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Meta Quest Advertising In London
Advertising for Meta Quest virtual reality headsets on a digital billboard in London (Mike Kemp/Getty Images)

Meta, Amazon, and lots of tech firms will be indirectly harmed by tariffs, too

There aren’t tariffs on digital goods yet, but advertising — and by extension tech companies — will certainly feel the pain.

Rani Molla

Tariffs are terrible for companies that sell physical products. They’re also bad news for the companies that make money advertising those products — even if digital services aren’t subject to tariffs.

That’s because when there’s economic turmoil, advertising budgets are the first to go.

That pain could be most strongly felt by American tech companies like Google, Meta, and Amazon, which eMarketer previously forecast would bring in a combined $462 billion in digital ad revenue. Relatively smaller ad-supported businesses like Reddit and Snap are also seeing steep losses. (That’s not to mention how their tech hardware businesses will be adversely affected.)

What’s more, for many tech businesses, Chinese companies are responsible for a lot of the advertising, and that floor will likely cave under 54% tariffs. Tariffs that affect Chinese sales will hit advertising, too. Madison and Wall analyst Brian Wieser estimated that about $10 billion of Meta’s revenue for ads shown in the US come from outside the US, mainly China.

For Amazon, not only do many of the goods sold on its site originate in China, but those sellers spend a pretty penny advertising those goods on Amazon, as well.

“Amazon likely generates a bigger percentage of revenue from Chinese advertisers trying to reach American audiences: Marketplace Pulse estimates that Chinese manufacturers represent 50% of Amazon’s top sellers on its marketplace site in the US, and the marketplace is likely the primary driver of advertising activity for Amazon,” Wieser wrote. “The new policies could almost be described as a tax on advertising.”

Both Madison and Wall and MAGNA, an ad measurement firm, recently lowered their expectations for US ad spending this year.

Meta is trading down over 4% today, Reddit is down 11%, and Google and Amazon are down more than 2%.

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OpenAI commits up to $25 billion for 500-megawatt “Stargate Argentina” data center

OpenAI has reportedly signed a letter of intent to invest up to $25 billion on “Stargate Argentina,” a new 500-megawatt AI data center.

Reuters reports that the deal would involve tax incentives.

In a video announcing the project, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said:

“Our vision for Stargate Argentina is to deliver a major boost to the country’s AI infrastructure, creating a foundation for new capabilities from smarter public services to tools that help small businesses compete globally.

OpenAI did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

You may remember the name “Stargate” from the megaproject that tech giants and the Trump administration announced earlier this year to build a huge number of data centers in the US. And you may remember Argentina as the nation the Trump administration is now bailing out with a $20 billion currency swap.

tech
Jon Keegan

Meta considering a stand-alone TV app as it leans into Instagram videos

Meta is considering building a dedicated TV app to expand the reach of Instagram’s video content, according to comments by Adam Mosseri, head of Instagram, at a Bloomberg conference.

Instagram has 3 billion monthly users and is leaning into its Reels vertical videos, which puts it head-to-head with TikTok. Mosseri told Bloomberg:

“If behavior [and] the consumption of these platforms is moving to TV, then we need to move to TV, too.”

A move to living room screens could let Meta compete against Alphabet’s YouTube, but adapting vertical videos to TV could prove challenging.

“If behavior [and] the consumption of these platforms is moving to TV, then we need to move to TV, too.”

A move to living room screens could let Meta compete against Alphabet’s YouTube, but adapting vertical videos to TV could prove challenging.

tech
Jon Keegan

Nvidia backs Reflection AI in $2 billion fundraising round

When DeepSeek R1 was released at the end of last year, it shook the AI world to its core.

The scrappy Chinese startup developed a competitive open-weights reasoning model that bested several state-of-the-art models from OpenAI and Google in several benchmarks.

The release caused the industry to question its bet on massive AI infrastructure over clever engineering done with constrained resources.

American startup Reflection AI thinks the West needs its own DeepSeek, and plans on being the company to build it.

On Thursday, Reflection AI announced it had raised $2 billion at an $8 billion valuation, with Nvidia leading the fundraising round with an $800 million investment.

Reflection does not appear to have developed a frontier-scale model yet, but has built the software needed to train one. A $2 billion cash infusion will certainly help with the company’s training costs, but by comparison, DeepSeek’s R1 model was trained for only $249,000.

The release caused the industry to question its bet on massive AI infrastructure over clever engineering done with constrained resources.

American startup Reflection AI thinks the West needs its own DeepSeek, and plans on being the company to build it.

On Thursday, Reflection AI announced it had raised $2 billion at an $8 billion valuation, with Nvidia leading the fundraising round with an $800 million investment.

Reflection does not appear to have developed a frontier-scale model yet, but has built the software needed to train one. A $2 billion cash infusion will certainly help with the company’s training costs, but by comparison, DeepSeek’s R1 model was trained for only $249,000.

tech
Jon Keegan

Nvidia’s Jensen Huang throws shade at OpenAI-AMD deal

In an interview on CNBC yesterday, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang threw some shade at the recently announced megadeal between competitor Advanced Micro Devices and its partner, OpenAI.

The unusual deal calls for AMD to sell multiple generations of its GPUs to OpenAI, totaling 6 gigawatts of computing power, in exchange for stock warrants for OpenAI to buy about 10% of the company.

When asked about the deal, Huang said:

“Yeah, I saw the deal. It’s imaginative, it’s unique and surprising. Considering they were so excited about their next-generation product, I’m surprised that they would give away 10% of the company before they even built it.”

The move diversifies part of OpenAI’s GPU supply chain away from Nvidia, which supplies the vast majority of GPUs for hyperscalers today.

When asked about the deal, Huang said:

“Yeah, I saw the deal. It’s imaginative, it’s unique and surprising. Considering they were so excited about their next-generation product, I’m surprised that they would give away 10% of the company before they even built it.”

The move diversifies part of OpenAI’s GPU supply chain away from Nvidia, which supplies the vast majority of GPUs for hyperscalers today.

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