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Déjà VOO

The S&P 500 ETF wars are over — VOO has won out over SPY

After more than three decades at the top, SPY has lost its crown in the S&P 500 Index wars. Now, VOO’s closest challenger is IVV.

Hyunsoo Rim

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is seeing the largest annual withdrawal ever for an ETF, widening the gap even further with its now dominant rival, the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO).

According to the Financial Times, investors have pulled a record $32.7 billion from SPY so far this year, even as the S&P 500 it tracks has climbed 15% year to date.

That adds another blow to the State Street-run index fund, often synonymous with the ETF boom. Earlier this year, SPY lost its three-decade reign as the world’s largest ETF to Vanguard’s VOO — which now counts some $770 billion in assets — and soon after, it even slipped behind BlackRock’s IVV, which manages $702 billion.

VOO SPY
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At the heart of VOO’s rise is its cost advantage, charging just 0.03% in annual fees, less than a third of SPY’s 0.09%. The difference may seem trivial — roughly ~$6 a year on a $10,000 investment — but apparently, it’s a gap hard to ignore once those savings compound over the longer term.

Indeed, cost-conscious, buy-and-hold-forever retail investors are now powering the ETF market once driven by institutions and traders chasing SPY’s liquidity. Retail investors today account for three-quarters of US ETF assets, up from 56% in 2015, per data from Broadridge Global Market Intelligence.

And while VOO’s appeal lies in its simplicity, the broader ETF market is getting increasingly noisy and flashy: the US now has more ETFs than listed public companies, including a growing crop of niche products, active ETFs, and meme stock funds.

Another ETF that’s crushing it? BlackRock’s IBIT — which is making VOO’s early growth look glacial.

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BlackRock’s bitcoin ETF is on the cusp of $100 billion in assets, a milestone it will have achieved in less than two years

While VOO might be the largest ETF in the world, IBIT — BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF — is the fastest-growing. And the bitcoin-centered product is on the cusp of a major milestone, reporting that it now holds 802,257 BTC, putting it within a whisker of hitting $100 billion in assets (worth roughly $99 billion in good old-fashioned USD at the time of writing).

Considering that BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust launched only 636 days ago, that’s a remarkable speedrun, as individual and institutional investors have embraced cryptocurrency via the exchange-traded fund. For context, VOO took over 2,900 days to hit the same milestone (about eight years).

VOO vs. IBIT spead to $100 billion assets under management
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As noted in a great piece by Robin Wigglesworth in the Financial Times, IBIT is now a major money-spinner for one of the biggest stalwarts of TradFi. As the largest exchange-traded product in the crypto space, and with a not insignificant expense ratio of 0.25%, the ETF is pulling in somewhere in the region of $250 million of revenue for its asset manager parent company. As Wigglesworth puts it:

“Anyway, it’s heartwarming to see that one of the companies profiting the most from an anarchical, decentralised invention supposedly designed to reorder the global financial system is... BlackRock.”

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Robinhood jumps as crypto and retail favorites rip

Bitcoin and retail-sensitive stocks are rallying again, so Robinhood Markets is too.

Shares of the brokerage, which counts crypto trading as a key revenue stream, jumped as much as 10% on Tuesday as bitcoin breached $76,000 for the first time since early February. Strong gains for the crypto asset, which doesn’t really have fundamentals, the outfit that’s been synonymous with retail activity, and the stocks retail traders like the most are key signals that risk appetite is returning after the geopolitically induced drawdown.

Separately, Bernstein also sounded a bullish tone on prediction markets, another Robinhood business line, calling for volumes to hit as high as $1 trillion by 2030. Analysts reaffirmed their outperform rating and $130 price target on the shares, saying they offer “asymmetric upside potential.”

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

The brokerage has been trading like three cryptos in a trench coat over the past three months, with the 63-session correlation between the stock and the iShares Bitcoin Trust lingering near its all-time high reached last month.

Robinhood and bitcoin’s all-time highs came in October, with both since suffering large sell-offs along with a host of other speculative assets.

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Vertiv’s dominance in data center cooling earns it an “outperform”

Vertiv Holdings added to its nearly 90% 2026 gain early Tuesday after BNP Paribas analysts initiated coverage on the stock with an “outperform” rating — essentially a “buy” — and a $345 price target, about a 15% premium to the market. (Wall Street’s consensus price target for Vertiv is $304, according to FactSet.)

BNP analysts wrote:

With ~80% of sales tied to data centers, VRT is a leader in cooling solutions, notably for high-density AI computing. We believe VRT’s growth is sustainable given its content is structurally rising as higher density AI clusters drive a step-change in cooling requirements. With a ~$15bn backlog (up >100% y-o-y) and book-to-bill of ~3x, VRT’s visibility provides confidence in sustained growth through 2030.

Vertiv is shaking off a bit of a slump in the broader AI data center trade Tuesday, as high-flying AI plays like networking stocks Lumentum, Ciena Corp., and Corning slide, and memory play Sandisk declines.

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Sandisk initiated at “outperform” by Evercore ISI, with target of $1,200

Evercore ISI analysts see further upside for Sandisk shares, even after their nearly 2,900% gain over the past 12 months.

In a note initiating coverage on the top-performing S&P 500 constituent — giving it an “outperform” rating and an above consensus price target of $1,200 — Evercore analysts wrote:

“We believe SNDK is levered to one of the most attractive areas of the AI infrastructure stack — data storage, where demand is accelerating and supply remains constrained at minimum through CY28 if not beyond. While concerns around peak NAND pricing and cyclicality persist, we think the current cycle is structurally tighter and more durable, underpinned by AI-driven demand and sustained supply discipline that is creating ‘SCA’s’, providing memory providers with pricing floors and upfront cash payments (Strategic Contractual Agreements between cloud companies and NAND/DRAM providers).”

Even with the positive news, Sandisk shares sold off 4% in recent trading, taking a little wind out of an epic run-up that still stands at 16% over the past five days and 30% over the past month.

Sandisk has been the subject of a fair bit of positive commentary in recent days, with both Citi and Bernstein analysts boosting their price targets for the shares ahead of its earnings report due on April 30.

The broader memory/data storage trade has recovered from its recent big wobble following Google’s release of details about a new, potentially less memory-heavy AI algorithm technology called TurboQuant.

Hard disk drive maker Western Digital has more than doubled since the start of the year, Seagate Technology Holdings is up about 90%, and DRAM maker Micron — DRAM is the basis for the AI-focused memory product called high-bandwidth memory, or HBM — is up more than 50% in the first 3.5 months of 2026.

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Lucid climbs after announcements of new CEO and expanded robotaxi partnership with Uber

Shares of luxury EV maker Lucid climbed more than 12% in premarket trading on Tuesday following two announcements, before news of a public stock offering erased most of the gains.

First, the company announced it has found a permanent CEO in Silvio Napoli. Napoli was formerly CEO of the Schindler Group, one of the world’s biggest manufacturers of elevators and escalators.

Lucid has been led by interim CEO Marc Winterhoff for more than a year, who will now step into the role of chief operating officer.

Lucid also announced an expansion of its robotaxi partnership with Uber from 20,000 planned vehicles to 35,000. Uber will increase its investment in Lucid by $200 million, bringing the total to $500 million. The PIF, Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund, also committed a new investment of $550 million into the company.

The company is still planning a commercial launch of its robotaxi service with Uber later this year in the Bay Area.

Following those updates, Lucid said it would raise an additional $300 million through a public stock offering. Its premarket gain decreased to about 5%.

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Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.