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Luke Kawa

US stocks end higher even as euphoria over potential tariff relief fades

US stocks opened sharply higher after President Trump softened his stance on his two most market-unfriendly policies after the close on Tuesday: onerous tariffs on China and his desire to sack Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

However, major indexes finished well off their highs of the day after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that any relief on China would not be unilateral. The S&P 500 ended 1.7% higher, the Nasdaq 100 advanced 2.3%, and the Russell 2000 went up 1.5%.

Consumer discretionary and tech were the top-performing S&P 500 sector ETFs, while energy and consumer staples finished lower. Oil stocks in particular were bedeviled by reports that OPEC+ is poised to boost production even more next month, while the softness in consumer staples was a story of traders ditching the safer stocks that have held up well during the market tumult in favor of riskier stocks.

Tesla was among the major drivers of gains in the S&P 500 today despite reporting underwhelming earnings on Tuesday after the close, thanks to CEO Elon Musk’s pledge to spend less time with DOGE and more with the company. Other so-called Trump trades like Palantir, Trump Media & Technology Group, and Axon also outperformed.

Potential relief on tariffs with China was positive for semi companies, with Intel one of the standouts in the industry amid reports that management is poised to cut 20% of its workforce.

Retailers were also massive beneficiaries of the less combative tone on cross-border commerce, with the likes of Victoria’s Secret and Five Below, which source products from Asia, outperforming the market.

Boeing’s turnaround plan continues to bear fruit, with the company’s first quarter of revenue growth since 2023 and a much smaller-than-expected loss per share driving upside for the stock.

Philip Morris gained after reporting better-than-expected earnings, buoyed by sales of enough Zyn cans to span Route 66.

Analysts at Bernstein have taken a shining to Mediterranean chain Cava, upgrading the stock and boosting their price target, contributing to a solid advance for the shares.

AT&T pared its big premarket gains on the heels of a ho-hum quarterly report in which earnings per share were in line with estimates.

CoreWeave put in another huge advance after Mike Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital deepened its partnership with the cloud-computing company at its data center campus.

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Trump’s “impossible trinity” on AI and energy

Everyone loves a good trilemma.

In economics, the most famous of the genre was developed by Fleming and Mundell, which posits that you can only successfully achieve two of the following three objectives: the free flow of capital, a fixed exchange rate, and independent sovereign monetary policy.

George Pollack, senior US policy analyst at Signum Global Advisors, proposed a trilemma of his own to describe the Trump administration’s competing policy aims as a red-hot AI boom devours power and leaves households miffed by rising electricity bills.

He wrote:

“This note flags what we believe to be a simple reality whose salience will continue growing in US politics in coming months: the Trump administration, in its remaining three years will face a trilemma as the nation waits for its energy bet to play out — proving able to achieve two, but not all three, of the following objectives:

-Fulfill AI’s energy-appetite.
-Keep repressing renewable sources of energy.
-Appease American electricity consumers.”

Trump AI trilemma

As for evidence that the Trump administration is taking a fossil fuels-first approach while stunting renewables, Pollack pointed to the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which shrinks access to tax credits for green energy, as well as the end to the federal pause on liquefied natural gas export permits. However, it would be “inaccurate and unfair” to blame President Trump’s policies for surging electricity prices in recent months, he added.

While the government has pursued the expansion of nuclear power as a way to solve this trilemma, the long lead times involved are incongruent with a short-term fix.

Palantir reports Q3 earnings results

Palantir climbs toward a fresh record high ahead of earnings report

Traders and Wall Street are waiting to see whether Palantir’s latest numbers after market close today will continue to beat expectations.

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