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Rocket Lab Electron
(Rocket Lab)

Rocket Lab soars to record high

There’s been an uptick in call-buying activity in the options market.

Matt Phillips

In its second straight daily surge, pure-play commercial space company Rocket Lab USA jumped 9% to close at a record high Monday. (It also jumped Friday after another one of competitor SpaceX’s rockets blew up.)

Rocket Lab — which, as CEO Peter Beck told us not too long ago, has positioned itself as a reliable contractor for the government space launch business long dominated by Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s SpaceX — has been on a tear over the last year, rising 550% over the last 12 months.

There’s was little in the way of news out on the company Monday, but the stock has seemed to benefit recently from its positioning as a non-Musk option for space access. It’s up more than 20% since the day before Elon Musk’s flame war with the his former buddy, the president of the United States.

Hopes were high that these two famously gracious men had put such unpleasantness behind them, but some have noted the uncharacteristic social media silence from Musk since President Trump ordered air strikes on Iranian nuclear sites.

That could be a risk for Musk’s business empire, and a boon for Rocket Lab. (Or maybe Musk just didn’t want to muddle up his social media feeds amid the robotaxi launch.)

On the other hand, Rocket Lab’s run-up might merely reflect the fact that in an increasingly dangerous world, demand for a key Rocket Lab business — launching defense and surveillance satellites into space for Uncle Sam — should remain strong.

Or perhaps the uptick in call options trading suggests that retail investors are having some success in their preferred pastime of putting the screws to short sellers in the stock. (Shorts hold a not insignificant 14% of the public float, at last glance.)

Anyway, news or no news, a record high is a record high.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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