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Robinhood transaction revenue expected to top GameStop-era frenzy

The Financial Times reports that results from Robinhood due tomorrow afternoon may mark a milestone in the coming of age of the free-trading app.

They write:

“For the quarter it is about to report, analysts expect $535 million in transaction-related revenues, according to LSEG data — a number that would finally surpass the meme-mania peak. But this time revenues would be driven not by stocks — or even options trading, typically the largest source of income — but a surge in crypto trading income to $320 million from $61 million in the previous three months, after Donald Trump’s election as US president in November raised hopes for a crypto-friendly administration.”

(Full disclosure: Sherwood Media is an editorially independent subsidiary of Robinhood. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

An open question, of course, is how much of the recent boom in retail trading has already been priced into the shares by traders and analysts.

The stock is up roughly 45% this year and 370% over the last year. Investors will determine whether to keep that momentum going or not — Wall Street expects EPS of $0.41 on revenue of $935 million, according to FactSet — when results land after the closing bell tomorrow.

“For the quarter it is about to report, analysts expect $535 million in transaction-related revenues, according to LSEG data — a number that would finally surpass the meme-mania peak. But this time revenues would be driven not by stocks — or even options trading, typically the largest source of income — but a surge in crypto trading income to $320 million from $61 million in the previous three months, after Donald Trump’s election as US president in November raised hopes for a crypto-friendly administration.”

(Full disclosure: Sherwood Media is an editorially independent subsidiary of Robinhood. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

An open question, of course, is how much of the recent boom in retail trading has already been priced into the shares by traders and analysts.

The stock is up roughly 45% this year and 370% over the last year. Investors will determine whether to keep that momentum going or not — Wall Street expects EPS of $0.41 on revenue of $935 million, according to FactSet — when results land after the closing bell tomorrow.

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Samsung’s massive Q1 fails to lift Sandisk, other data center plays

Almost all memory stocks slipped Tuesday, despite getting a positive update on the massive flood of money pouring into the sector from the AI build-out, as the potential escalation of the US war with Iran Tuesday evening overshadowed Samsung’s blowout numbers.

Korean chip giant Samsung Electronics reported preliminary Q1 results showing operating profit up by 755% compared to Q1 2025, trouncing pretty elevated expectations for a gain of about 550%.

Samsung is the world’s largest producer of NAND and DRAM chips. Once considered low-value commodity inputs to tech products, NAND and DRAM prices have exploded over the last six months amid a hyperscaler scramble to secure chips that can manage the surfeit of data produced by AI.

The same dynamics have made memory plays like Sandisk, Western Digital, and Micron some of the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 over the last 12 months.

But other than Seagate Technology Holdings, those stocks were down Tuesday as of 11:15 a.m. ET, as the surge in oil prices and ongoing war with Iran muted much of the AI data center trade excitement. Bellwethers like Nvidia and hyperscalers like Oracle and Meta were struggling early, as were data center input makers like Corning and Coherent, AI power plays like GE Vernova, Vertiv Holdings, and even hard-hat builders of the shells that house all those AI servers.

On the other hand, some so-called optical stocks — makers of fiber-optic connections that quickly shift data between users, hyperscalers, and all around data centers themselves — were up. Lumentum and Arista Networks, two popular optical stocks, were showing resilience.

Samsung is the world’s largest producer of NAND and DRAM chips. Once considered low-value commodity inputs to tech products, NAND and DRAM prices have exploded over the last six months amid a hyperscaler scramble to secure chips that can manage the surfeit of data produced by AI.

The same dynamics have made memory plays like Sandisk, Western Digital, and Micron some of the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500 over the last 12 months.

But other than Seagate Technology Holdings, those stocks were down Tuesday as of 11:15 a.m. ET, as the surge in oil prices and ongoing war with Iran muted much of the AI data center trade excitement. Bellwethers like Nvidia and hyperscalers like Oracle and Meta were struggling early, as were data center input makers like Corning and Coherent, AI power plays like GE Vernova, Vertiv Holdings, and even hard-hat builders of the shells that house all those AI servers.

On the other hand, some so-called optical stocks — makers of fiber-optic connections that quickly shift data between users, hyperscalers, and all around data centers themselves — were up. Lumentum and Arista Networks, two popular optical stocks, were showing resilience.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.