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Adobe and Canva would be the secret winners of a TikTok ban

One of the biggest stories in tech is President Biden's TikTok ban. In April, Biden signed a law that would ban TikTok unless it's sold to non-Chinese ownership in the next year.

However, TikTok's parent company ByteDance has since sued the federal government, alleging First Amendment free speech violations, and Donald Trump, who sought to ban TikTok in 2020, has also reversed his stance, claiming that a TikTok ban would benefit Meta's social media platforms: Facebook and Instagram.

Meta's gains from a potential TikTok ban are obvious: Instagram Reels and TikTok dominate the short-form video market, and Meta could solidify its position as the market leader if its top competitor disappeared.

However, Meta isn't the only company that could benefit from a TikTok ban. Design platforms such as Canva and Adobe stand to be winners as well.

TikTok is ByteDance's most well-known subsidiary, but the parent company also owns CapCut, which controls 81% of the mobile video editor market. While Adobe and Canva's extensive product suites attract enterprise and professional customers, CapCut's mobile-first design has made it the go-to choice for TikTok and Instagram creators, and its number of monthly active users is now three times higher than its closest competitor, Canva.

Bloomberg reported that Biden's divest-or-ban bill was written to include CapCut, meaning that the tens of millions of Americans who have downloaded the video editing platform might have to find an alternative.

Assuming the ban happens, all eyes will be on Zuckerberg, but it will be interesting to see which design platform replaces CapCut as influencers' preferred editing tool.

Meta's gains from a potential TikTok ban are obvious: Instagram Reels and TikTok dominate the short-form video market, and Meta could solidify its position as the market leader if its top competitor disappeared.

However, Meta isn't the only company that could benefit from a TikTok ban. Design platforms such as Canva and Adobe stand to be winners as well.

TikTok is ByteDance's most well-known subsidiary, but the parent company also owns CapCut, which controls 81% of the mobile video editor market. While Adobe and Canva's extensive product suites attract enterprise and professional customers, CapCut's mobile-first design has made it the go-to choice for TikTok and Instagram creators, and its number of monthly active users is now three times higher than its closest competitor, Canva.

Bloomberg reported that Biden's divest-or-ban bill was written to include CapCut, meaning that the tens of millions of Americans who have downloaded the video editing platform might have to find an alternative.

Assuming the ban happens, all eyes will be on Zuckerberg, but it will be interesting to see which design platform replaces CapCut as influencers' preferred editing tool.

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Report: OpenAI may tailor a version of ChatGPT for UAE that prohibits LGBTQ+ content

In June of last year, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman appeared in Abu Dhabi, UAE, alongside Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang to announce “Stargate UAE,” a project that includes a 1-gigawatt AI data center in Abu Dhabi, and a commitment to invest in the Stargate USA project.

OpenAI has announced that it is interested in jumping on the “sovereign AI” train, helping countries roll out their own AI services that reflect their own language, culture, and version of history.

Today, Semafor is reporting that OpenAI is in talks to develop a tailored version of ChatGPT for the UAE that would align with the kingdom’s conservative social laws and speech restrictions, such as disallowing discussion of LGBTQ+ content. The UAE-owned MGX investment firm is an investor in OpenAI.

The company announced its OpenAI for Countries initiative in May of last year, which aims to “help interested governments build sovereign AI capability in coordination with the U.S. government — rooted in democratic values, open markets, and trusted partnerships.”

The UAE is a monarchy with a history of human rights violations.

OpenAI has announced that it is interested in jumping on the “sovereign AI” train, helping countries roll out their own AI services that reflect their own language, culture, and version of history.

Today, Semafor is reporting that OpenAI is in talks to develop a tailored version of ChatGPT for the UAE that would align with the kingdom’s conservative social laws and speech restrictions, such as disallowing discussion of LGBTQ+ content. The UAE-owned MGX investment firm is an investor in OpenAI.

The company announced its OpenAI for Countries initiative in May of last year, which aims to “help interested governments build sovereign AI capability in coordination with the U.S. government — rooted in democratic values, open markets, and trusted partnerships.”

The UAE is a monarchy with a history of human rights violations.

Allen & Co Brings Together Media And Tech Titans In Sun Valley

Analysts think Amazon’s sky-high capex is a good thing, even if there’s “shock value” for investors

That said, several analysts also lowered their price targets for Amazon the day after its downbeat earnings report.

tech

Big Tech’s $1.1 trillion cloud computing backlog

Now that the big dogs of cloud computing have all reported their quarterly earnings, we can step back and get a sense of the searing demand that AI is driving toward their businesses.

Amazon, Google, and Microsoft each reported hundreds of billions in RPO (remaining performance obligations) — signed contracts for cloud computing services that can’t yet be filled and haven’t yet hit the books.

Collectively, the big three cloud providers reported a $1.1 TRILLION backlog of revenue.

This gargantuan demand could be good news for the “neoscalers” like CoreWeave and Nebius. But even CoreWeave is reporting a substantial backlog of its own — $55 billion last quarter.

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Big Tech capital expenditure soared in 2025. It’s going up another 50% in 2026.

Last quarter was one for the record books when it came to Big Tech’s purchases of property and equipment. Combined, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta spent nearly $400 billion on capex, sans leases, in total last year, mostly in service of building out the AI infrastructure that they hope will furnish their futures.

And 2026 is only getting more expensive.

The four are expected to spend 50% more in 2026 than in 2025: roughly $600 billion. Amazon said it’s on the hook for $200 billion in capex this year, while Google expects to spend between $175 billion and $185 billion. Not too far behind, Meta estimated its 2026 capex would be $115 billion to $135 billion. Microsoft didn’t give an estimate, but analysts have its 2026 calendar year capex at around $114 billion. However, it should be noted that analysts’ expectations for 2026 were way lower than the reality for the rest.

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