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Walmart Q4 results beat estimates, full-year guidance comes bellow estimates

The company reported Q4 earnings results and issued its full-year outlook on Thursday.

Walmart whipsawed in early trading after reporting a quarterly earnings beat but issuing full-year guidance that was below consensus forecasts.

For the three-month period ended January 31, however, Walmart reported results above Wall Street’s expectations:

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.74, compared to the $0.73 analysts polled by FactSet were expecting.

  • Revenue at $190.7 billion, compared to the $190.5 billion analysts were penciling in.

For its current fiscal year, the company expects:

  • Adjusted EPS to hit between $2.75 and $2.85, less than the $2.97 analysts are expecting.

  • Sales to increase 3.5% to 4.5% year over year. Analysts had been forecasting about 5% annual revenue growth.

Shares fell by about 3% in premarket trading but turned green and had gained about 2% by 10 a.m. ET.

This marks the company’s first earnings report under CEO John Furner, a company veteran who assumed the role on February 1. Walmart executives said the company issued conservative full-year guidance because it wants to remain cautious amid an uncertain macroeconomic backdrop, noting subdued consumer sentiment and reduced hiring.

Our goal is to outperform this guidance, but we believe its prudent to start the year with a level of conservatism given the backdrop is still somewhat unstable, CFO John Rainey told analysts.

DA Davidson analyst Michael Baker observed that Walmart has had a habit of sandbagging its guidance, which increases management’s odds of ultimately exceeding that outlook.

“The 2026 and 1Q guidance are both below the Street, but we are not overly concerned about that as we suspect that WMT wants to set a beatable bar,” he wrote. “It’s not surprising that Walmart sets a lower bar for a new CEO.”

Expectations were high leading up to this release. The retail giant, which is up more than 13% since the start of the year, recently became the third non-tech company to hit a $1 trillion valuation.

Investors will be hoping this is not déjà vu all over again: in 2025, the retailer’s soft full-year guidance marked a peak for the S&P 500 and kicked off a momentum stock meltdown.

Walmart reported revenue of $713.2 billion for the full year, just below Amazon’s $716.9 billion, making it the first time the Bentonville-based retailer has trailed its online-native rival on annual sales. Both retail giants have other revenue streams.

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Klarna sinks after Q1 guidance for revenue and gross merchandise value comes in short of estimates

Buy now, pay later, issue guidance that Wall Street likes even later.

Shares of Klarna are tumbling in early trading after the fintech payments company’s Q1 outlook came in below analysts’ projections.

Management sees Q1 revenues between $900 million and $980 million, the midpoint of which is below Wall Street’s call for $965.1 million. The company’s range for gross merchandise value in the current quarter of $32 billion to $33 billion is fully below the consensus estimate for $33.37 billion.

(Gross merchandise value is the dollar figure associated with all purchases made via Klarna’s different modes of payment.)

This disappointing outlook outweighed a solid set of Q4 top-line results. Revenues of $1.08 billion came in $10 million above expectations, gross merchandise volume beat estimates at $38.7 billion (consensus: $38.06 billion), and active consumers of 118 million were nearly a full million above what Wall Street had penciled in.

The stock is poised to open at an all-time low.

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Palantir dips as stock removed from Bank of America’s list of best US investment ideas

Palantir is lower in premarket trading amid news that the stock has been removed from Bank of America’s US 1 List.

That list is the best of the best: the subset of “buy”-rated stocks that BofA selects as its top US-listed investment ideas.

Between this news, Michael Burry, and, well, just the share price, it certainly seems like investor sentiment has decisively shifted on the once high-flying AI retail darling.

Palantir recently traded at its biggest discount to Wall Street’s average price target since late 2022.

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Herbalife rallies after Cristiano Ronaldo invests $7.5 million in its personal health and wellness software subsidiary

SIUUUUUU!

Herbalife is soaring in premarket trading after announcing that longtime partner Cristiano Ronaldo has invested $7.5 million into one of its subsidiaries.

The football/soccer legend acquired a 10% equity interest in Herbalife’s HBL Pro2col in a deal that also sees him commit to providing services and sponsorship rights to this entity.

Pro2col offers individualized health and wellness tips based on user-input information, data from wearable tech, DNA analysis, and more.

Herbalife reached a deal to acquire these assets in March 2025. At that time, Ronaldo was tapped as an adviser who would be supporting the development and deployment of this technology. He’s endorsed Herbalife products since 2013.

The company made this announcement along with the release of Q4 earnings, which were mixed to roughly in line with estimates.

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Carvana craters after Q4 earnings miss estimates

Used car retailer Carvana plummeted after fourth-quarter profits came in shy of estimates.

Adjusted EBITDA of $511 million came in below the consensus call for $535.7 million, more than offsetting better-than-expected sales of $5.6 billion (estimate: $5.27 billion).

Carvana sold 163,522 used vehicles to retail customers in the quarter, up 43% from last year and ahead of expectations. With that result, Carvana further closes its retail sales gap with rival CarMax, which sold 169,557 vehicles in its most recent quarter.

Carvana posted a retail gross profit per vehicle of $3,076, down 7.7% from the same period last year. In a letter to shareholders, Carvana said its reconditioning costs came in higher than expected in Q4, which led to an additional impact on retail gross profit per unit. Lower shipping fee revenue, higher non-vehicle costs, and higher industrywide retail depreciation rates also drove the decline, the company said.

Carvana said it expects to see elevated reconditioning costs again in the first quarter, but expects a sequential increase in retail GPU. Carvana said it expects “significant growth in both retail units sold and Adjusted EBITDA” in the first quarter and full year ahead.

As of Wednesday’s close, Carvana shares were down about 24% since an all-time closing high in January, after a report from short seller Gotham City questioning its accounting practices sent the stock reeling. A Carvana spokesperson told Sherwood News that the report was “inaccurate and intentionally misleading.”

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DoorDash reports earnings miss, underwhelming earnings guidance

DoorDash reported earnings results that missed Wall Street expectations and provided underwhelming earnings guidance Wednesday after the bell, which it attributed to harsh weather and increased spending. The stock rebounded in premarket trading on Thursday.

For the final three months of 2025, DoorDash reported:

  • Earnings per share of $0.48, compared to the $0.59 analysts polled by FactSet were expecting.

  • Revenue of $3.9 billion, in line with the $3.9 billion analysts were penciling in.

  • Gross order value (the total amount spent on the platform) of $29.7 billion, compared to the $29.2 billion analysts were expecting.

For the current quarter, the company expects:

  • GOV between $31.0 billion and $31.8 billion, versus the $30.7 billion analysts are expecting.

  • Adjusted EBITDA between $675 million and $775 million, far below the $801.9 million analysts are expecting. The company said spending on Deliveroo, its recent UK acquisition, as well as extreme winter weather in the US are weighing on its profit guidance.

Shares fell as much as 11% following the release of its results on Wednesday, before climbing as much as 13% in Thursday’s early trading, recovering its losses. The stock is down more than 15% so far this year.

DoorDash’s costs have gone up as it ramps up investment in autonomous delivery and international expansion, among other things. “This is a massive and expensive undertaking and honestly one you shouldn’t do if you thought your best days were behind you,” CEO Tony Xu said in a letter to shareholders.

Ethan Feller, a strategist at Zacks Investment Research, said the underlying business remains strong even if the stock faces pressure in the near term.

“None of these are structural issues, but soft guidance is soft guidance — and the market rarely gives credit for context when a stock is already under pressure,” he said.

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