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Ives: Tariffs are a “double whammy” for Tesla in the US and China

President Trump’s tariffs will hurt Tesla in America, since the electric vehicle maker sources components for its vehicles produced here from Canada and Mexico, according to a note Sunday from Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, who lowered his price target from $550 to $315. Even worse, tariffs will also hurt Tesla in one of its biggest markets: China, the “linchpin to the future success of Tesla,” which has recently announced its own retaliatory tariffs.

Per Ives:

“The backlash from Trump tariff policies in China and Musk’s association will be hard to understate and this will further drive Chinese consumers to buy domestic such as BYD, Nio, Xpeng, and others. Tesla has essentially become a political symbol globally... and that is a very bad thing for the future of this disruptive tech stalwart and the brand crisis tornado that has now turned into an F5 tornado. We now estimate Tesla has lost/destroyed at least 10% of its future customer base globally based on self created brand issues and this could be a conservative estimate. In Europe, this number could be 20% or higher... all self-inflicted by Musk.”

Nonetheless, Ives reiterated his firm’s “outperform” rating, adding that “Musk has been with his back against the wall many times and every time Tesla came out of it and was stronger on the other side.”

Tesla stock is trading down more than 40% this year, below where Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said last month it would “never be this cheap again.”

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President Trump hosts tech executives and their guests to a dinner at the White House in the Oval Office.

Here are the Trump ties among the tech leaders who had dinner at the White House

Many of the attendees have donated to, vocally supported, or even worked for the president.

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Tesla’s EV market share declined to 38% in August

In August, Tesla’s share of the US EV market fell to 38%, according to new data from Cox Automotive reported by Reuters. Tesla’s market share fell below 50% for the first time last year, as competitors’ EVs began hitting the market. Now, as Tesla’s own sales slip more drastically than they had last year, it’s giving up even more ground. Tesla’s market share fell from 48.7% in June to 42% in July to 38% in August, according to Reuters. That slide has come even as buyers rushing to take advantage of the federal tax credit that ends this month provide a near-term boon for sales at Tesla and other EV makers.

$115B

OpenAI now expects to burn around $115 billion through 2029 — a full $80 billion higher than the company had previously estimated, The Information reports.

Just how much is that? It’s roughly equivalent to:

Fortunately for OpenAI, which is raising money at a $500 billion valuation, its revenue is also growing faster than expected. The ChatGPT maker now expects to make $13 billion in revenue this year and $200 billion in 2030.

An annotated photo of who attended the tech dinner at the White House.

An interactive who's-who of the tech execs at Trump's White House dinner

The White House invited a gaggle of top founders and tech executives for an intimate dinner at the White House.

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