Markets
Luke Kawa

Stocks jump as tariffs take backseat to AI

The first trading day of the Trump administration saw more talk about AI than tariffs, fueling a sharp retreat in the US dollar and a rally in stocks.

The S&P 500 gained 0.9%, the Nasdaq 100 rose 0.6%, and the Russell 2000 jumped 1.9%.

Industrials were the best-performing S&P sector ETF; energy was the only decliner.

Reports that the president plans to announce a joint venture for US AI infrastructure dubbed “Stargate,” which includes Oracle, SoftBank, and OpenAI, sent shares of those companies, as well as Nvidia, upward.

Trump’s pledge to put the American flag on Mars drove rocket-esque gains for Rocket Lab USA, Redwire, and Intuitive Machines, among others.

Somewhat ironically, one stock that wasn’t joining in the risk-on party: Trump Media & Technology Group, which slumped double digits.

Moderna surged after receiving a grant in excess of half a billion to develop a bird flu vaccine.

Palo Alto Networks caught a bid after Morgan Stanley reaffirmed its bullish stance on the company.

That’s not to say the 25 executive orders and commentary from the president were uniformly positive for stocks across the board, as electric-vehicle stocks like Tesla, Rivian, and ChargePoint all slumped amid directives that may hurt their top lines. Meanwhile, more traditional, ICE-oriented vehicle companies did well, with General Motors in particular benefiting on the heels of an upgrade from Deutsche Bank.

Apple dropped amid negative analyst company around the company, which has struggled with soft demand in China.

Walgreens Boots Alliance, which was sued by the DOJ at the end of last week, also plummeted.

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy


Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out – proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on LNG export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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