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Scholz Inaugurates Europe's First IBM Quantum Data Center
A model of IBM Quantum (Thomas Niedermueller/Getty Images)

Quantum stocks sputter after nearly doubling thanks to the US government calling the technology an R&D priority

The happiest words for an emergent technology: “I’m from the government and I’m here to help.”

Quantum computing stocks have been on an absolute tear, driven in large part by rumors of more US government support for the nascent technology that were realized in a memo earlier this week highlighting quantum technology as an R&D budgetary priority for fiscal 2027.

Emergent technologies — most notably the internet — have historically benefited from a strong government push. Even now, the President Trump-backed AI joint venture known as Stargate is playing a starring role in driving billions in market value for established tech giants like Oracle.

The quantum industry, and the investors flocking to the space, are hoping that their development is similarly turbocharged by state support.

“Agencies should deepen focused efforts, such as centers and core programs, to advance basic quantum information science, while also prioritizing R&D that expands the understanding of end user applications and supports the maturation of enabling technologies,” the memo says. “Opportunities to support pre-competitive R&D through mechanisms such as consortia and other technology transition efforts, investment in critical infrastructure and testbeds, and advanced manufacturing to enable next-generation quantum devices should also be pursued.”

The memo, which was written by Director Russell Vought and Michael Kratsios, director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy, also calls calls for agencies to “prioritize R&D for cybersecurity resilience, to ensure the Nation is prepared with post-quantum cryptography to defend against future threats.”

The news is being cheered by quantum computing execs, who would also appreciate some more urgency behind this support for their industry.

“It’s encouraging to see the Trump Administration recognize that the private sector must play a central role in applied research and commercialization for quantum technologies,” D-Wave CEO Dr. Alan Baratz told Sherwood News. “As the government explores emerging technologies, we urge policymakers to consider how quantum and AI can work together to address pressing public-sector challenges. While these priorities are reflected in the FY27 budget, there’s no need to wait.”

The handful of pure-play quantum computing companies we track closely — IonQ’s, D-Wave Quantum, Rigetti Computing, and Quantum Computing — have added a whopping $23 billion in market capitalization over the past month, nearly doubling in the process through Wednesday’s close. That hot run is reversing course on Thursday, however.

Other positive catalysts for the industry over this period include M&A activity, tech breakthroughs, new deals with governments and affiliated agencies, and a wave of price target hikes by Wall Street — even as those more optimistic outlooks have been outstripped by each and every pure-play quantum stock’s recent rallies.

That being said, current valuations for quantum computing firms embed a lot of optimism around the idea that a government push will soon lead to explosive revenue growth in the future. Combined, these firms have generated less than $100 million over the past four quarters. And these companies have their fair share of detractors, including former hedge fund manager and biotech founder Martin Shkreli, who has been a vocal opponent of their businesses. Short interest as a share of float is about 18%, on average, across these four stocks as of mid-September, per exchange data.

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Retail traders are dumping Bloom Energy after near 300% rally, says JPMorgan

Retail traders are swarming for the exits in fuel cell company Bloom Energy, causing what was once a near 300% rally year-to-date to sour.

JPMorgan strategists led by Arun Jain flagged that Bloom’s net imbalance – the balance of buying versus selling among retail traders – was exceptionally negative as of 11 a.m. ET, even worse than during its double-digit drop on Wednesday.

JPM retail BE

The fuel cell company, which counts Oracle among its customers, eclipsed a market cap in excess of $20 billion earlier this week despite generating less than $2 billion in sales over the past year.

Wall Street began to sound some alarm bells about the extent of Bloom’s run this week, with Jefferies downgrading the stock to underperform from hold on Wednesday while Bank of America analysts wrote, “We are still not buying into BE's AI hype.”

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Duolingo rises as executives talk up China opportunity

Duolingo posted a solid gain Thursday, the latest in a series of relatively light-on-news moves in the stock this month as it has regained some attention among options-trading retail investors.

There was a story in China’s official China Daily where executives laid out their plans for the language-learning app’s push into the People’s Republic, which has been a focus of Wall Street analysts on recent post-earnings conference calls.

China, where the company began doing business in 2018, is Duolingo’s fastest-growing market for its language-learning app. It’s also the largest source of test takers for its Duolingo English Test proficiency exam business, a recent focus for management spotlighted in its recent Duocon product announcements.

It’s hard to say if the China Daily story is the reason for today’s upswing in the stock, but given the necessities of working within a country controlled by the Chinese Communist Party, a relatively favorable story appearing in its international propaganda organ suggests a relatively healthy working relationship is developing there.

China, where the company began doing business in 2018, is Duolingo’s fastest-growing market for its language-learning app. It’s also the largest source of test takers for its Duolingo English Test proficiency exam business, a recent focus for management spotlighted in its recent Duocon product announcements.

It’s hard to say if the China Daily story is the reason for today’s upswing in the stock, but given the necessities of working within a country controlled by the Chinese Communist Party, a relatively favorable story appearing in its international propaganda organ suggests a relatively healthy working relationship is developing there.

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Oklo dives after insider sale

Oklo dove Thursday after an SEC filing showed company director Michael Klein sold some $6.7 million in stock in transactions that, importantly, were not part of a pre-set insider sales plan.

Wall Street analysts forecast that the nuclear power startup will make losses for years to come. But the company’s ties to OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, who served as Oklo’s chairman until April, have helped make the stock a favorite of retail traders and a popular momentum play.

Even after today’s stumble, it’s up more than 400% this year and nearly 1,300% over the past 12 months.

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