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Bye Bye Buy

Retail traders are dumping the Magnificent 7, and their flood of money into the stock market has slowed to a trickle

Analysts found investors are dumping US tech megacaps, especially Nvidia.

Luke Kawa

Retail traders have gone from “buy the dip” to just waving “bye” to the Magnificent 7.

A team of JPMorgan analysts led by Emma Wu highlights that retail traders sold a net $3.2 billion of Nvidia stock in the week ending Wednesday, when the company reported Q1 results. The crowd continues to dump the chip designer, with Wu flagging this as “the longest selling streak since September 2018.”

Tesla was in the second spot in terms of the weekly retail exodus at the single-stock level, though billions shy of Nvidia in this inauspicious loserboard.

“Their positioning compared to the large-cap benchmark suggests they have been decreasing their portfolio weights in the Discretionary and Tech sectors since May,” JPM’s analysts wrote. “In fact, their portfolio weights in Mag7 have declined significantly over the past year, from 10% last summer to ~1.5% recently.”

JPMMag7Retail

And overall, the flood of retail money into the stock market has sharply slowed to a trickle.

“Over the past week, retail traders net bought +$140 million, marking the smallest weekly imbalance this year,” Wu wrote.

RetailNetBuyingJPM

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American Eagle posts stronger-than-expected Q4 earnings and revenue

If American Eagle has seen farther, it is by standing on the shoulders of Sydney Sweeney.

The jeans seller posted adjusted earnings of $0.84 per share, ahead of the $0.71 expected by analysts polled by FactSet. It booked $1.76 billion in fourth-quarter revenue, versus the $1.74 billion consensus.

Shares initially climbed more than 5% after-hours before paring gains to about 2%.

“Compelling new product collections, supported by fresh marketing campaigns, led to higher demand trends in the quarter,” said CEO Jay Schottenstein.

American Eagle said it’s expecting same-store sales to grow by high single digits in the first quarter.

Marketing controversy has proved to be a powerful mover of denim for AE. In its third-quarter earnings call in December, AE said its partnership with Sydney Sweeney — together with a Travis Kelce partnership — had garnered more than 44 billion impressions. The retailer hit meme stock status last July when it initially launched its “Sydney Sweeney has great jeans” campaign.

As of Wednesday’s close, American Eagle shares had climbed 120% since the Sweeney ad first landed.

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Investors are itching to buy the dip in memory stocks

The intense drubbing in South Korean stocks, with the benchmark Korean index (KOSPI) falling nearly 20% in its first two trading days of the week following a Monday holiday, represented a serious threat to the hottest AI trade: memory stocks.

South Korea’s market is dominated by two high-bandwidth memory giants: SK Hynix and Samsung.

After Tuesday’s tumble, US investors seemingly said enough is enough: it’s a buy-the-dip opportunity.

US memory stocks like Micron, Sandisk, Western Digital, and Seagate Technology Holdings are posting massive gains on the day. The advance comes amid positive commentary at a Morgan Stanley conference on demand for memory chips.

Even more interestingly, the iShares MSCI South Korea ETF is up big today despite the KOSPI falling 12% overnight, its largest drop on record. The ETF’s outperformance of the South Korean equity gauge is the largest since 2008, as the global financial crisis raged.

The daily performance of these two can differ materially since they trade at different times and don’t track precisely the same things. US investors are making the bet that a potential break in this momentum trade and the potential for an unwind of retail leverage in South Korean markets be damned, big drops in memory stocks are meant to be bought.

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