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Yiwen Lu

US stocks rebound as tech stocks rally

The S&P 500 finished Tuesday up 1%, rebounding from its worst session in over a month on Monday. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 outperformed the market and rose 1.6%, while the Russell 2000 gained a modest 0.1%.

The rally was led by big tech. The technology sector ETF was the best performer of the day, up 1.9%. All Magnificent Seven stocks advanced, and Nvidia surged 4%, logging its fifth straight session of gains. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF rose 1.7% as Wall Street continued to place bullish bets on AI.

While the rest of the market cheered, energy, the only sector that gained over the past week, slid 2.6%. 

Energy joined oil futures in losses. The November WTI crude settled down 4.6% on Tuesday, after rising for five sessions in a row due to the tension in the Middle East. This came as militant group Hezbollah endorsed Lebanon’s ceasefire efforts with Israel. The global benchmark, December Brent crude, dropped 4.6% as well. However, both benchmarks were still up more than 8% so far this month. 

Treasury yields changed little as rate cuts expectations stabilized. Traders are still overwhelmingly pricing in a 86.7% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut during the Federal Reserve’s November meeting, slightly up from Monday. 

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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