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Luke Kawa

The “most bullish thing” UBS heard Nvidia say

Nvidia’s robust rally following its earnings report and management’s conference call is proof enough that investors are picking up what Jensen Huang and co. are putting down.

But what exactly is engendering enhanced optimism about the state of an AI boom that is already well in bloom?

Well, here’s UBS Securities analyst Timothy Arcuri, who has a “buy” rating and $175 price target on the shares, on what stuck out the most to him:

“The most bullish thing we heard on this call was that, ‘on average, hyperscalers are each deploying nearly 1000 NVL72 racks, or 72,000 Blackwell GPUs per week’ and are ‘on track to further ramp output this quarter.’ When queried, management again affirmed that this is 1k racks PER week PER hyperscaler. This is much higher than almost all estimates regarding rack shipments and implies a run rate of at least 10k/month — a number that seems too high to use, but makes the point that racks are really taking off.”

In other words, the newest racks (which required some tweaks earlier in the year to solve overheating issues) are now flying off the shelves and into data centers at a rapid pace.

Arcuri’s observation related to these remarks from CFO Colette Kress on the conference call:

“The introduction of GB200 NVL was a fundamental architectural change to enable data-center-scale workloads and to achieve the lowest cost per inference token. While these systems are complex to build, we have seen a significant improvement in manufacturing yields, and rack shipments are moving to strong rates to end customers. GB200 NVL racks are now generally available for model builders, enterprises, and sovereign customers to develop and deploy AI.

On average, major hyperscalers are each deploying nearly 1,000 NVL72 racks or 72,000 Blackwell GPUs per week and are on track to further ramp output this quarter. Microsoft, for example, has already deployed tens of thousands of Blackwell GPUs and is expected to ramp to hundreds of thousands of GB200s with OpenAI as one of its key customers.”

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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