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Sony lifts forecast as gaming profit doubles, PS5 sales tick up, and tariff fears ease

Sony shares are trading 5% higher today after the company raised its full-year operating profit forecast, thanks to a smaller-than-expected tariff hit and strong performance in its gaming division.

The Japanese company reported that operating profit for fiscal Q1 (covering April to June) rose 36.5% to 340 billion yen — beating Wall Street’s 288 billion yen estimate — and raised its full-year operating income forecast by 4% to 1.33 trillion yen. Sony also lowered its projected tariff impact from 100 billion yen (estimated in May) to 70 billion yen, following the US-Japan trade agreement in July.

The gaming segment was the standout, with operating profit more than doubling to 148 billion yen, up from 65.2 billion yen a year earlier.

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The entertainment giant sold 2.5 million PS5 units in Q1, up 4% from the prior year. That makes for better reading than Q4 ’24, when PS5 sales had slumped 38% year over year — following one of Sony’s worst video game launches in recent memory. As of June, the PS5’s total lifetime sales reached 80.3 million, edging closer to the PS3’s 87.4 million milestone (though still nowhere near the 160 million units that the record-shattering PS2 sold).

Still, while selling a few more PS5 consoles is nice, what tends to really level up the company’s earnings is revenue from third-party games sales and subscriptions, with Sony executives saying the company is “moving away from a hardware-centric business” during its earnings call. Last week, rival Nintendo reported that its Switch 2 console sales more than doubled in the April-June quarter.

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The entertainment giant sold 2.5 million PS5 units in Q1, up 4% from the prior year. That makes for better reading than Q4 ’24, when PS5 sales had slumped 38% year over year — following one of Sony’s worst video game launches in recent memory. As of June, the PS5’s total lifetime sales reached 80.3 million, edging closer to the PS3’s 87.4 million milestone (though still nowhere near the 160 million units that the record-shattering PS2 sold).

Still, while selling a few more PS5 consoles is nice, what tends to really level up the company’s earnings is revenue from third-party games sales and subscriptions, with Sony executives saying the company is “moving away from a hardware-centric business” during its earnings call. Last week, rival Nintendo reported that its Switch 2 console sales more than doubled in the April-June quarter.

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Retail traders are “skipping the dip” this time

Here’s one noteworthy feature of the recent market downturn that has the S&P 500 poised for its worst week since reciprocal tariffs were announced in early April: retail traders seemingly aren’t eager to buy the weakness in single stocks the way they used to be.

JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain has flagged that retail traders instead appear to be “skipping the dip.”

“In contrast to the behavior observed during the post-Liberation Day selloff, retail investors did not seize the opportunity to buy-the-dip on Tuesday, with a few exceptions such as META,” he wrote of the day where the benchmark US stock index fell 1.2%. “In fact, they scaled back their ETF purchases and turned net sellers in single stocks.”

Then on Thursday, when the S&P 500 fell 1.1%, Jain projected that retail traders sold $261 million in single stocks. Through noon ET on Friday, his daily outflow estimate stands at $851 million.

With that intel, it’s little wonder why the carnage this week has been particularly intense in more speculative single stocks that had been favored by the retail community, including IREN, IonQ, Rigetti, Cipher Mining, Bloom Energy, and Oklo.

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Archer Aviation plunges on $650 million share sale following its third-quarter results

Air taxi maker Archer Aviation is deep in the red on Friday morning after reporting its third-quarter results after the bell Thursday. The stock is down more than 12%.

Investors don’t appear to be thrilled about the company’s $650 million direct stock offering, announced alongside its results.

The move marks at least the third major equity raise, and dilution, for Archer this year. The company raised $300 million from a new stock sale in February, and sold $850 million worth of shares in June.

On Archer’s earnings call Thursday, interim CFO Priya Gupta said the company came to the decision after “substantial inbound interest.” According to Gupta, the company has heard from government and commercial partners that liquidity is a “key driver to their decisions of who to partner with.” With its latest share sale, Archer said its total liquidity is more than $2 billion.

The move marks at least the third major equity raise, and dilution, for Archer this year. The company raised $300 million from a new stock sale in February, and sold $850 million worth of shares in June.

On Archer’s earnings call Thursday, interim CFO Priya Gupta said the company came to the decision after “substantial inbound interest.” According to Gupta, the company has heard from government and commercial partners that liquidity is a “key driver to their decisions of who to partner with.” With its latest share sale, Archer said its total liquidity is more than $2 billion.

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