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Robinhood transaction revenue expected to top GameStop-era frenzy

The Financial Times reports that results from Robinhood due tomorrow afternoon may mark a milestone in the coming of age of the free-trading app.

They write:

“For the quarter it is about to report, analysts expect $535 million in transaction-related revenues, according to LSEG data — a number that would finally surpass the meme-mania peak. But this time revenues would be driven not by stocks — or even options trading, typically the largest source of income — but a surge in crypto trading income to $320 million from $61 million in the previous three months, after Donald Trump’s election as US president in November raised hopes for a crypto-friendly administration.”

(Full disclosure: Sherwood Media is an editorially independent subsidiary of Robinhood. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

An open question, of course, is how much of the recent boom in retail trading has already been priced into the shares by traders and analysts.

The stock is up roughly 45% this year and 370% over the last year. Investors will determine whether to keep that momentum going or not — Wall Street expects EPS of $0.41 on revenue of $935 million, according to FactSet — when results land after the closing bell tomorrow.

“For the quarter it is about to report, analysts expect $535 million in transaction-related revenues, according to LSEG data — a number that would finally surpass the meme-mania peak. But this time revenues would be driven not by stocks — or even options trading, typically the largest source of income — but a surge in crypto trading income to $320 million from $61 million in the previous three months, after Donald Trump’s election as US president in November raised hopes for a crypto-friendly administration.”

(Full disclosure: Sherwood Media is an editorially independent subsidiary of Robinhood. I own Robinhood stock as part of my compensation.)

An open question, of course, is how much of the recent boom in retail trading has already been priced into the shares by traders and analysts.

The stock is up roughly 45% this year and 370% over the last year. Investors will determine whether to keep that momentum going or not — Wall Street expects EPS of $0.41 on revenue of $935 million, according to FactSet — when results land after the closing bell tomorrow.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Sherwood Media, LLC and Chartr Limited produce fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and are fully owned subsidiaries of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Money, LLC, Robinhood U.K. Ltd, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, Robinhood Gold, LLC, Robinhood Asset Management, LLC, Robinhood Credit, Inc., Robinhood Ventures DE, LLC and, where applicable, its managed investment vehicles.