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momentum misfire

The market’s biggest winners are now its big losers

It’s the biggest one-day underperformance of momentum stocks versus the S&P 500 since early August.

Luke Kawa

There’s a big about-face on Monday as the stock market is being dragged down by the companies that did the most work pushing it higher this year.

The iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF is off nearly 2% as of midday, far lagging the SPDR S&P 500 Trust.

It’s shaping up to be the biggest one-day drop for the high-flying cohort relative to the benchmark US stock index since August 2, when stocks tanked after the release of disappointing jobs data.

Some of the momentum ETF’s biggest weights include Walmart, Broadcom, JPMorgan, Nvidia, and Costco.


Of the 124 constituents in the ETF, just 20 are trading positively as of midday. 

AppLovin, which has spiked on the back of its AI-enabled advertising capabilities, is down double digits. Vistra, the utilities stock that’s one of the best performers in the S&P 500 this year, is also getting hammered.

It’s a big fall from grace for a sector-neutral momentum portfolio, which bets that stocks that have been doing well will keep doing well and was the top-performing US stock-market factor for the two weeks following the election.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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