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Luke Kawa

Semiconductor equipment stocks slump after US House committee slams their sales to China and recommends more export curbs

Semiconductor equipment stocks came under pressure Wednesday morning after a House committee “uncovered alarming new information revealing that companies in America and allied nations — including ASML in the Netherlands, Tokyo Electron (TEL) in Japan, and Applied Materials, KLA Corp, and Lam Research in the United States — fueled semiconductor manufacturing in China and made sizable returns selling equipment to Chinese state-owned and military-linked companies,” according to a Tuesday night press release.

The report, however, does not include an outright accusation that any of these companies have broken the law.

ASML alleviates a key choke point in the manufacturing process for advanced semiconductors by selling systems that etch tiny designs onto tiny wafers.

Applied Materials, meanwhile, came under pressure last week after indicating that enhanced export restrictions from the Commerce Department would result in a $600 million hit to revenues in its fiscal 2026. Both this stock as well as Lam Research have been able to reverse early losses to trade higher amid a broad rebound for much of the AI trade.

At the time, analysts noted that Applied Materials’ peers (KLA and Lam Research) would likely also be adversely impacted by these measures. China is the largest market for all three of these companies in the wafer fab equipment industry.

In its report, the House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party recommends that Dutch and Japanese export controls be harmonized with US restrictions, expanding country-wide export curbs, widening the list of restricted entities, not allowing allied manufacturers to sell to Chinese military entities, and more.

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Oracle jumps after Q3 results exceed expectations, boost to sales guidance

Oracle is up 5% in postmarket trading after its quarterly results and outlook gave investors reason to cheer.

The hyperscaler reported:

  • Sales of $17.2 billion (estimate: $16.9 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $1.79 (estimate: $1.70).

  • RPO (remaining performance obligations, or backlog) of $553 billion (estimate: $537.8 billion).

Oracle’s closely watched capex for the quarter was $18.64 billion, above analyst estimates of $14 billion.

Management also raised its sales outlook for the next fiscal year to $90 billion; analysts had expected $86.7 billion.

One year ago, management suggested that its fiscal 2027 top-line growth rate would be around 20%. And last quarter, the company said that 2027 sales would be $4 billion higher than previously expected. Putting this all together, this means Oracle’s previous 2027 sales guidance was in the neighborhood of $84.4 billion ahead of this report.

Breaking down Oracle’s cloud business:

  • Cloud revenue was $8.9 billion, up 44% year on year.

  • Cloud infrastructure revenue was $4.9 billion, up 84% year on year.

  • Cloud application revenue was $4 billion, up 13% year on year.

All of those figures were marginally ahead of estimates.

The cloud company’s elevated indebtedness and expected cash burn compare unfavorably to other hyperscalers, which caused markets to treat its aggressive capex plans as more risky than those of its peers. That’s been exacerbated by OpenAI, itself a cash incinerator, being the source of much of Oracle’s pipeline of future business.

Oracle’s five-year credit default swap spreads widened significantly from mid-September through late January due to this counterparty and credit risk. The company’s perceived creditworthiness recovered after announcing plans to raise money through equity, not just debt, to find its expansion plans, before CDS spreads once again blew out to their widest level since 2009.

“Oracle has been stained by the negative sentiment around OpenAI and is generally viewed as a poster child for AI Capex excess / madness and so a super squeezy rally in the stock could tell us AI Capex fears have peaked for now,” Brent Donnelly, president of Spectra Markets, wrote ahead of this release.

Oracle shares took a beating recently, as a number of analysts have lowered their price targets for the stock, which is down about 56% from its 52-week high of $345.72.

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Boeing faces Q1 delivery slowdown after discovering 737 Max wiring issues

Boeing shares dropped on Tuesday following the company’s announcement that it will delay some 737 Max deliveries this month after discovering scratches on wiring within the planes.

According to the plane maker, fixing the issues could take a matter of days for each plane. This could impact March and Q1 delivery figures, but Boeing doesn’t expect yearly totals to be affected.

Boeing is still producing an average of 42 737 Max planes per month, The Seattle Times reported. The FAA raised Boeing’s 737 production cap late last year.

Boeing delivered 51 commercial planes in February, its highest total for the month since 2018. The figure far exceeded the 35 deliveries for Airbus, the company’s European rival.

Boeing is still producing an average of 42 737 Max planes per month, The Seattle Times reported. The FAA raised Boeing’s 737 production cap late last year.

Boeing delivered 51 commercial planes in February, its highest total for the month since 2018. The figure far exceeded the 35 deliveries for Airbus, the company’s European rival.

Tehran’s Shahran oil depot burns after US and Israeli attacks. (Photo by Hassan Ghaedi/Anadolu via Getty Images)

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