markets

Matt Phillips3/10/25

Why Robinhood is on pace for its worst day this year

Robinhood shares dove Monday after a trifecta of downbeat headlines put the crypto-, options-, and stock-trading brokerage on pace for its worst daily performance of 2025. (Sherwood Media is an independently operated subsidiary of Robinhood Markets Inc.)

First, Robinhood’s stumble reflected a downdraft in prices for crypto, which continued to sell off despite last week’s news on the establishment of a US bitcoin reserve. Crypto trading was a key driver of Robinhood’s recent strong earnings results.

Second, Robinhood’s Monday slump may also be expressing some investor disappointment that the company was not among the additions to the S&P 500 announced Monday. The company was considered by some analysts to be a candidate for inclusion.

Finally, late Friday, brokerage regulator FINRA announced that Robinhood would pay nearly $30 million in fines to settle investigations into “numerous” alleged compliance failures, including anti-money-laundering protocols and other reporting obligations.

Robinhood consented to FINRA’s findings without admitting or denying them. The company’s associated general counsel told Barron’s: “We are pleased to resolve these historical matters, many of which date as far back as 2014, and which Robinhood Securities and Robinhood Financial have since remediated.”

Robinhood Shares Slide After $30 Million Finra Settlement

Robinhood Shares Slide After $30 Million Finra Settlement

First, Robinhood’s stumble reflected a downdraft in prices for crypto, which continued to sell off despite last week’s news on the establishment of a US bitcoin reserve. Crypto trading was a key driver of Robinhood’s recent strong earnings results.

Second, Robinhood’s Monday slump may also be expressing some investor disappointment that the company was not among the additions to the S&P 500 announced Monday. The company was considered by some analysts to be a candidate for inclusion.

Finally, late Friday, brokerage regulator FINRA announced that Robinhood would pay nearly $30 million in fines to settle investigations into “numerous” alleged compliance failures, including anti-money-laundering protocols and other reporting obligations.

Robinhood consented to FINRA’s findings without admitting or denying them. The company’s associated general counsel told Barron’s: “We are pleased to resolve these historical matters, many of which date as far back as 2014, and which Robinhood Securities and Robinhood Financial have since remediated.”

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Jon Keegan & Luke Kawa6h

Oracle jumps after Q3 results exceed expectations, boost to sales guidance

Oracle is up 5% in postmarket trading after its quarterly results and outlook gave investors reason to cheer.

The hyperscaler reported:

Sales of $17.2 billion (estimate: $16.9 billion).
Adjusted earnings per share of $1.79 (estimate: $1.70).
RPO (remaining performance obligations, or backlog) of $553 billion (estimate: $537.8 billion).

Oracle’s closely watched capex for the quarter was $18.64 billion, above analyst estimates of $14 billion.

Management also raised its sales outlook for the next fiscal year to $90 billion; analysts had expected $86.7 billion.

One year ago, management suggested that its fiscal 2027 top-line growth rate would be around 20%. And last quarter, the company said that 2027 sales would be $4 billion higher than previously expected. Putting this all together, this means Oracle’s previous 2027 sales guidance was in the neighborhood of $84.4 billion ahead of this report.

Breaking down Oracle’s cloud business:

Cloud revenue was $8.9 billion, up 44% year on year.
Cloud infrastructure revenue was $4.9 billion, up 84% year on year.
Cloud application revenue was $4 billion, up 13% year on year.

All of those figures were marginally ahead of estimates.

The cloud company’s elevated indebtedness and expected cash burn compare unfavorably to other hyperscalers, which caused markets to treat its aggressive capex plans as more risky than those of its peers. That’s been exacerbated by OpenAI, itself a cash incinerator, being the source of much of Oracle’s pipeline of future business.

Oracle’s five-year credit default swap spreads widened significantly from mid-September through late January due to this counterparty and credit risk. The company’s perceived creditworthiness recovered after announcing plans to raise money through equity, not just debt, to find its expansion plans, before CDS spreads once again blew out to their widest level since 2009.

“Oracle has been stained by the negative sentiment around OpenAI and is generally viewed as a poster child for AI Capex excess / madness and so a super squeezy rally in the stock could tell us AI Capex fears have peaked for now,” Brent Donnelly, president of Spectra Markets, wrote ahead of this release.

Oracle shares took a beating recently, as a number of analysts have lowered their price targets for the stock, which is down about 56% from its 52-week high of $345.72.

Tasha Matsumoto

Stocks close lower in volatile trading session, crude oil falls after trimming steeper losses

Stocks whipsawed as traders digested developments in the war with Iran.

Brown Bear, Katmai National Park, Alaska

markets

Max Knoblauch10h

Boeing faces Q1 delivery slowdown after discovering 737 Max wiring issues

Boeing shares dropped on Tuesday following the company’s announcement that it will delay some 737 Max deliveries this month after discovering scratches on wiring within the planes.

According to the plane maker, fixing the issues could take a matter of days for each plane. This could impact March and Q1 delivery figures, but Boeing doesn’t expect yearly totals to be affected.

Boeing is still producing an average of 42 737 Max planes per month, The Seattle Times reported. The FAA raised Boeing’s 737 production cap late last year.

Boeing delivered 51 commercial planes in February, its highest total for the month since 2018. The figure far exceeded the 35 deliveries for Airbus, the company’s European rival.

Boeing reworking 737 MAXs after newly disclosed issue stalls deliveries

Boeing reworking 737 MAXs after newly disclosed issue stalls deliveries

Boeing is still producing an average of 42 737 Max planes per month, The Seattle Times reported. The FAA raised Boeing’s 737 production cap late last year.

Boeing delivered 51 commercial planes in February, its highest total for the month since 2018. The figure far exceeded the 35 deliveries for Airbus, the company’s European rival.

Tehran’s Shahran oil depot burns after US and Israeli attacks. (Photo by Hassan Ghaedi/Anadolu via Getty Images)

What analysts say they’re looking for next in the oil markets

“It has the makings of a once-in-a-generation market dislocation.”

Matt Phillips10h

Deutsche Bank upgrades software stocks, sees no evidence of negative impacts from AI on sales this year

“Also, after asking various experts, generalists, Gemini, ChatGPT and Claude, we have still not come across a single Software company that expects a negative revenue effect from AI in 2026,” the strategists wrote.

Cross-Country Skiing - Milano Cortina 2026 Winter Olympics: Day 15

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