s unused cloud computing capacity through April 13, 2032, for $6.3 billion.

Rather than get overly hung up on “circular financing” elements, I’d probably frame the issue here like this: everyone wants AI chips. AMD sells AI chips. And yet, in both this deal and the most high-profile one we know about (AMD’s pact with OpenAI), the chip designer seems to be having to go the extra mile to get companies to use its AI chips. You might recall that as part of the OpenAI agreement, AMD issued warrants that enable the ChatGPT developer to receive 160 million shares, or about 10% of the company, if certain operational and stock price targets are hit over time.

Why is it so tough to get buyers on normal terms? My guess would be that this either says something negative about the financing environment for AI startups or the perception of AMD’s AI chips.

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Rental car companies drop amid volatile demand following an “unacceptable” Q4 from Avis

Rental car company Avis shed roughly $1 billion in market cap on Thursday as its stock fell more than 23% following the company’s Q4 results, which CEO Brian Choi called “unacceptable.”

Avis’ adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization came in at $5 million on the quarter, a massive miss compared to the $145.4 million expected by Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet.

Avis said commercial rental days fell 11% in November, as thousands of flights were canceled amid the government shutdown. That led Avis to reduce its fleet size in Q4, “the most difficult period to sell used vehicles.” The company also took a $500 million write-down on its EV fleet at year-end.

“When operational performance speaks for itself, we earn the right to focus on the bigger picture. This quarter, we didn’t earn that right. We fell significantly short of guidance. That’s unacceptable, and I have no excuses to offer,” Choi said on the company’s earnings call.

Avis said it expects lower earnings in the first quarter of 2026, as January was also impacted by weather-related flight cancellations. Rival Hertz was dragged down in the sell-off, dropping more than 14%.

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