Markets
US-SPACE-AEROSPACE-SPACEX-STARSHIP
Chandan Khanna/Getty Images
The call of destiny

Retail investors want private stocks

Why are investors vastly overpaying to own shares of Destiny?

Jack Raines

The median valuation of a successful tech IPO increased from $548M in 2010, to $815M in 2015, to an astounding $4.3B in 2020 as an abundance of venture capital and private equity funding has allowed companies to stay private longer.

The biggest losers from this trend? Retail investors. Accredited investor laws limit most private investments to institutional and high net worth investors. The exceptions such as crowdfunded vehicles may allow retail investors to legally invest in a startup, but the reality is investment minimums price them out of most deals.

But what if you could buy shares in a public company that then invested in a private company for you? Enter: Destiny Tech100.

After purchasing shares of 23 private companies such as Stripe, SpaceX, and OpenAI, Destiny listed on the New York Stock Exchange with plans to increase its holdings to 100 different startups. “Tens of thousands of individual investors” have invested in the new vehicle since its listing, according to CEO Sohail Prasad, and its stock price has soared from $9 on March 26 to over $50 today.

There’s just one problem: the fund’s assets are worth just $4.84 per share according to Destiny’s SEC filing, which notes its private company holdings are worth $54,307,219. And yet, the stock is trading for more than 10x that, meaning that investors are paying more than a 1000% premium to invest in these startups. As Matt Levine noted yesterday, more than 90% of what investors are paying for is the premium for Destiny, not the underlying companies themselves.

Why would someone overpay 1,000% for this? I have three hypotheses:

  1. Investors are fully aware of the premium that they’re paying, and they believe that the companies, or the potential of the companies Destiny picks, are worth it.

  2. Investors saw that they can invest in Stripe and SpaceX for $56, they have no idea what net asset value is and they really don’t care — they just want to be able to own hot, buzzy startups.

  3. Some investors realize that $56 is overpriced, but they also realize that enough investors don’t realize the stock is overpriced and are bidding the price up. These investors begrudgingly decide that, in the context of a limited supply for a misunderstood hot asset, this is the best price they’re going to get, and they’ll just have to pay a premium for it.

This is not much different than, say, someone paying $300 for a share of GameStop at a $20B market cap or $60 for Trump Media at 1,500x revenue because they “like the stock.” The market, in the short-term, couldn’t care less about your “valuations,” and your ability to invest at a fair price is dependent on the rest of the market understanding what a fair price is.

More Markets

See all Markets
markets
Luke Kawa

Opendoor surges on bullish options bets as traders look to potential real estate tokenization

Opendoor Technologies is surging on Friday amid bullish options bets and social media posts referencing unconfirmed rumors about the company.

The stock moved higher in the premarket session after the soft inflation report boosted stocks and briefly pushed long-term bond yields lower (positive for a real estate company). But the real gains came after the opening bell rang and options demand picked up.

As of 12:11 p.m. ET, roughly 664,000 call options have changed hands versus a 10-day average of about 364,000 for a full session.

What seems to be galvanizing members of the “$OPEN Army” is the potential for the company to pursue the tokenization of real-world assets, with Robinhood often bandied about as a potential partner in this endeavor.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

Opendoor bulls have often pointed to signs that Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev appears to be fond of the company, from what appeared on-screen during a demo of a social trading feature at HOOD’s conference in Las Vegas in September to offering support to Opendoor CEO Kaz Nejatian in setting up an opportunity for retail shareholders to ask questions during the online real estate company’s next earnings call.

Opendoor is currently in a quiet period ahead of earnings, which restricts what type of announcements a company can make.

The call options seeing the most demand expire this Friday with strike prices of $8, $8.50, and $9.

Intel Earnings Researchers

Wall Street analysts see some issues with Intel’s earnings

Even with the US government as a partial owner, Intel’s turnaround has a long way to go.

markets
Luke Kawa

Beyond Meat gains amid slightly better-than-expected Q3 sales, positive commentary on legal issues

Shares of Beyond Meat built on their premarket gains after the plant-based meat seller reported preliminary Q3 sales a bit ahead of Wall Street’s expectations, before paring this advance after the market opened.

For the three months ended September 27, management said net revenue would be approximately $70 million. That’s in line with their guidance range of $68 million to $73 million, but Wall Street was expecting sales to skew toward the lower end of that range, at $68.7 million.

However, its anticipated gross margin of 10% to 11% is lower than analysts had been expecting (13.8%). That’s still the case even adjusting for expenses related to its downsizing of operations in China, which would have left margins around 12% to 13%, per Beyond.

Perhaps more importantly, the company provided positive commentary regarding arbitration discussions with a former co-manufacturer that appear to bring it closer to a resolution while limiting potential damages:

“As previously disclosed, in March 2024, a former co-manufacturer brought an action against the Company in a confidential arbitration proceeding claiming that the Company inappropriately terminated its agreement with the co-manufacturer and claimed damages of at least $73.0 million. On September 15, 2025, the arbitrator issued an interim award (the ‘Interim Award’) and found that the Company had a valid basis to terminate the agreement with the Manufacturer. The details of the Interim Award are confidential, and a final arbitration award has not been issued. Additional proceedings will be held to determine the award of attorneys’ fees, prejudgment interest and costs, if any, before a final arbitration award will be issued. On September 25, 2025, the Manufacturer filed a request with the arbitrator to re-open the arbitration hearing. On September 29, 2025, the Company opposed this request. On October 20, 2025, the arbitrator denied the Manufacturer’s request.”

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC.