The three technical charts raising jitters over the AI trade

Shares of Lyft are down about 4% on Friday morning after the ride-hailer was downgraded by Wedbush to “underperform” from “neutral.” Lyft’s rival Uber also ticked down in early trading.

According to a note published Friday by Wedbush analyst Scott Devitt, the market is underestimating the negative impact that autonomous vehicles and robotaxi services will have on companies like Lyft and Uber. Devitt writes that Lyft is more at risk of these downsides than Uber due to its “exposure to the US ridesharing market and undiversified offering mix.” Along with the downgrade, Wedbush lowered its price target for Lyft to $16 from $20.

While the complex robotaxi market is still in early phases, the coming year could be a big one — and that could be rough for the ride-hailers. Per Wedbush, Alphabet’s $100 billion robotaxi biz Waymo is set to launch operations in 20 cities, and Tesla appears to be making strides.

Devitt writes: “As Waymo moves past its 'training wheels' phase of development, we expect more distribution via Waymo One and less via [third-party] integration. 2026 could prove to be a painful year for ridesharing, if true.”

Nike fell around 10% in pre-market trading Friday after the sportswear brand issued lower-than-expected Q3 guidance, despite beating Wall Street estimates on both earnings and revenue for the latest quarter just finished (Q2).

Sales rose 1% year on year to $12.4 billion for the quarter ended November 30, beating the $12.2 billion estimate compiled by LSEG, while adjusted earnings per share of $0.53 also topped the $0.38 estimate — aided by a 9% sales increase in North America, which helped offset a 17% decline in China.

However, for the quarter starting December 1, Nike expects revenues to be "down low single digits" with only "modest growth" in North America, while weakness in China and the company’s Converse brand is expected to persist, CFO Matthew Friend said on the earnings call. The company’s gross margin is also expected to fall by around 175-225 basis points, due to higher costs tied to new tariffs, he added.

After a years-long pivot towards a more direct relationship with customers, Nike’s D2C strategy is stumbling, with a 14% drop in sales for “NIKE Brand Digital.” Its Converse brand was another sore spot, posting a 30% sales drop in Q2, following a 27% decline in Q1.

China also remains a key pressure point, with sales in the region dropping 17% year-on-year, as CEO Elliott Hill — now a little over a year into his turnaround plan — said its recovery is "not happening at the level or the pace we need to drive wider change." Still, he added that the company is now "in the middle innings" of its comeback.

With this morning's slump, Nike shares are down down roughly 23% year-to-date.

Oracle is up 5.5% in premarket trading on Friday following yesterday’s news that TikTok owner ByteDance signed contracts with three major investors who are leading a joint venture to take over the short-form video app’s US operations, per a widely-cited company memo from TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew.

The trio of parties in that consortium are the cloud computing company, private equity firm Silver Lake, and MGX, a tech investment company backed by Abu Dhabi.

Per reports, the structure of the deal is roughly aligned with what was outlined in September, which valued TikTok’s US operations at about $14 billion. Relative to some less-popular peers, that seems like a pretty low price tag, so picking up doomscrolling on a discount (or if you prefer, short-term video browsing on a budget) looks to be a worthy catalyst for the bump in the beaten-down hyperscaler’s shares. And that’s even before mentioning the potential for Oracle’s cloud business to enhance its preexisting relationship with TikTok.