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Yiwen Lu

Big slump in chip stocks sinks S&P 500

The S&P 500 slid 0.8% on Tuesday. The Nasdaq 100 was down 1.4%, and the Russell 2000, which tracks small caps, added a modest 0.1%. 

Chips and AI stocks took a hit. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF, a closely watched gauge of semiconductor companies, fell 5.4%. The US-traded shares of Dutch semiconductor-equipment supplier ASML were down 16.3% — its biggest daily drop since 1998 — on disappointing earnings and guidance cuts. Nvidia lost 4.5% after Bloomberg reported that the US was discussing capping chip sales from the company and others to certain countries.

Major-sector performance was mixed. The energy sector plunged 3.2%, as crude-oil futures dropped by more than 4%. The Washington Post reported late Monday that Israel might avoid targeting Iran’s oil or nuclear facilities, relieving concerns over crude-oil supplies.

On the other hand, real estate was the best-performing sector, up 1.3%.

Among individual stocks, Walgreens was up 15.8% after the drugstore chain said it would close 1,200 locations during an earnings call on Tuesday. The stock had been the worst S&P 500 performer so far in 2024, down more than 60%.

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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