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Assets tied to the riskiest parts of the market and the economy are getting dumped in unison

If you’re looking for things to worry about, this combination of risk appetite souring on thematic, volatile stocks at the same time as companies that are in the business of giving money to less creditworthy companies should probably be near the top of the list.

Luke Kawa

Speculative assets and parts of the stock market linked to riskier pockets of the economy are tumbling in unison.

In recent weeks, both the quantum computing space and smaller AI-linked companies have seen significant selling pressure, as has bitcoin. Given that crypto is a place with limited fundamentals to draw on, it’s a very good gauge of the ebbs and flows in risk appetite.

“The pockets of momentum chasing which had surged in September and early October, first stumbled on the US-China trade escalation, then continued bleeding and have now been completely unwound, with the selloff one of the swiftest on record,” Deutsche Bank strategist Parag Thatte wrote.

Deutsche Bank stocks with high call volumes relative performance

This sell-off is occurring in tandem with a slump in business development corporations (BDCs) — that is, firms in the private credit business that lend to small or midsize US companies. This space has been rocked by high-profile busts at Tricolor and First Brands, sending the VanEck BDC Income ETF sharply lower.

On Monday, Blue Owl, one of the biggest holdings of that ETF, is coming under acute pressure as the Financial Times reports that it has blocked redemptions in one of its earliest private credit funds as it prepares to merge with another of its vehicles, and investors could be facing losses of about 20%. In the stock market, traders of Blue Owl are hooting first and asking questions later, pushing shares down to a fresh 52-week low on Monday.

The 21-day correlation between the daily percent change in the iShares Bitcoin Trust and VanEck BDC Income ETF has exploded higher, reaching levels not seen since the nosedive and subsequent rebound as onerous tariffs were imposed and then watered down in the second quarter of 2025.

If you’re looking for things to worry about, this combination of risk appetite souring on thematic, volatile stocks as well as crypto at the same time as companies that are in the business of giving money to less creditworthy companies should probably be near the top of the list.

(Probably nothing a good Nvidia earnings report couldn’t get us to forget about, though.)

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Vistra beats Q4 earnings expectations for adjusted EBITDA, but dips on income decline

Power provider Vistra, a key player in the AI energy trade, reported better-than-expected adjusted earnings results early Thursday, but shares dipped in early trading as Q4 net income dropped.

The Texas-based company, which supplies nuclear- and natural gas-fueled power to wholesale and retail markets, reported:

  • Net income of $233 million, a decline of 52% from Q4 2024.

  • Adjusted EBITDA from ongoing operations of $1.74 billion vs. the $1.71 billion expected by Wall Street analysts.

  • Vistra maintained previously issued guidance for full-year EBITDA from ongoing operations and adjusted free cash flow from ongoing operations.

Vistra shares soared 258% in 2024 amid a flurry of excitement over the AI energy boom. Last year was more muted, with the stock rising 17%. So far in 2026, shares were up roughly 9% before the report.

  • Net income of $233 million, a decline of 52% from Q4 2024.

  • Adjusted EBITDA from ongoing operations of $1.74 billion vs. the $1.71 billion expected by Wall Street analysts.

  • Vistra maintained previously issued guidance for full-year EBITDA from ongoing operations and adjusted free cash flow from ongoing operations.

Vistra shares soared 258% in 2024 amid a flurry of excitement over the AI energy boom. Last year was more muted, with the stock rising 17%. So far in 2026, shares were up roughly 9% before the report.

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Sandisk rises on partnership with SK Hynix to standardize memory chip architecture tailored for AI data centers

Sandisk is up 3% in premarket trading on Thursday after it began its global standardization strategy of high-bandwidth flash (HBF) memory solutions with SK Hynix.

SK Hynix commented in a press release on Thursday that by making HBF an industry standard, together with Sandisk, we will lay the foundation for the entire AI ecosystem to grow together,” adding that the companies will set up a dedicated workstream to work on the standardization under the Open Compute Project, the world’s largest organization dealing with data center technologies.

First debuted last February, Sandisk’s HBF technology lies in between ultrafast high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and high-capacity SSDs. That is, these have more storage capacity than HBMs, but are still fast enough to be utilized in AI inferencing (albeit not as quick as HBM).

Sandisk has previously argued that this hybrid architecture is central to AI services that need user applications but require a significant amount of fast interconnect between GPUs. The latest announcement also notes that HBF technology is expected to be more cost-efficient compared to alternatives of similar scale.

The launch, which was shared in an kickoff event on Thursday evening, starts SK Hynix and Sandisk’s workflow, which was announced when the two companies signed a memorandum of understanding “to standardize the specification, define technology requirements and explore the creation of a technology ecosystem” last August, per Sandisk’s press release at the time. Ultimately, by collaborating with SK Hynix, one of the three key HBM suppliers, to standardize and commercialize the technology, Sandisk is manufacturing somewhat of a first-mover advantage to offer the system-level “AI-optimized memory architecture” required for AI inference markets, rather than focusing on the performance of a single chip element.

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Warner Bros. reports deeper-than-expected Q4 loss amid its bidding war

Warner Bros. Discovery reported its fourth-quarter earnings before the market opened on Thursday. The results come as the company finds itself in the middle of a still-hot bidding war between Netflix and Paramount. Its shares were flat in premarket trading.

In the three months ended in December, WBD reported:

  • A loss of $0.10 per share, deeper than the $0.03 loss expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

  • Total revenue of $9.46 billion, ahead of the $9.35 billion consensus.

Warner Bros.’ cable business booked $4.2 billion in revenue, beating estimates of $4.04 billion but down 12% from last year. The division is a key difference between the Netflix and Paramount acquisition offers: Netflix is seeking to acquire everything except Warner’s cable networks, while Paramount is seeking to purchase WBD in its entirety.

Industry analysts mostly view WBD’s cable networks as being worth between $2 and $4 per share, and Paramount’s most recent bid is $3.25 per share more than Netflix’s. Paramount has said its own analysis values Warner’s cable division at $0 per share.

WBD said it would not answer any questions about the two proposals on Thursday’s earnings call, but noted the following about Paramount’s recent offer:

“There can be no assurance that the Board will conclude that the transaction proposed by PSKY is superior to the merger with Netflix or that any definitive agreement or transaction will result from Warner Bros. Discovery’s discussions with PSKY.”

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